FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München• Bundesliga, Germany

#92.2:2.814:30Tomorrow · MEWA Arena, Mainz4.0:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.201XBX6.88PIN21.351XBMargin at best0.8%Books10Markets105Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L55.1

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 13:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	8.20	6.50	1.35	1.7%
Marathonbet	8.10	6.40	1.33	3.2%
Pinnacle	7.17	6.88	1.33	3.7%
Dafabet	7.40	6.40	1.33	4.3%
Betano	6.90	6.00	1.35	5.2%
Bet365	7.00	6.25	1.33	5.5%
Betfair	7.50	6.50	1.30	5.6%
William Hill	6.50	6.00	1.30	9.0%
BetVictor	7.50	5.75	1.25	10.7%
SBO	5.80	5.22	1.32	12.2%
Best of all books	8.20	6.88	1.35	0.8%
Average	7.21	6.19	1.32	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FSV Mainz 05Bayern München

Last 10#9Table position#11.25Points per game2.253Form pts · last 5112.2Goals for · last 54.02.8Goals against · last 51.235Attack rating6530Defence rating7035Form rating6529H2H rating7118Goals model8230Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:03 UTC

FSV Mainz 05

4W 1D 5L · goals 20:19 · per match 2.0 for, 1.9 against

30 Oct	A	SV Elversberg	1-4	L
27 Oct	A	VfL Bochum	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Werder Bremen	2-3	L
17 Oct	A	FC Schalke 04	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Bayer Leverkusen	3-4	L
3 Oct	A	Waldhof Mannheim	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	1-3	L
6 Sep	A	Hamburger SV	5-0	W
29 Aug	H	SC Paderborn 07	0-0	D

Bayern München

6W 4D 0L · goals 35:13 · per match 3.5 for, 1.3 against

3 Nov	A	Atletico Madrid	2-0	W
31 Oct	H	Borussia Dortmund	2-2	D
28 Oct	H	1. FC Magdeburg	6-1	W
25 Oct	A	SC Freiburg	3-1	W
21 Oct	H	Arsenal	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	RB Leipzig	6-1	W
13 Oct	A	Viking	3-3	D
10 Oct	A	FC Augsburg	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Union Berlin	7-0	W
13 Sep	A	SV Elversberg	2-1	W

Head to head

7FSV Mainz 05 wins

3draws

24Bayern München wins

34 meetings · goals 39:99 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for FSV Mainz 05

25 Apr 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 053-4Bayern München
14 Dec 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern München2-2FSV Mainz 05
26 Apr 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern München3-0FSV Mainz 05
14 Dec 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 052-1Bayern München
30 Oct 2024DFB Pokal	DFB Pokal	FSV Mainz 050-4Bayern München
9 Mar 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich8-1FSV Mainz 05
21 Oct 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 051-3Bayern Munich
22 Apr 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	FSV Mainz 053-1Bayern Munich
1 Feb 2023DFB Pokal	DFB Pokal	FSV Mainz 050-4Bayern Munich
29 Oct 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich6-2FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, FSV Mainz 05 sit 9th with 10 points from 8 games, while Bayern München are 1st with 18 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	8	5	3	0	27:8	+19	18
2	Borussia Dortmund	8	5	3	0	14:6	+8	18
3	SC Freiburg	8	5	1	2	18:10	+8	16
4	RB Leipzig	8	5	0	3	22:11	+11	15
5	Werder Bremen	8	4	3	1	17:14	+3	15
6	Bayer Leverkusen	8	4	1	3	18:16	+2	13
7	SV Elversberg	8	4	1	3	16:16	0	13
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	3	2	3	13:18	-5	11
9	FSV Mainz 05	8	3	1	4	17:17	0	10
10	FC Augsburg	8	2	3	3	18:15	+3	9
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	3	0	5	14:15	-1	9
12	1899 Hoffenheim	8	3	0	5	14:16	-2	9
13	1. FC Köln	8	2	3	3	9:12	-3	9
14	SC Paderborn 07	8	2	3	3	6:9	-3	9
15	Hamburger SV	8	3	0	5	7:19	-12	9
16	Union Berlin	8	1	4	3	7:19	-12	7
17	FC Schalke 04	8	1	3	4	4:9	-5	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	8	1	1	6	11:22	-11	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg113%7.21X15%6.19272%1.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.74 → 7.21 +25.6%X5.70 → 6.19 +8.6%21.41 → 1.32 -6.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.24	4.10	5.0%
Bet365	1.22	4.33	5.1%
Betfair	1.20	4.50	5.6%
BetVictor	1.20	4.33	6.4%
1xBet	1.22	4.01	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.19	3.90	9.7%
Best of all books	1.24	4.50	2.9%
Average	1.21	4.19	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Betano	1.42	2.72	7.2%
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
1xBet	1.42	2.69	7.6%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.65	8.2%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.42	2.71	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FSV Mainz 05 0%Draw 50%Bayern München 50%

