Metal Kharkiv vs Lokomotiv Kyiv• Persha Liga, Ukraine

#81.2:1.04-2FT07/11 · OSC Metalist, Kharkiv2.0:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30DAFX3.29PIN22.981XBMargin at best7.4%Books7Markets45Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 06:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.30	3.25	2.95	8.1%
1xBet	2.21	3.20	2.96	10.3%
Betano	2.20	3.25	2.90	10.7%
Bet365	2.30	3.40	2.60	11.4%
Pinnacle	2.13	3.29	2.89	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.17	3.16	2.90	12.2%
William Hill	2.20	3.00	2.90	13.3%
Best of all books	2.30	3.40	2.96	6.7%
Average	2.22	3.22	2.87	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Metal KharkivLokomotiv Kyiv

Last 10#8Table position#91.40Points per game1.337Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 51.638Attack rating6362Defence rating3838Form rating620H2H rating042Goals model5845Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 03:01 UTC

Metal Kharkiv

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

2 Nov	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	4-0	W
28 Oct	A	LNZ Cherkasy	1-0	W
23 Oct	H	Yarud Mariupol'	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-1	L
9 Oct	H	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Prykarpattia	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Chernihiv	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	SK Poltava	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	Inhulets	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	1-0	W

Lokomotiv Kyiv

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Inhulets	2-1	W
25 Oct	A	UCSA	2-3	L
18 Oct	H	Nyva Ternopil	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Oleksandria	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Polissya II	3-3	D
26 Sep	A	Probiy Horodenka	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Kulykiv	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	SK Poltava	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Yarud Mariupol'	1-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Metal Kharkiv and Lokomotiv Kyiv on record.

Persha Liga tablePersha Ligaupdated 10 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the Persha Liga table, Metal Kharkiv sit 8th with 21 points from 15 games, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 9th with 20 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	15	9	4	2	21:11	+10	31
2	Yarud Mariupol'	15	8	4	3	24:15	+9	28
3	Oleksandria	15	7	6	2	20:11	+9	27
4	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	14	8	2	4	22:16	+6	26
5	Kulykiv	15	7	4	4	29:18	+11	25
6	SK Poltava	15	7	3	5	25:14	+11	24
7	Nyva Ternopil	15	5	7	3	21:15	+6	22
8	Metal Kharkiv	15	6	3	6	21:18	+3	21
9	Lokomotiv Kyiv	15	5	5	5	21:21	0	20
10	Inhulets	14	5	3	6	15:19	-4	18
11	Prykarpattia	15	4	5	6	14:19	-5	17
12	UCSA	15	3	6	6	19:24	-5	15
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	14	4	1	9	12:26	-14	13
14	Probiy Horodenka	15	2	5	8	15:35	-20	11
15	Chernihiv	12	2	4	6	13:19	-6	10
16	Polissya II	15	1	6	8	20:31	-11	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.22X28%3.22231%2.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.60 → 2.21 -15.0%X3.65 → 3.19 -12.6%22.28 → 2.89 +26.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.94	1.78	7.7%
1xBet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Betano	1.93	1.72	10.0%
Best of all books	1.98	1.85	4.6%
Average	1.96	1.75	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.76	1.94	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.87	10.0%
William Hill	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.77	1.95	7.8%
Average	1.74	1.92	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Metal Kharkiv 10%Draw 45%Lokomotiv Kyiv 45%

The statistical model rated Metal Kharkiv at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lokomotiv Kyiv at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.22 | 2.87, which imply roughly 31.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Persha Liga table: Metal Kharkiv are 8th (21 pts, 21-18 goals), Lokomotiv Kyiv 9th (20 pts, 21-21).

Over their last five matches, Metal Kharkiv averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lokomotiv Kyiv averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv Kyiv.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.22	3.22	2.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.54	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.68	2.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.79	2.12	3.47

2nd half

1	X	2
2.56	2.34	3.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.48	14.3	31.5
HT X	5.33	4.81	6.59
HT 2	28.3	14.6	4.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.87	7.80	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.10
1.5	1.32	2.89
2.5	1.96	1.75
3.5	3.42	1.23
4.5	6.50	1.05
5.5	15.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.17	4.01
1.75	1.36	2.73
2	1.51	2.29
2.25	1.71	1.96
2.75	2.22	1.55
3	2.72	1.36
3.25	3.06	1.29
3.75	4.25	1.15
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.57	1.43
-0.5	2.16	1.61
-0.25	1.91	1.79
0	1.63	2.13
+0.25	1.46	2.47
+0.5	1.38	2.84

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.01
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	5.58	1.10
-1.5	4.25	1.17
-1.25	3.86	1.20
-1	3.40	1.25
+0.75	1.25	3.49
+1	1.12	5.10
+1.25	1.10	5.67
+1.5	1.09	6.02
+1.75	1.02	8.10

Next Persha Liga matches

11 Nov	Chernihiv – Inhulets
13 Nov	Prykarpattia – Kolos Kovalivka II

All Persha Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Persha Liga results

8 Nov	Oleksandria 1-0 SK Poltava
8 Nov	UCSA 1-1 Probiy Horodenka
7 Nov	Nyva Ternopil 4-2 Polissya II
7 Nov	Prykarpattia 1-1 Yarud Mariupol'
2 Nov	Kolos Kovalivka II 0-4 Metal Kharkiv
1 Nov	Probiy Horodenka 2-2 Nyva Ternopil