Grand-Saconnex vs Lugano II• 1. Liga Promotion, Switzerland

#61.2:0.61-2FT17/101.2:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.44B365X4.82PIN25.591XBMargin at best8.1%Books5Markets48Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.44	4.82	5.24	9.3%
1xBet	1.39	4.75	5.59	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.75	5.35	12.2%
Bet365	1.44	4.33	5.00	12.5%
BetVictor	1.36	4.00	4.60	20.3%
Best of all books	1.44	4.82	5.59	8.1%
Average	1.40	4.53	5.16	12.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Grand-SaconnexLugano II

Last 10#6Table position#141.75Points per game1.009Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5070Defence rating3075Form rating2536H2H rating6478Goals model2259Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:30 UTC

Grand-Saconnex

5W 0D 5L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	A	Brühl	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	YF Juventus	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Zürich II	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Bellinzona	3-0	W
12 Sep	H	Breitenrain	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Kreuzlingen	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Paradiso	2-5	L
22 Aug	A	Cham	1-2	L
19 Aug	H	FC Schaffhausen	1-4	L
8 Aug	A	Basel II	2-1	W

Lugano II

3W 0D 7L · goals 16:21 · per match 1.6 for, 2.1 against

11 Oct	H	Kreuzlingen	2-3	L
3 Oct	A	Paradiso	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Cham	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	FC Schaffhausen	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Basel II	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Amical Saint-Prex	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Bavois	3-2	W
23 Aug	A	Biel-Bienne	2-5	L
15 Aug	H	Luzern II	4-3	W
9 Aug	A	Young Boys II	1-3	L

Head to head

1Grand-Saconnex wins

1draws

2Lugano II wins

4 meetings · goals 6:7 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Grand-Saconnex

9 May 20261. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Lugano II0-3Grand-Saconnex
1 Nov 20251. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Grand-Saconnex2-3Lugano II
5 Apr 20251. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Lugano II3-0Grand-Saconnex
28 Sep 20241. Liga Promotion	1. Liga Promotion	Grand-Saconnex1-1Lugano II

1. Liga Promotion table1 Liga Promotionupdated 21 Oct 09:40 UTC

In the 1. Liga Promotion table, Grand-Saconnex sit 6th with 21 points from 12 games, while Lugano II are 14th with 12 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Biel-Bienne	11	8	2	1	25:12	+13	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	8	1	2	29:13	+16	25
3	Cham	11	7	1	3	19:14	+5	22
4	Bulle	11	6	3	2	24:16	+8	21
5	Paradiso	12	6	3	3	24:13	+11	21
6	Grand-Saconnex	12	7	0	5	23:16	+7	21
7	Basel II	12	6	1	5	24:22	+2	19
8	Zürich II	12	5	3	4	22:21	+1	18
9	Breitenrain	12	5	3	4	18:17	+1	18
10	YF Juventus	12	5	1	6	16:19	-3	16
11	Amical Saint-Prex	12	5	1	6	16:25	-9	16
12	Kreuzlingen	11	4	3	4	16:15	+1	15
13	Brühl	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Lugano II	12	4	0	8	19:26	-7	12
15	Young Boys II	12	3	3	6	23:32	-9	12
16	Bavois	12	2	2	8	11:17	-6	8
17	Luzern II	11	2	1	8	15:27	-12	7
18	Bellinzona	11	1	2	8	7:24	-17	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.40X20%4.53217%5.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.41 → 1.40 -0.7%X4.66 → 4.53 -2.8%25.30 → 5.16 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.33	3.25	6.0%
1xBet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.28	3.08	10.6%
BetVictor	1.22	2.60	20.4%
Best of all books	1.33	3.25	6.0%
Average	1.28	3.00	11.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.42	2.59	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.53	9.9%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.42	2.59	9.0%
Average	1.39	2.44	12.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Grand-Saconnex 45%Draw 45%Lugano II 10%

The statistical model rated Grand-Saconnex at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lugano II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.53 | 5.16, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Grand-Saconnex win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Liga Promotion table: Grand-Saconnex are 6th (21 pts, 23-16 goals), Lugano II 14th (12 pts, 19-26).

Over their last five matches, Grand-Saconnex averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Lugano II averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Grand-Saconnex or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.40	4.53	5.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.49	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	3.77

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.44

1st half

1	X	2
1.83	2.70	4.95

2nd half

1	X	2
1.66	3.22	4.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.09	17.0	35.0
HT X	4.63	8.60	13.3
HT 2	15.3	18.0	8.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	26.0	2.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	21.0
1.5	1.07	5.00
2.5	1.28	3.00
3.5	1.76	1.87
4.5	2.61	1.36
5.5	3.95	1.13

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.0
2	1.07	5.80
2.25	1.28	3.05
2.75	1.34	2.84
3	1.41	2.45
3.25	1.59	2.08
3.75	1.92	1.69
4	2.17	1.52
4.25	2.50	1.44
4.75	3.20	1.26
5	4.10	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.31	1.51
-1.5	2.04	1.66
-1.25	1.82	1.81
-1	1.68	2.08
-0.75	1.49	2.36
-0.5	1.43	2.67

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.20	1.06
-3	5.55	1.08
-2.5	3.34	1.24
-2	2.79	1.36
-0.25	1.27	3.14
0	1.14	4.33
+0.25	1.12	4.75
+1	1.05	8.20
+1.5	1.03	8.90

Latest 1. Liga Promotion results

17 Oct	Paradiso 2-2 Young Boys II
10 Oct	Zürich II 2-2 Breitenrain
10 Oct	Brühl 1-0 Grand-Saconnex
4 Oct	Bellinzona 0-4 Zürich II
3 Oct	Paradiso 1-0 Lugano II
3 Oct	Cham 2-4 Bulle