Lugano II vs Bellinzona• 1. Liga Promotion, Switzerland

#151.0:1.61-1FT25/100.8:2.2#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.61PINX3.75BTN22.49DAFMargin at best5.1%Books9Markets41Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.55	3.65	2.49	6.8%
Pinnacle	2.61	3.59	2.33	9.1%
Betano	2.47	3.75	2.37	9.3%
Betfair	2.55	3.60	2.30	10.5%
Bet365	2.38	3.60	2.45	10.6%
1xBet	2.50	3.50	2.29	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.50	3.50	2.29	12.2%
William Hill	2.60	3.30	2.30	12.2%
BetVictor	2.30	3.20	2.20	20.2%
Best of all books	2.61	3.75	2.49	5.1%
Average	2.50	3.52	2.34	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lugano IIBellinzona

Last 10#15Table position#170.93Points per game0.644Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 52.256Attack rating4458Defence rating4243Form rating570H2H rating10091Goals model956Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 11:10 UTC

Lugano II

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

31 Oct	A	Zürich II	1-6	L
25 Oct	H	Bellinzona	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Grand-Saconnex	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Kreuzlingen	2-3	L
3 Oct	A	Paradiso	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Cham	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	FC Schaffhausen	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Basel II	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Amical Saint-Prex	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Bavois	3-2	W

Bellinzona

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	A	Lugano II	1-1	D
21 Oct	H	Brühl	2-0	W
16 Oct	H	Collina d'Oro	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	YF Juventus	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Zürich II	0-4	L
27 Sep	H	Breitenrain	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Grand-Saconnex	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Kreuzlingen	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Paradiso	0-4	L
29 Aug	A	Cham	1-1	D

Head to head

0Lugano II wins

0draws

1Bellinzona wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Lugano II

17 Aug 2022Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

Bellinzona2-1Lugano II

1. Liga Promotion table1 Liga Promotionupdated 6 Nov 17:40 UTC

In the 1. Liga Promotion table, Lugano II sit 15th with 13 points from 14 games, while Bellinzona are 17th with 9 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Schaffhausen	13	10	1	2	33:15	+18	31
2	Bulle	14	9	3	2	31:20	+11	30
3	Biel-Bienne	14	8	4	2	30:18	+12	28
4	Cham	14	8	3	3	25:19	+6	27
5	Paradiso	14	7	4	3	27:15	+12	25
6	Grand-Saconnex	14	8	0	6	27:20	+7	24
7	Zürich II	14	6	3	5	29:25	+4	21
8	Breitenrain	14	6	3	5	21:20	+1	21
9	Brühl	14	6	2	6	18:18	0	20
10	Basel II	14	6	1	7	24:26	-2	19
11	YF Juventus	14	6	1	7	19:22	-3	19
12	Amical Saint-Prex	14	6	1	7	18:26	-8	19
13	Kreuzlingen	14	4	3	7	22:26	-4	15
14	Young Boys II	14	4	3	7	29:36	-7	15
15	Lugano II	14	4	1	9	21:33	-12	13
16	Luzern II	14	3	2	9	21:33	-12	11
17	Bellinzona	14	2	3	9	10:26	-16	9
18	Bavois	13	2	2	9	12:19	-7	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.50X26%3.52238%2.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.49 → 2.50 +0.4%X3.53 → 3.52 -0.3%22.46 → 2.34 -4.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.30	7.6%
Betano	1.57	2.22	8.7%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
BetVictor	1.45	1.95	20.2%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.55	2.21	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
1xBet	1.47	2.44	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.39	9.9%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
BetVictor	1.36	2.15	20.0%
Best of all books	1.52	2.45	6.6%
Average	1.45	2.35	11.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lugano II 10%Draw 45%Bellinzona 45%

The statistical model rated Lugano II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Bellinzona at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.50 | 3.52 | 2.34, which imply roughly 28.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Liga Promotion table: Lugano II are 15th (13 pts, 21-33 goals), Bellinzona 17th (9 pts, 10-26).

Over their last five matches, Lugano II averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Bellinzona averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Bellinzona.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.50	3.52	2.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.45	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.80	1.76

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.35

1st half

1	X	2
2.99	2.32	2.85

2nd half

1	X	2
2.76	2.61	2.65

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.95	14.5	22.3
HT X	6.47	6.17	6.20
HT 2	23.3	14.5	3.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	16.1	1.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.8
1.5	1.14	4.11
2.5	1.55	2.21
3.5	2.31	1.47
4.5	3.90	1.16
5.5	6.23	1.06

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.00
1.75	1.16	4.10
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.38	2.70
2.75	1.65	1.96
3	1.86	1.76
3.25	2.09	1.58
3.75	2.80	1.35
4	3.58	1.21

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.32	1.57
-0.25	2.05	1.65
0	1.88	1.77
+0.25	1.68	2.02
+0.5	1.57	2.29
+0.75	1.37	2.73

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.45	1.01
-2	8.30	1.05
-1.5	5.10	1.10
-1.25	4.20	1.15
-1	4.20	1.16
-0.75	3.05	1.31
+1	1.21	3.58
+1.25	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.13	4.50
+2	1.01	9.00
+2.5	1.03	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.89	1.89

Next 1. Liga Promotion matches

7 Nov

Lugano II – YF Juventus

All 1. Liga Promotion fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Liga Promotion results

1 Nov	Bellinzona 0-1 Bulle
25 Oct	Bulle 3-2 Grand-Saconnex
21 Oct	Bellinzona 2-0 Brühl
17 Oct	Paradiso 2-2 Young Boys II
17 Oct	Grand-Saconnex 1-2 Lugano II
10 Oct	Zürich II 2-2 Breitenrain