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Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln• Bundesliga, Germany

#160.6:2.21-1FT01/11 · An der Alten Försterei, Berlin0.8:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.79PINX3.781XB22.56PINMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets92Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.723.782.611.5%
Pinnacle2.743.582.632.5%
Dafabet2.653.552.653.6%
Marathonbet2.653.682.544.3%
Betano2.653.502.575.2%
Bet3652.623.402.606.0%
BetVictor2.603.602.506.2%
Betfair2.633.402.507.4%
William Hill2.503.502.459.4%
SBO2.543.322.4710.0%
Best of all books2.743.782.650.7%
Average2.633.532.555.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Union Berlin1. FC Köln
Last 10#16Table position#130.88Points per game1.136Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 50.82.2Goals against · last 51.043Attack rating5731Defence rating6950Form rating5050H2H rating5064Goals model3647Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Union Berlin

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:24 · per match 0.8 for, 2.4 against

1 NovH1. FC Köln1-1D
27 OctA1. FC Köln0-5L
24 OctAFC Augsburg1-1D
17 OctHBorussia Dortmund0-0D
10 OctHSV Elversberg1-0W
26 SepAHNK Rijeka1-0W
18 SepABayern München0-7L
11 SepHFC Schalke 041-3L
5 SepABayer Leverkusen0-4L
29 AugHEintracht Frankfurt3-3D

1. FC Köln

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

1 NovAUnion Berlin1-1D
27 OctHUnion Berlin5-0W
24 OctHFC Schalke 040-0D
16 OctAEintracht Frankfurt0-1L
11 OctHBorussia Mönchengladbach2-1W
3 OctAFC Viktoria Köln2-2D
19 SepAHamburger SV1-2L
12 SepHWerder Bremen1-1D
4 SepAVfB Stuttgart1-4L
29 AugH1899 Hoffenheim3-2W

Head to head

10Union Berlin wins
4draws
71. FC Köln wins

21 meetings · goals 27:29 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Union Berlin

27 Oct 2026DFB PokalDFB Pokal1. FC Köln5-0Union Berlin
2 May 2026BundesligaBundesligaUnion Berlin2-21. FC Köln
20 Dec 2025BundesligaBundesliga1. FC Köln0-1Union Berlin
11 May 2024BundesligaBundesliga1. FC Köln3-2Union Berlin
20 Dec 2023BundesligaBundesligaUnion Berlin2-01. FC Köln
4 Mar 2023BundesligaBundesligaUnion Berlin0-01. FC Köln
11 Sep 2022BundesligaBundesliga1. FC Köln0-1Union Berlin
1 Apr 2022BundesligaBundesligaUnion Berlin1-01. FC Köln
7 Nov 2021BundesligaBundesliga1. FC Köln2-2Union Berlin
13 Mar 2021BundesligaBundesligaUnion Berlin2-11. FC Köln

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, Union Berlin sit 16th with 7 points from 8 games, while 1. FC Köln are 13th with 9 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bayern München853027:8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund853014:6+818
3SC Freiburg851218:10+816
4RB Leipzig850322:11+1115
5Werder Bremen843117:14+315
6Bayer Leverkusen841318:16+213
7SV Elversberg841316:16013
8Eintracht Frankfurt832313:18-511
9FSV Mainz 05831417:17010
10FC Augsburg823318:15+39
11VfB Stuttgart830514:15-19
121899 Hoffenheim830514:16-29
131. FC Köln82339:12-39
14SC Paderborn 0782336:9-39
15Hamburger SV83057:19-129
16Union Berlin81437:19-127
17FC Schalke 0481344:9-56
18Borussia Mönchengladbach811611:22-114

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.68X27%3.51238%2.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:0131 Oct 18:311 2.67X 3.522 2.50
12.51 → 2.67 +6.4%X3.61 → 3.52 -2.5%22.61 → 2.50 -4.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.772.221.5%
Pinnacle1.752.192.8%
SBO1.732.173.9%
Betano1.752.124.3%
Marathonbet1.722.154.7%
Bet3651.672.205.3%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.662.059.0%
Best of all books1.772.221.5%
Average1.712.154.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.602.306.0%
Betano1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
Betfair1.532.387.4%
1xBet1.562.307.6%
Marathonbet1.562.278.2%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.602.384.5%
Average1.552.327.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Union Berlin 10%Draw 45%1. FC Köln 45%

The statistical model rated Union Berlin at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and 1. FC Köln at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.68 | 3.51 | 2.53, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: Union Berlin are 16th (7 pts, 7-19 goals), 1. FC Köln 13th (9 pts, 9-12).

