Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol'• Persha Liga, Ukraine

#90.8:1.210:00Today · OSC Metalist, Kharkiv1.8:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.15DAFX3.37PIN22.28DAFMargin at best5.3%Books7Markets44Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.15	3.10	2.28	7.9%
1xBet	3.08	3.10	2.21	10.0%
Bet365	3.10	3.00	2.20	11.0%
Betano	3.05	2.95	2.25	11.1%
Marathonbet	3.00	3.08	2.16	12.1%
Pinnacle	2.87	3.37	2.08	12.6%
William Hill	2.90	3.00	2.20	13.3%
Best of all books	3.15	3.37	2.28	5.3%
Average	3.02	3.09	2.20	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Metal KharkivYarud Mariupol'

Last 10#9Table position#51.25Points per game1.755Form pts · last 5110.8Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 50.831Attack rating6940Defence rating6031Form rating6993H2H rating743Goals model5754Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 17:01 UTC

Metal Kharkiv

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

17 Oct	A	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0-1	L
9 Oct	H	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Prykarpattia	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Chernihiv	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	SK Poltava	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	Inhulets	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	UCSA	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Nyva Ternopil	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Penuel	1-0	W

Yarud Mariupol'

6W 3D 1L · goals 21:8 · per match 2.1 for, 0.8 against

17 Oct	H	Inhulets	4-1	W
11 Oct	A	UCSA	2-1	W
5 Oct	H	Nyva Ternopil	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Oleksandria	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Polissya II	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Probiy Horodenka	2-0	W
9 Sep	H	Zorya Luhansk	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Kulykiv	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Lokomotiv Kyiv	3-1	W
20 Aug	A	Dinaz Vyshhorod	6-0	W

Head to head

4Metal Kharkiv wins

1draws

0Yarud Mariupol' wins

5 meetings · goals 13:2 · last 5: 4W 1D 0L for Metal Kharkiv

25 Apr 2026Persha Liga	Persha Liga	Metal Kharkiv1-1Yarud Mariupol'
9 Oct 2025Persha Liga	Persha Liga	Yarud Mariupol'0-1Metal Kharkiv
18 Aug 2021Cup	Cup	Yarud Mariupol'1-3Metal Kharkiv
30 Apr 2021Druha Liga - Group B	Druha Liga - Group B	Metal Kharkiv5-0Yarud Mariupol'
16 Oct 2020Druha Liga - Group B	Druha Liga - Group B	Yarud Mariupol'0-3Metal Kharkiv

Persha Liga tablePersha Ligaupdated 22 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Persha Liga table, Metal Kharkiv sit 9th with 15 points from 12 games, while Yarud Mariupol' are 5th with 21 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Viktoriya Mykolaivka	12	7	3	2	16:9	+7	24
2	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	12	7	2	3	19:14	+5	23
3	SK Poltava	12	6	3	3	22:10	+12	21
4	Kulykiv	12	6	3	3	25:14	+11	21
5	Yarud Mariupol'	12	6	3	3	18:13	+5	21
6	Oleksandria	12	5	5	2	17:11	+6	20
7	Lokomotiv Kyiv	12	4	5	3	15:13	+2	17
8	Nyva Ternopil	12	3	6	3	12:10	+2	15
9	Metal Kharkiv	12	4	3	5	13:14	-1	15
10	Prykarpattia	12	4	3	5	12:14	-2	15
11	Inhulets	11	4	2	5	11:16	-5	14
12	Kolos Kovalivka II	12	4	1	7	12:20	-8	13
13	UCSA	12	2	5	5	15:19	-4	11
14	Chernihiv	11	2	4	5	12:16	-4	10
15	Probiy Horodenka	12	2	3	7	12:30	-18	9
16	Polissya II	12	1	5	6	17:25	-8	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.02X29%3.09241%2.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.21 → 3.02 -5.9%X3.02 → 3.09 +2.3%22.14 → 2.20 +2.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.12	1.63	8.5%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Betano	2.22	1.53	10.4%
Best of all books	2.35	1.63	3.9%
Average	2.20	1.59	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.90	1.79	8.5%
William Hill	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.78	9.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.85	6.7%
Average	1.86	1.81	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Metal Kharkiv 10%Draw 45%Yarud Mariupol' 45%

The statistical model rates Metal Kharkiv at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Yarud Mariupol' at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.02 | 3.09 | 2.20, which imply roughly 32.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Persha Liga table: Metal Kharkiv are 9th (15 pts, 13-14 goals), Yarud Mariupol' 5th (21 pts, 18-13).

Over their last five matches, Metal Kharkiv averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Yarud Mariupol' averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Yarud Mariupol'.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.02	3.09	2.20

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.30	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.19	1.59

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
3.79	1.96	2.87

2nd half

1	X	2
3.44	2.23	2.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.06	14.4	30.3
HT X	6.47	4.39	5.13
HT 2	36.5	14.6	3.54

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.28	7.15	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	7.80
1.5	1.35	2.77
2.5	2.20	1.59
3.5	3.92	1.18
4.5	7.90	1.02
5.5	19.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.10
1	1.06	6.35
1.25	1.22	3.56
1.75	1.45	2.44
2	1.63	2.07
2.25	1.88	1.79
2.75	2.49	1.43
3	3.15	1.27
3.25	3.51	1.23
3.75	5.00	1.11
4	7.10	1.04
4.25	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.96	1.35
-0.25	2.60	1.42
0	2.22	1.59
+0.25	1.82	1.89
+0.5	1.64	2.17
+0.75	1.43	2.57

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.98	1.01
-1.5	6.70	1.07
-1.25	6.35	1.08
-1	5.67	1.10
-0.75	3.84	1.21
+1	1.26	3.41
+1.25	1.21	3.81
+1.5	1.17	4.37
+1.75	1.09	5.85
+2.5	1.01	9.80

Next Persha Liga matches

24 Oct	Oleksandria – Probiy Horodenka
25 Oct	UCSA – Lokomotiv Kyiv
25 Oct	Inhulets – Kolos Kovalivka II

All Persha Liga fixtures and the table

Latest Persha Liga results

18 Oct	Lokomotiv Kyiv 0-0 Nyva Ternopil
17 Oct	SK Poltava 4-0 Prykarpattia
17 Oct	Yarud Mariupol' 4-1 Inhulets
17 Oct	Kolos Kovalivka II 0-0 UCSA
17 Oct	Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-0 Metal Kharkiv
11 Oct	Nyva Ternopil 3-1 Kolos Kovalivka II