UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka• Persha Liga, Ukraine

#121.2:1.81-1FT08/111.6:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.80DAFX3.30DAF22.39DAFMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets46Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 05:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.80	3.30	2.39	7.9%
Betano	2.70	3.20	2.35	10.8%
1xBet	2.70	3.20	2.32	11.4%
Pinnacle	2.73	3.19	2.28	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.71	3.18	2.28	12.2%
William Hill	2.70	3.00	2.38	12.4%
Best of all books	2.80	3.30	2.39	7.9%
Average	2.72	3.18	2.33	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UCSAProbiy Horodenka

Last 10#12Table position#141.00Points per game0.734Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 51.643Attack rating5747Defence rating5333Form rating6720H2H rating8075Goals model2544Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:01 UTC

UCSA

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

1 Nov	A	Kulykiv	0-2	L
25 Oct	H	Lokomotiv Kyiv	3-2	W
17 Oct	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Yarud Mariupol'	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	0-0	D
20 Sep	A	Prykarpattia	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Chernihiv	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	Metal Kharkiv	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Inhulets	1-2	L

Probiy Horodenka

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:23 · per match 1.1 for, 2.3 against

1 Nov	H	Nyva Ternopil	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Oleksandria	0-2	L
18 Oct	H	Polissya II	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	SK Poltava	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	Kulykiv	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Lokomotiv Kyiv	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	2-4	L
13 Sep	H	Yarud Mariupol'	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Oleksandria	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-6	L

Head to head

0UCSA wins

1draws

1Probiy Horodenka wins

2 meetings · goals 0:1 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for UCSA

12 Apr 2026Persha Liga	Persha Liga	Probiy Horodenka1-0UCSA
27 Sep 2025Persha Liga	Persha Liga	UCSA0-0Probiy Horodenka

Persha Liga tablePersha Ligaupdated 10 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the Persha Liga table, UCSA sit 12th with 15 points from 15 games, while Probiy Horodenka are 14th with 11 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	15	9	4	2	21:11	+10	31
2	Yarud Mariupol'	15	8	4	3	24:15	+9	28
3	Oleksandria	15	7	6	2	20:11	+9	27
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	14	8	2	4	22:16	+6	26
5	Kulykiv	15	7	4	4	29:18	+11	25
6	SK Poltava	15	7	3	5	25:14	+11	24
7	Nyva Ternopil	15	5	7	3	21:15	+6	22
8	Metal Kharkiv	15	6	3	6	21:18	+3	21
9	Lokomotiv Kyiv	15	5	5	5	21:21	0	20
10	Inhulets	14	5	3	6	15:19	-4	18
11	Prykarpattia	15	4	5	6	14:19	-5	17
12	UCSA	15	3	6	6	19:24	-5	15
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	14	4	1	9	12:26	-14	13
14	Probiy Horodenka	15	2	5	8	15:35	-20	11
15	Chernihiv	12	2	4	6	13:19	-6	10
16	Polissya II	15	1	6	8	20:31	-11	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.62X29%3.13237%2.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.12 → 2.72 +28.3%X3.30 → 3.18 -3.6%23.10 → 2.33 -24.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.78	1.94	7.7%
1xBet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Betano	1.72	1.91	10.5%
Best of all books	1.78	1.94	7.7%
Average	1.75	1.92	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.18	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.11	9.9%
Best of all books	1.62	2.18	7.6%
Average	1.61	2.15	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UCSA 10%Draw 45%Probiy Horodenka 45%

The statistical model rated UCSA at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Probiy Horodenka at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.13 | 2.44, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Persha Liga table: UCSA are 12th (15 pts, 19-24 goals), Probiy Horodenka 14th (11 pts, 15-35).

Over their last five matches, UCSA averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Probiy Horodenka averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Probiy Horodenka and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.72	3.18	2.33

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.38	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.95	1.70

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
3.20	2.14	2.91

2nd half

1	X	2
3.12	2.43	2.55

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.40	12.8	24.3
HT X	6.23	5.02	5.47
HT 2	28.0	13.0	3.71

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	9.00	1.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	9.00
1.5	1.22	3.50
2.5	1.76	1.92
3.5	2.83	1.33
4.5	5.10	1.10
5.5	10.7	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.60
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.12	4.76
1.75	1.28	3.16
2	1.34	2.79
2.25	1.55	2.23
2.75	1.94	1.72
3	2.28	1.51
3.25	2.56	1.41
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.45	1.14
4.25	4.80	1.12
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.67	1.39
-0.25	2.32	1.50
0	2.00	1.69
+0.25	1.71	1.98
+0.5	1.55	2.26
+0.75	1.38	2.68

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.60	1.01
-1.75	6.95	1.04
-1.5	5.35	1.09
-1.25	4.96	1.11
-1	4.17	1.17
-0.75	3.18	1.27
+1	1.22	3.55
+1.25	1.17	3.94
+1.5	1.14	4.33
+1.75	1.08	5.50
+2	1.02	8.10
+2.5	1.01	8.70

Next Persha Liga matches

11 Nov	Chernihiv – Inhulets
13 Nov	Prykarpattia – Kolos Kovalivka II

All Persha Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Persha Liga results

8 Nov	Oleksandria 1-0 SK Poltava
7 Nov	Nyva Ternopil 4-2 Polissya II
7 Nov	Prykarpattia 1-1 Yarud Mariupol'
7 Nov	Metal Kharkiv 4-2 Lokomotiv Kyiv
2 Nov	Kolos Kovalivka II 0-4 Metal Kharkiv
1 Nov	Probiy Horodenka 2-2 Nyva Ternopil