Over their last five matches, Union Berlin averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; 1. FC Köln averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or 1. FC Köln.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Union Berlin

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Lustrinelli

Goalkeeper

  • 1F. Rønnow

Defence

  • 19J. Haberer
  • 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  • 5M. Friedrich
  • 17D. Köhn

Midfield

  • 13A. Schäfer
  • 8R. Khedira
  • 9Livan Burcu
  • 20M. Aebischer
  • 30K. Imeri

Attack

  • 21T. Skarke
Substitutes (9)
  • 7O. Burke
  • 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  • 32M. Gray
  • 6A. Kemlein
  • 29E. Latte Lath
  • 14L. Querfeld
  • 31M. Raab
  • 15T. Rothe
  • 28C. Trimmel

1. FC Köln

4-4-2

Coach: René Wagner

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Schwäbe

Defence

  • 28S. Sebulonsen
  • 2J. Schmied
  • 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
  • 3B. Sosa

Midfield

  • 37L. Maina
  • 23Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
  • 5T. Krauß
  • 8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson

Attack

  • 30M. Bülter
  • 10S. El Mala
Substitutes (9)
  • 20R. Zieler
  • 17A. Castro-Montes
  • 11Reigan Heskey
  • 24L. Lochoshvili
  • 14G. Mensah
  • 47M. Moore
  • 29J. Thielmann
  • 7L. Waldschmidt
  • 19M. El Mala

Match Statistics

Union Berlin1. FC Köln
0.91Expected Goals1.22
293Passes accurate567
2Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox4
9Free Kicks10
2Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
3Shots off Goal6
1Offsides2
382Total passes637
5Total Shots14
4Yellow Cards3
2Corner Kicks6
0Blocked Shots6
11Fouls10
0Red Cards0
37%Ball Possession63%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.633.532.55

Double chance

1XX212
1.511.461.28

Draw no bet

12
1.911.84

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.552.32

1st half

1X2
3.112.283.04

2nd half

1X2
2.862.592.76

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.1413.325.4
HT X6.445.736.33
HT 225.713.33.97

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9714.01.92

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.4
1.51.204.30
2.51.712.15
3.52.711.44
4.55.071.15
5.59.661.05
6.514.91.02
7.522.8–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.4
1.251.105.67
1.751.263.66
21.333.27
2.251.522.52
2.751.891.93
32.191.68
3.252.441.54
3.753.191.32
43.951.22
4.254.511.15
4.756.061.07
58.531.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.611.49
-0.252.291.62
01.961.88
+0.251.692.20
+0.51.532.52
+0.751.382.99
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.11.03
-210.31.02
-1.756.661.08
-1.55.251.14
-1.254.671.16
-14.261.21
-0.753.131.34
+11.224.08
+1.251.194.38
+1.51.154.91
+1.751.096.29
+21.039.23
+2.51.0310.8

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.096.60
2.51.263.60
3.51.502.51
4.52.081.72
5.53.041.36
6.54.451.18
7.56.501.09
8.59.001.04
9.511.31.02
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.323.25
41.722.12
52.541.51

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0114.0
4.51.0211.5
5.51.058.80
6.51.095.44
7.51.203.72
8.51.412.67
9.51.722.03
10.52.121.65
11.52.691.40
12.53.671.21
13.55.021.11
14.56.751.05
15.59.251.04
16.511.31.02
17.512.51.01
18.514.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.104.45
7.751.223.50
81.223.15
8.251.322.91
8.751.432.48
91.532.34
9.251.592.13
9.751.801.86
101.911.88
10.252.031.65
10.752.301.50
112.431.48
11.252.701.36
123.021.24
134.001.13
145.151.06

Next Bundesliga matches

6 NovHamburger SV – Borussia Mönchengladbach
7 NovSC Paderborn 07 – Eintracht Frankfurt
7 NovFSV Mainz 05 – Bayern München
7 NovBorussia Dortmund – SV Elversberg
7 NovRB Leipzig – FC Augsburg
7 NovVfB Stuttgart – Werder Bremen

All Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest Bundesliga results

1 NovEintracht Frankfurt 3-1 Hamburger SV
31 OctBayern München 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
31 OctFC Augsburg 1-2 SC Freiburg
31 OctWerder Bremen 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim
31 OctBayer Leverkusen 2-4 VfB Stuttgart
31 OctFC Schalke 04 0-2 RB Leipzig