Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv• Persha Liga, Ukraine

#60.8:0.41-3FT11/101.6:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50DAFX4.10DAF26.50BFRMargin at best6.4%Books8Markets51Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.50	4.10	6.00	7.7%
Betfair	1.44	4.00	6.50	9.8%
1xBet	1.47	3.90	6.08	10.1%
Betano	1.47	3.90	5.70	11.2%
Bet365	1.48	3.80	5.50	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.42	3.94	6.10	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.45	3.90	5.57	12.6%
William Hill	1.44	3.60	6.00	13.9%
Best of all books	1.50	4.10	6.50	6.4%
Average	1.46	3.89	5.93	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

OleksandriaLokomotiv Kyiv

Last 10#6Table position#71.67Points per game1.425Form pts · last 5110.8Goals for · last 51.60.4Goals against · last 51.033Attack rating6771Defence rating2944Form rating560H2H rating067Goals model3354Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

Oleksandria

4W 4D 2L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against

18 Oct	A	Kulykiv	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Lokomotiv Kyiv	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Yarud Mariupol'	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Probiy Horodenka	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Prykarpattia	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Chernihiv	1-0	W
21 Aug	A	Bratslav Vinnytsia	2-0	W

Lokomotiv Kyiv

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	Nyva Ternopil	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Oleksandria	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Polissya II	3-3	D
26 Sep	A	Probiy Horodenka	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Kulykiv	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	SK Poltava	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Yarud Mariupol'	1-3	L
21 Aug	H	Probiy Horodenka	1-3	L
14 Aug	A	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-0	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Oleksandria and Lokomotiv Kyiv on record.

Persha Liga tablePersha Ligaupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Persha Liga table, Oleksandria sit 6th with 20 points from 12 games, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 7th with 17 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	12	7	3	2	16:9	+7	24
2	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	12	7	2	3	19:14	+5	23
3	SK Poltava	12	6	3	3	22:10	+12	21
4	Kulykiv	12	6	3	3	25:14	+11	21
5	Yarud Mariupol'	12	6	3	3	18:13	+5	21
6	Oleksandria	12	5	5	2	17:11	+6	20
7	Lokomotiv Kyiv	12	4	5	3	15:13	+2	17
8	Nyva Ternopil	12	3	6	3	12:10	+2	15
9	Metal Kharkiv	12	4	3	5	13:14	-1	15
10	Prykarpattia	12	4	3	5	12:14	-2	15
11	Inhulets	11	4	2	5	11:16	-5	14
12	Kolos Kovalivka II	12	4	1	7	12:20	-8	13
13	UCSA	12	2	5	5	15:19	-4	11
14	Chernihiv	11	2	4	5	12:16	-4	10
15	Probiy Horodenka	12	2	3	7	12:30	-18	9
16	Polissya II	12	1	5	6	17:25	-8	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.46X23%3.89215%5.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.47 → 1.45 -1.4%X3.80 → 3.89 +2.4%26.20 → 5.96 -3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Betano	1.83	1.80	10.2%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.86	1.83	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.97	1.73	8.6%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.68	9.8%
Best of all books	1.99	1.75	7.4%
Average	1.96	1.72	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Oleksandria 45%Draw 45%Lokomotiv Kyiv 10%

The statistical model rated Oleksandria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lokomotiv Kyiv at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 3.89 | 5.93, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Oleksandria win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Persha Liga table: Oleksandria are 6th (20 pts, 17-11 goals), Lokomotiv Kyiv 7th (17 pts, 15-13).

Over their last five matches, Oleksandria averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Lokomotiv Kyiv averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Oleksandria or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.46	3.89	5.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.44	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.96	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
1.97	2.24	6.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	9.15	3.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.80
1.5	1.28	3.12
2.5	1.86	1.83
3.5	3.08	1.28
4.5	5.80	1.07
5.5	13.0	1.03

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.30
1	1.02	7.70
1.25	1.14	4.39
1.75	1.32	2.91
2	1.41	2.55
2.25	1.63	2.08
2.75	2.08	1.64
3	2.49	1.43
3.25	2.80	1.34
3.75	3.82	1.19
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.74	1.37
-1.5	2.31	1.52
-1.25	2.04	1.67
-1	1.78	1.92
-0.75	1.57	2.21
-0.5	1.47	2.51

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.75	5.38	1.11
-2.5	4.25	1.17
-2.25	3.89	1.20
-2	3.54	1.24
-0.25	1.30	3.09
0	1.14	4.60
+0.25	1.12	5.18
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.03	7.60

Next Persha Liga matches

23 Oct	Metal Kharkiv – Yarud Mariupol'
24 Oct	Oleksandria – Probiy Horodenka
25 Oct	UCSA – Lokomotiv Kyiv
25 Oct	Inhulets – Kolos Kovalivka II

All Persha Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Persha Liga results

18 Oct	Lokomotiv Kyiv 0-0 Nyva Ternopil
17 Oct	SK Poltava 4-0 Prykarpattia
17 Oct	Yarud Mariupol' 4-1 Inhulets
17 Oct	Kolos Kovalivka II 0-0 UCSA
17 Oct	Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-0 Metal Kharkiv
11 Oct	Nyva Ternopil 3-1 Kolos Kovalivka II