Chernihiv vs Inhulets• Persha Liga, Ukraine

#151.0:2.009:30PostponedToday · Chernihiv Stadium, Chernihiv1.0:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X3.56PIN23.741XBMargin at best4.8%Books7Markets47Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Nov 04:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.99	3.45	3.50	7.8%
Betano	1.90	3.45	3.45	10.6%
1xBet	1.81	3.45	3.74	11.0%
Pinnacle	1.80	3.56	3.54	11.9%
Bet365	2.00	3.00	3.50	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.45	3.65	12.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.20	3.50	13.9%
Best of all books	2.00	3.56	3.74	4.8%
Average	1.88	3.37	3.55	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChernihivInhulets

Last 10#15Table position#100.83Points per game1.296Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5044Defence rating5643Form rating579H2H rating9168Goals model3239Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Nov 16:30 UTC

Chernihiv

3W 0D 7L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

1 Nov	A	Yarud Mariupol'	1-3	L
29 Oct	H	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	Prykarpattia	1-0	W
6 Oct	A	Trostianets	4-2	W
2 Oct	A	SK Poltava	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	Metal Kharkiv	0-2	L
11 Sep	A	UCSA	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Nyva Ternopil	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Oleksandria	0-1	L

Inhulets

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

6 Nov	H	Kulykiv	1-1	D
31 Oct	A	Lokomotiv Kyiv	1-2	L
25 Oct	H	Kolos Kovalivka II	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	Yarud Mariupol'	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Prykarpattia	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Metal Kharkiv	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	SK Poltava	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	UCSA	2-1	W

Head to head

0Chernihiv wins

1draws

3Inhulets wins

4 meetings · goals 3:11 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Chernihiv

23 May 2026Persha Liga	Persha Liga	Chernihiv1-2Inhulets
2 Nov 2025Persha Liga	Persha Liga	Inhulets1-1Chernihiv
8 Oct 2023Persha Liga	Persha Liga	Inhulets6-1Chernihiv
7 Aug 2023Persha Liga	Persha Liga	Chernihiv0-2Inhulets

Persha Liga tablePersha Ligaupdated 10 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the Persha Liga table, Chernihiv sit 15th with 10 points from 12 games, while Inhulets are 10th with 18 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	15	9	4	2	21:11	+10	31
2	Yarud Mariupol'	15	8	4	3	24:15	+9	28
3	Oleksandria	15	7	6	2	20:11	+9	27
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	14	8	2	4	22:16	+6	26
5	Kulykiv	15	7	4	4	29:18	+11	25
6	SK Poltava	15	7	3	5	25:14	+11	24
7	Nyva Ternopil	15	5	7	3	21:15	+6	22
8	Metal Kharkiv	15	6	3	6	21:18	+3	21
9	Lokomotiv Kyiv	15	5	5	5	21:21	0	20
10	Inhulets	14	5	3	6	15:19	-4	18
11	Prykarpattia	15	4	5	6	14:19	-5	17
12	UCSA	15	3	6	6	19:24	-5	15
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	14	4	1	9	12:26	-14	13
14	Probiy Horodenka	15	2	5	8	15:35	-20	11
15	Chernihiv	12	2	4	6	13:19	-6	10
16	Polissya II	15	1	6	8	20:31	-11	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.84X26%3.42225%3.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.88 → 1.88 0.0%X3.45 → 3.37 -2.3%23.47 → 3.55 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.77	1.95	7.8%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Betano	1.78	1.87	9.7%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.78	1.92	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Average	1.69	2.00	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chernihiv 10%Draw 45%Inhulets 45%

The statistical model rates Chernihiv at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Inhulets at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.84 | 3.42 | 3.62, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Persha Liga table: Chernihiv are 15th (10 pts, 13-19 goals), Inhulets 10th (18 pts, 15-19).

Over their last five matches, Chernihiv averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Inhulets averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Inhulets.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.37	3.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.75	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.48	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
2.44	2.18	4.05

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.48	3.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.93	14.5	33.5
HT X	4.93	5.50	8.08
HT 2	23.5	14.6	5.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.68	10.1	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	9.20
1.5	1.23	3.42
2.5	1.78	1.92
3.5	2.92	1.31
4.5	5.45	1.08
5.5	11.0	1.04

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.68
1	1.02	8.10
1.25	1.13	4.66
1.75	1.29	3.10
2	1.36	2.71
2.25	1.58	2.17
2.75	1.99	1.68
3	2.34	1.48
3.25	2.65	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.80	1.12
4.25	5.10	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.94	1.34
-1	2.57	1.42
-0.75	2.11	1.63
-0.5	1.89	1.82
-0.25	1.63	2.13
0	1.42	2.65

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.40	1.05
-2.25	6.20	1.08
-2	5.77	1.09
-1.75	4.12	1.18
-1.5	3.20	1.28
+0.25	1.32	3.01
+0.5	1.35	3.10
+0.75	1.17	4.34
+1	1.08	6.47
+1.25	1.06	6.90
+1.5	1.05	7.28
+1.75	1.01	8.85

Next Persha Liga matches

13 Nov

Prykarpattia – Kolos Kovalivka II

All Persha Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Persha Liga results

8 Nov	Oleksandria 1-0 SK Poltava
8 Nov	UCSA 1-1 Probiy Horodenka
7 Nov	Nyva Ternopil 4-2 Polissya II
7 Nov	Prykarpattia 1-1 Yarud Mariupol'
7 Nov	Metal Kharkiv 4-2 Lokomotiv Kyiv
2 Nov	Kolos Kovalivka II 0-4 Metal Kharkiv