Oleksandria vs SK Poltava• Persha Liga, Ukraine

#31.2:0.81-0FT08/112.4:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.86DAFX3.60DAF23.84MARMargin at best7.6%Books7Markets49Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 05:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.86	3.60	3.75	8.2%
1xBet	1.84	3.45	3.76	9.9%
Betfair	1.85	3.50	3.60	10.4%
Betano	1.80	3.50	3.75	10.8%
Pinnacle	1.78	3.50	3.68	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.73	3.54	3.84	12.1%
William Hill	1.85	3.20	3.60	13.1%
Best of all books	1.86	3.60	3.84	7.6%
Average	1.82	3.47	3.71	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

OleksandriaSK Poltava

Last 10#3Table position#61.80Points per game1.605Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 52.40.8Goals against · last 51.633Attack rating6767Defence rating3347Form rating5388H2H rating1352Goals model4859Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 18:01 UTC

Oleksandria

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

2 Nov	A	Polissya II	0-0	D
29 Oct	A	Karpaty	1-2	L
24 Oct	H	Probiy Horodenka	2-0	W
18 Oct	A	Kulykiv	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Lokomotiv Kyiv	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Yarud Mariupol'	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Probiy Horodenka	1-1	D

SK Poltava

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

1 Nov	A	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	1-2	L
24 Oct	A	Polissya II	2-1	W
17 Oct	H	Prykarpattia	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Probiy Horodenka	2-3	L
2 Oct	H	Chernihiv	3-2	W
26 Sep	A	Kulykiv	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Metal Kharkiv	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	Lokomotiv Kyiv	1-2	L
4 Sep	H	Inhulets	0-0	D
28 Aug	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	1-0	W

Head to head

2Oleksandria wins

1draws

0SK Poltava wins

3 meetings · goals 9:5 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Oleksandria

1 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Oleksandria5-2SK Poltava
3 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	SK Poltava3-3Oleksandria
27 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Oleksandria1-0SK Poltava

Persha Liga tablePersha Ligaupdated 10 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the Persha Liga table, Oleksandria sit 3rd with 27 points from 15 games, while SK Poltava are 6th with 24 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	15	9	4	2	21:11	+10	31
2	Yarud Mariupol'	15	8	4	3	24:15	+9	28
3	Oleksandria	15	7	6	2	20:11	+9	27
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	14	8	2	4	22:16	+6	26
5	Kulykiv	15	7	4	4	29:18	+11	25
6	SK Poltava	15	7	3	5	25:14	+11	24
7	Nyva Ternopil	15	5	7	3	21:15	+6	22
8	Metal Kharkiv	15	6	3	6	21:18	+3	21
9	Lokomotiv Kyiv	15	5	5	5	21:21	0	20
10	Inhulets	14	5	3	6	15:19	-4	18
11	Prykarpattia	15	4	5	6	14:19	-5	17
12	UCSA	15	3	6	6	19:24	-5	15
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	14	4	1	9	12:26	-14	13
14	Probiy Horodenka	15	2	5	8	15:35	-20	11
15	Chernihiv	12	2	4	6	13:19	-6	10
16	Polissya II	15	1	6	8	20:31	-11	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.82X26%3.46224%3.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.44 → 1.81 -25.8%X3.35 → 3.47 +3.6%22.55 → 3.71 +45.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.79	1.93	7.7%
1xBet	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Betano	1.78	1.87	9.7%
Best of all books	1.80	1.93	7.4%
Average	1.78	1.90	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
William Hill	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.01	8.6%
Average	1.69	1.99	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Oleksandria 45%Draw 45%SK Poltava 10%

The statistical model rated Oleksandria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and SK Poltava at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.46 | 3.72, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Oleksandria win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Persha Liga table: Oleksandria are 3rd (27 pts, 20-11 goals), SK Poltava 6th (24 pts, 25-14).

Over their last five matches, Oleksandria averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; SK Poltava averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Oleksandria or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.82	3.47	3.71

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.84	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.36	2.19	4.24

2nd half

1	X	2
2.19	2.49	3.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.69	13.7	37.0
HT X	4.53	5.27	8.18
HT 2	24.3	14.7	6.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	13.0	2.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.0
1.5	1.23	3.54
2.5	1.79	1.90
3.5	2.96	1.32
4.5	5.70	1.09
5.5	12.0	1.03

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.40
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.27	3.18
2	1.36	2.76
2.25	1.57	2.19
2.75	1.99	1.70
3	2.35	1.50
3.25	2.64	1.39
3.75	3.59	1.21
4	4.70	1.13
4.25	5.31	1.09
4.75	7.40	1.03
5	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.76	1.35
-1	2.42	1.47
-0.75	2.00	1.67
-0.5	1.77	1.90
-0.25	1.54	2.22
0	1.33	2.86

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.65	1.05
-2.25	6.20	1.06
-2	5.75	1.07
-1.75	3.98	1.17
-1.5	3.14	1.27
+0.25	1.25	3.29
+0.75	1.10	5.05
+1	1.02	8.20
+1.25	1.01	8.65

Next Persha Liga matches

11 Nov	Chernihiv – Inhulets
13 Nov	Prykarpattia – Kolos Kovalivka II

All Persha Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Persha Liga results

8 Nov	UCSA 1-1 Probiy Horodenka
7 Nov	Nyva Ternopil 4-2 Polissya II
7 Nov	Prykarpattia 1-1 Yarud Mariupol'
7 Nov	Metal Kharkiv 4-2 Lokomotiv Kyiv
2 Nov	Kolos Kovalivka II 0-4 Metal Kharkiv
1 Nov	Probiy Horodenka 2-2 Nyva Ternopil