Yarud Mariupol' vs 
Inhulets• Persha Liga, Ukraine
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:48 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.95 | 10.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.95 | 10.1% |
| Average | 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.95 | 10.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC
Yarud Mariupol'
6W 3D 1L · goals 21:8 · per match 2.1 for, 0.8 against
| 17 Oct | H | Inhulets | 4-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | UCSA | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Oct | H | Nyva Ternopil | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Oleksandria | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Polissya II | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Probiy Horodenka | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Sep | H | Zorya Luhansk | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Kulykiv | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Aug | A | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 6-0 | W |
Inhulets
3W 1D 6L · goals 8:17 · per match 0.8 for, 1.7 against
| 17 Oct | A | Yarud Mariupol' | 1-4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Prykarpattia | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Metal Kharkiv | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | A | SK Poltava | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | UCSA | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Veres Rivne | 1-4 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Nyva Ternopil | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Oleksandria | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Yarud Mariupol'
| 19 Apr 2026Persha Liga | Persha Liga | Yarud Mariupol'1-1Inhulets |
| 3 Oct 2025Persha Liga | Persha Liga | Inhulets2-0Yarud Mariupol' |
| 28 Oct 2023Persha Liga | Persha Liga | Inhulets0-1Yarud Mariupol' |
| 28 Aug 2023Persha Liga | Persha Liga | Yarud Mariupol'1-1Inhulets |
Persha Liga tablePersha Ligaupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC
In the Persha Liga table, Yarud Mariupol' sit 5th with 21 points from 12 games, while Inhulets are 11th with 14 points from 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 24 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | SK Poltava | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:10 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Kulykiv | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25:14 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Yarud Mariupol' | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | Oleksandria | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Nyva Ternopil | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Metal Kharkiv | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Prykarpattia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Chernihiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:30 | -18 | 9 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 1.70 | 5.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 1.70 | 5.3% |
| Average | 2.15 | 1.70 | 5.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 1.78 | 8.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 1.78 | 8.5% |
| Average | 1.91 | 1.78 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Yarud Mariupol' at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Inhulets at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.95, which imply roughly 54.1% for a Yarud Mariupol' win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Persha Liga table: Yarud Mariupol' are 5th (21 pts, 18-13 goals), Inhulets 11th (14 pts, 11-16).
Over their last five matches, Yarud Mariupol' averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Inhulets averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Yarud Mariupol' or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.95 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 1.87 | 1.29 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.78 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.52 | 2.05 | 4.59 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.73 | 13.2 | 40.0 |
| HT X | 4.20 | 4.40 | 7.65 |
| HT 2 | 25.0 | 14.2 | 6.20 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.07 | 8.50 |
| 1.5 | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 4.00 | 1.25 |
| 4.5 | 8.00 | 1.08 |
4 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.59 | 2.21 |
| 2.25 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 2.75 | 2.44 | 1.49 |
| 3 | 2.88 | 1.36 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.37 | 1.28 |
| -1 | 2.67 | 1.44 |
| -0.75 | 2.11 | 1.64 |
| 0 | 1.37 | 2.83 |
Next Persha Liga matches
| 23 Oct | Metal Kharkiv – Yarud Mariupol' |
| 24 Oct | Oleksandria – Probiy Horodenka |
| 25 Oct | UCSA – Lokomotiv Kyiv |
| 25 Oct | Inhulets – Kolos Kovalivka II |