Oleksandria vs Probiy Horodenka• Persha Liga, Ukraine

#61.0:1.209:00Tomorrow1.6:2.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.221XBX6.00DAF211.41XBMargin at best7.4%Books3Markets22Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 05:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.22	6.00	11.0	7.7%
1xBet	1.22	5.15	11.4	10.2%
Betfair	1.18	5.50	10.5	12.5%
Best of all books	1.22	6.00	11.4	7.4%
Average	1.21	5.55	11.0	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

OleksandriaProbiy Horodenka

Last 10#6Table position#151.67Points per game0.755Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 52.038Attack rating6263Defence rating3842Form rating58100H2H rating081Goals model1958Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

Oleksandria

4W 4D 2L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against

18 Oct	A	Kulykiv	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Lokomotiv Kyiv	1-3	L
4 Oct	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Yarud Mariupol'	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Probiy Horodenka	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Prykarpattia	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Chernihiv	1-0	W
21 Aug	A	Bratslav Vinnytsia	2-0	W

Probiy Horodenka

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:23 · per match 1.2 for, 2.3 against

18 Oct	H	Polissya II	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	SK Poltava	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	Kulykiv	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Lokomotiv Kyiv	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Kolos Kovalivka II	2-4	L
13 Sep	H	Yarud Mariupol'	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Oleksandria	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-6	L
30 Aug	H	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	0-3	L
21 Aug	A	Lokomotiv Kyiv	3-1	W

Head to head

0Oleksandria wins

1draws

0Probiy Horodenka wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Oleksandria

9 Sep 2026Cup

Cup

Probiy Horodenka1-1Oleksandria

Persha Liga tablePersha Ligaupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Persha Liga table, Oleksandria sit 6th with 20 points from 12 games, while Probiy Horodenka are 15th with 9 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	12	7	3	2	16:9	+7	24
2	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	12	7	2	3	19:14	+5	23
3	SK Poltava	12	6	3	3	22:10	+12	21
4	Kulykiv	12	6	3	3	25:14	+11	21
5	Yarud Mariupol'	12	6	3	3	18:13	+5	21
6	Oleksandria	12	5	5	2	17:11	+6	20
7	Lokomotiv Kyiv	12	4	5	3	15:13	+2	17
8	Nyva Ternopil	12	3	6	3	12:10	+2	15
9	Metal Kharkiv	12	4	3	5	13:14	-1	15
10	Prykarpattia	12	4	3	5	12:14	-2	15
11	Inhulets	11	4	2	5	11:16	-5	14
12	Kolos Kovalivka II	12	4	1	7	12:20	-8	13
13	UCSA	12	2	5	5	15:19	-4	11
14	Chernihiv	11	2	4	5	12:16	-4	10
15	Probiy Horodenka	12	2	3	7	12:30	-18	9
16	Polissya II	12	1	5	6	17:25	-8	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.21X16%5.5528%11.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.23 → 1.21 -1.6%X5.65 → 5.55 -1.8%210.5 → 11.0 +4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Average	1.50	2.40	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.97	1.73	8.6%
Best of all books	1.97	1.73	8.6%
Average	1.97	1.73	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Oleksandria 45%Draw 45%Probiy Horodenka 10%

The statistical model rates Oleksandria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Probiy Horodenka at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.21 | 5.55 | 10.97, which imply roughly 82.6% for a Oleksandria win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Persha Liga table: Oleksandria are 6th (20 pts, 17-11 goals), Probiy Horodenka 15th (9 pts, 12-30).

Over their last five matches, Oleksandria averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Probiy Horodenka averaged 1.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Oleksandria or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.21	5.55	11.0

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	4.06	1.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
1.59	2.78	8.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.56	15.0	60.0
HT X	3.65	7.35	19.0
HT 2	21.0	23.0	18.0

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	17.0
1.5	1.13	5.20
2.5	1.50	2.40
3.5	2.25	1.57
4.5	4.00	1.20
5.5	7.50	1.05

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2.75	1.65	2.11
3	1.85	1.89
3.25	2.07	1.67

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.72	1.40
-2	2.17	1.61
-1.75	1.90	1.84
-1.5	1.72	2.05

Next Persha Liga matches

23 Oct	Metal Kharkiv – Yarud Mariupol'
25 Oct	UCSA – Lokomotiv Kyiv
25 Oct	Inhulets – Kolos Kovalivka II

All Persha Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Persha Liga results

18 Oct	Lokomotiv Kyiv 0-0 Nyva Ternopil
17 Oct	SK Poltava 4-0 Prykarpattia
17 Oct	Yarud Mariupol' 4-1 Inhulets
17 Oct	Kolos Kovalivka II 0-0 UCSA
17 Oct	Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-0 Metal Kharkiv
11 Oct	Nyva Ternopil 3-1 Kolos Kovalivka II