Bellinzona vs Brühl• 1. Liga Promotion, Switzerland

#180.8:2.42-0FTToday0.6:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.25BTNX3.75BFR22.07DAFMargin at best5.7%Books8Markets41Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.20	3.65	2.07	7.0%
Betano	3.25	3.45	2.05	8.5%
Pinnacle	3.21	3.48	2.03	9.1%
Betfair	3.00	3.75	2.00	10.0%
1xBet	3.12	3.40	2.02	11.0%
William Hill	3.10	3.25	2.05	11.8%
Marathonbet	3.05	3.40	2.00	12.2%
BetVictor	2.75	3.25	1.90	19.8%
Best of all books	3.25	3.75	2.07	5.7%
Average	3.09	3.45	2.01	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BellinzonaBrühl

Last 10#18Table position#130.45Points per game1.274Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 50.62.4Goals against · last 51.657Attack rating4340Defence rating6050Form rating5075H2H rating2555Goals model4557Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 09:40 UTC

Bellinzona

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:21 · per match 0.9 for, 2.1 against

16 Oct	H	Collina d'Oro	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	YF Juventus	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Zürich II	0-4	L
27 Sep	H	Breitenrain	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Grand-Saconnex	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Kreuzlingen	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Paradiso	0-4	L
29 Aug	A	Cham	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	FC Schaffhausen	0-1	L
18 Aug	H	Basel II	2-3	L

Brühl

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	A	Köniz	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Grand-Saconnex	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	FC ST. Gallen	3-3	D
30 Sep	A	Kreuzlingen	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	Paradiso	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Cham	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	FC Schaffhausen	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Basel II	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Amical Saint-Prex	4-1	W
22 Aug	A	Bavois	0-0	D

Head to head

3Bellinzona wins

3draws

0Brühl wins

6 meetings · goals 10:5 · last 6: 3W 3D 0L for Bellinzona

26 Mar 20221. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Brühl0-1Bellinzona
2 Oct 20211. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Bellinzona2-1Brühl
10 Apr 20211. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Bellinzona1-1Brühl
5 Oct 20191. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Brühl1-4Bellinzona
27 Apr 20191. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Brühl1-1Bellinzona
6 Oct 20181. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Bellinzona1-1Brühl

1. Liga Promotion table1 Liga Promotionupdated 21 Oct 09:40 UTC

In the 1. Liga Promotion table, Bellinzona sit 18th with 5 points from 11 games, while Brühl are 13th with 14 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Biel-Bienne	11	8	2	1	25:12	+13	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	8	1	2	29:13	+16	25
3	Cham	11	7	1	3	19:14	+5	22
4	Bulle	11	6	3	2	24:16	+8	21
5	Paradiso	12	6	3	3	24:13	+11	21
6	Grand-Saconnex	12	7	0	5	23:16	+7	21
7	Basel II	12	6	1	5	24:22	+2	19
8	Zürich II	12	5	3	4	22:21	+1	18
9	Breitenrain	12	5	3	4	18:17	+1	18
10	YF Juventus	12	5	1	6	16:19	-3	16
11	Amical Saint-Prex	12	5	1	6	16:25	-9	16
12	Kreuzlingen	11	4	3	4	16:15	+1	15
13	Brühl	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Lugano II	12	4	0	8	19:26	-7	12
15	Young Boys II	12	3	3	6	23:32	-9	12
16	Bavois	12	2	2	8	11:17	-6	8
17	Luzern II	11	2	1	8	15:27	-12	7
18	Bellinzona	11	1	2	8	7:24	-17	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.18X26%3.53246%1.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.83 → 3.09 +9.2%X3.42 → 3.45 +0.9%22.15 → 2.01 -6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.53	2.39	7.2%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
BetVictor	1.42	2.02	19.9%
Best of all books	1.53	2.39	7.2%
Average	1.48	2.29	11.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.42	2.59	9.0%
Betano	1.44	2.52	9.1%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.53	9.9%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.59	8.1%
Average	1.41	2.47	11.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bellinzona 45%Draw 45%Brühl 10%

The statistical model rated Bellinzona at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Brühl at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.18 | 3.53 | 1.95, which imply roughly 31.4% for a Bellinzona win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Liga Promotion table: Bellinzona are 18th (5 pts, 7-24 goals), Brühl 13th (14 pts, 13-15).

Over their last five matches, Bellinzona averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Brühl averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bellinzona or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.09	3.45	2.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.29	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
2.15	1.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.41	2.47

1st half

1	X	2
3.53	2.29	2.52

2nd half

1	X	2
3.24	2.68	2.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.05	13.8	19.0
HT X	7.35	5.85	5.55
HT 2	25.0	13.8	3.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.13	16.8	1.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	14.9
1.5	1.13	4.17
2.5	1.48	2.29
3.5	2.18	1.54
4.5	3.55	1.19
5.5	5.84	1.07

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.50
2	1.17	3.98
2.25	1.34	2.86
2.75	1.59	2.06
3	1.76	1.85
3.25	1.96	1.66
3.75	2.55	1.42
4	3.14	1.27
4.25	3.48	1.22
5	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.68	1.39
0	2.34	1.52
+0.25	1.87	1.73
+0.5	1.74	2.01
+0.75	1.52	2.30
+1	1.35	2.85

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.30	1.06
-1	5.40	1.09
-0.75	3.78	1.19
-0.5	3.14	1.32
+1.25	1.26	3.20
+1.5	1.21	3.58
+2	1.05	6.45
+2.5	1.03	7.30

Latest 1. Liga Promotion results

17 Oct	Paradiso 2-2 Young Boys II
17 Oct	Grand-Saconnex 1-2 Lugano II
10 Oct	Zürich II 2-2 Breitenrain
10 Oct	Brühl 1-0 Grand-Saconnex
4 Oct	Bellinzona 0-4 Zürich II
3 Oct	Paradiso 1-0 Lugano II