The statistical model rates FSV Mainz 05 at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Bayern München at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.21 | 6.19 | 1.32, which imply roughly 16.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: FSV Mainz 05 are 9th (10 pts, 17-17 goals), Bayern München 1st (18 pts, 27-8).

Over their last five matches, FSV Mainz 05 averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Bayern München averaged 4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
7.21	6.19	1.32

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.33	1.09	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
5.70	1.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.71

1st half

1	X	2
5.66	3.10	1.68

2nd half

1	X	2
5.52	3.59	1.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	12.1	18.7	15.2
HT X	17.1	10.9	4.67
HT 2	42.6	18.0	1.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.22	46.0	1.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.7
1.5	1.05	9.59
2.5	1.21	4.20
3.5	1.59	2.33
4.5	2.32	1.62
5.5	3.66	1.28
6.5	6.39	1.10
7.5	10.7	1.03
8.5	15.1	1.02
9.5	26.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.05	7.50
2.75	1.23	3.57
3	1.30	3.32
3.25	1.44	2.66
3.75	1.71	2.11
4	1.90	1.91
4.25	2.13	1.73
4.75	2.60	1.48
5	3.10	1.36
5.25	3.33	1.31
5.75	4.31	1.18
6	5.47	1.13
6.25	5.67	1.10
7	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.25	2.33	1.61
+1.5	2.07	1.77
+1.75	1.85	1.96
+2	1.66	2.22
+2.25	1.53	2.44
+2.5	1.44	2.71

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	12.0	1.02
-0.75	8.53	1.02
-0.25	6.00	1.12
0	5.75	1.11
+0.25	4.15	1.21
+0.5	3.44	1.32
+0.75	3.11	1.35
+1	2.80	1.42
+2.75	1.33	3.07
+3	1.24	3.77
+3.25	1.20	4.07
+3.5	1.17	4.38
+3.75	1.14	5.75
+4	1.06	6.83
+4.5	1.04	7.37

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.75
1.5	1.16	4.85
2.5	1.47	2.61
3.5	2.08	1.70
4.5	2.90	1.38
5.5	4.45	1.18
6.5	6.80	1.08
7.5	9.50	1.04
8.5	11.8	1.02

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.20	4.25
3	1.75	2.08
4	2.93	1.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	12.0
5.5	1.04	9.00
6.5	1.07	6.27
7.5	1.18	4.13
8.5	1.35	2.84
9.5	1.64	2.14
10.5	2.04	1.72
11.5	2.60	1.43
12.5	3.45	1.25
13.5	4.77	1.13
14.5	6.57	1.06
15.5	8.75	1.05
16.5	10.5	1.03
17.5	12.0	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.75	1.36	2.70
9	1.53	2.42
9.25	1.50	2.31
9.75	1.68	2.03
10	1.87	1.94
10.25	1.91	1.83
10.75	2.15	1.61
11	2.41	1.53
11.25	2.47	1.45
11.75	2.83	1.34
12.25	3.34	1.24

Next Bundesliga matches

6 Nov	Hamburger SV – Borussia Mönchengladbach
7 Nov	Borussia Dortmund – SV Elversberg
7 Nov	SC Paderborn 07 – Eintracht Frankfurt
7 Nov	RB Leipzig – FC Augsburg
7 Nov	VfB Stuttgart – Werder Bremen
8 Nov	1. FC Köln – Bayer Leverkusen

All Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest Bundesliga results

1 Nov	Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV
1 Nov	Union Berlin 1-1 1. FC Köln
31 Oct	Bayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
31 Oct	Bayer Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart
31 Oct	Werder Bremen 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim
31 Oct	FC Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg