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CF Talavera vs Atlético Paso• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#61.4:1.02-1FT11/10 · Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina0.6:1.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78BTNX3.40BVC25.00BVCMargin at best5.6%Books9Markets45Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:10 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor1.703.405.008.2%
Dafabet1.723.404.808.4%
Betano1.783.304.508.7%
Pinnacle1.713.254.7910.1%
1xBet1.713.124.9810.6%
William Hill1.703.204.7511.1%
Bet3651.673.304.7511.2%
Marathonbet1.693.124.8511.8%
SBO1.623.074.2118.1%
Best of all books1.783.405.005.6%
Average1.703.244.7410.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CF TalaveraAtlético Paso
Last 10#6Table position#151.83Points per game0.8311Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.070Attack rating3050Defence rating5062Form rating3871H2H rating2957Goals model4365Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

CF Talavera

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

11 OctHAtlético Paso2-1W
3 OctAAlbacete II4-0W
27 SepHReal Valladolid II2-1W
20 SepAGetafe II1-1D
13 SepHReal Madrid III0-0D
9 SepHNavalcarnero0-2L
6 SepARSD Alcalá0-3L
19 AugHGetafe II0-1L
14 AugAIllescas1-1D
23 MayACacereño2-1W

Atlético Paso

2W 5D 3L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

11 OctACF Talavera1-2L
3 OctHReal Madrid III1-0W
27 SepAAlbacete II2-2D
19 SepHA Madrid III0-1L
13 SepACalvo Sotelo0-0D
6 SepHNumancia0-2L
10 MayAHerbania1-1D
3 MayHLas Palmas III1-0W
25 AprAPanadería Pulido1-1D
19 AprHTelde1-1D

Head to head

3CF Talavera wins
2draws
1Atlético Paso wins

6 meetings · goals 8:3 · last 6: 3W 2D 1L for CF Talavera

19 Jan 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5CF Talavera4-0Atlético Paso
8 Sep 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Atlético Paso1-2CF Talavera
14 Apr 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Atlético Paso1-0CF Talavera
3 Dec 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5CF Talavera0-0Atlético Paso
30 Apr 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5CF Talavera1-0Atlético Paso
17 Dec 2022Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Atlético Paso1-1CF Talavera

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 18 Oct 13:31 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, CF Talavera sit 6th with 11 points from 6 games, while Atlético Paso are 15th with 5 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1A Madrid III742110:7+314
2Real Valladolid II741214:6+813
3Conquense641114:7+713
4Numancia63306:1+512
5Salamanca UDS640210:7+312
6CF Talavera63219:6+311
7SS Reyes63129:6+310
8Gimnástica Segoviana723213:12+19
9Guadalajara622212:10+28
10Navalcarnero62229:908
11RSD Alcalá621310:1007
12Real Ávila72147:11-47
13Albacete II71339:21-126
14Atlético Tordesillas61238:10-25
15Atlético Paso61234:7-35
16Calvo Sotelo61232:8-65
17Real Madrid III60421:4-34
18Getafe II70436:11-54

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.70X28%3.24219%4.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 08:401 1.70X 3.242 4.74
11.54 → 1.70 +10.4%X3.57 → 3.24 -9.2%25.61 → 4.74 -15.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Pinnacle2.181.646.8%
BetVictor2.201.627.2%
Betano2.121.657.8%
1xBet2.131.619.1%
Marathonbet2.131.619.1%
Best of all books2.201.675.3%
Average2.151.637.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.001.718.5%
BetVictor2.051.678.7%
William Hill2.051.678.7%
Marathonbet2.001.699.2%
Betano1.951.729.4%
Best of all books2.051.726.9%
Average2.011.698.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CF Talavera 45%Draw 45%Atlético Paso 10%

The statistical model rated CF Talavera at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético Paso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.24 | 4.74, which imply roughly 58.8% for a CF Talavera win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: CF Talavera are 6th (11 pts, 9-6 goals), Atlético Paso 15th (5 pts, 4-7).

Over their last five matches, CF Talavera averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Atlético Paso averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : CF Talavera or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.703.244.74

Double chance

1XX212
1.131.971.25

Draw no bet

12
1.283.42

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.011.69

1st half

1X2
2.381.995.18

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.547.453.01

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.70
1.51.352.83
2.52.151.63
3.53.721.21
4.58.101.03
5.521.01.01
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.066.05
1.251.203.70
1.751.442.49
21.612.14
2.251.901.80
2.752.461.45
33.121.29
3.253.421.23
3.754.681.12
47.001.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.031.30
-1.252.691.39
-12.221.61
-0.751.911.80
-0.51.821.92
-0.251.472.42
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-39.601.01
-2.56.501.05
-2.254.491.13
-25.551.08
-1.753.851.18
01.233.52
+0.251.203.85
+0.51.253.59
+0.751.105.32
+11.028.50
+1.51.029.30

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 results

18 OctSalamanca UDS 1-1 Navalcarnero
18 OctNumancia 0-0 CF Talavera
18 OctRSD Alcalá 0-0 Real Madrid III
18 OctSS Reyes 2-1 Calvo Sotelo
18 OctConquense 2-2 Atlético Paso
18 OctAtlético Tordesillas 3-0 Guadalajara