CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II• Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Spain

#50.3:1.32-1FT27/09 · Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina2.3:0.7#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.10BTNX3.30BVC23.55PINMargin at best6.1%Books4Markets38Rating23 · 78Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 03:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.15	3.10	3.30	9.1%
1xBet	2.16	3.08	3.16	10.4%
Bet365	2.10	3.10	3.20	11.1%
Marathonbet	2.14	3.08	3.08	11.7%
Best of all books	2.16	3.10	3.30	8.9%
Average	2.14	3.09	3.19	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CF TalaveraReal Valladolid II

Last 10#5Table position#61.83Points per game1.6711Form pts · last 570.3Goals for · last 52.31.3Goals against · last 50.713Attack rating8833Defence rating6725Form rating750H2H rating1000Goals model023Overall rating78

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 12:21 UTC

CF Talavera

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

11 Oct	H	Atlético Paso	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Albacete II	4-0	W
27 Sep	H	Real Valladolid II	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Getafe II	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Real Madrid III	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Navalcarnero	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	RSD Alcalá	0-3	L
19 Aug	H	Getafe II	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Illescas	1-1	D
23 May	A	Cacereño	2-1	W

Real Valladolid II

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	A	Gimnástica Segoviana	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Calvo Sotelo	3-0	W
27 Sep	A	CF Talavera	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Albacete II	6-1	W
12 Sep	A	SS Reyes	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Navalcarnero	1-0	W
12 Aug	H	Leganés II	3-3	D
8 Aug	H	Real Madrid III	0-1	L
3 May	H	Burgos Promesas	2-0	W
26 Apr	A	Deportivo La Coruña II	1-0	W

Head to head

0CF Talavera wins

0draws

2Real Valladolid II wins

2 meetings · goals 1:4 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for CF Talavera

6 Apr 2022Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Real Valladolid II2-1CF Talavera
29 Oct 2021Primera División RFEF - Group 1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1	CF Talavera0-2Real Valladolid II

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 5updated 15 Oct 00:04 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table, CF Talavera sit 5th with 11 points from 6 games, while Real Valladolid II are 6th with 10 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	6	4	1	1	14:7	+7	13
2	A Madrid III	6	4	1	1	9:6	+3	13
3	Numancia	6	3	3	0	6:1	+5	12
4	Salamanca UDS	6	4	0	2	10:7	+3	12
5	CF Talavera	6	3	2	1	9:6	+3	11
6	Real Valladolid II	6	3	1	2	12:5	+7	10
7	SS Reyes	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10
8	Guadalajara	6	2	2	2	12:10	+2	8
9	Gimnástica Segoviana	6	2	2	2	12:11	+1	8
10	Navalcarnero	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8
11	RSD Alcalá	6	2	1	3	10:10	0	7
12	Real Ávila	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7
13	Atlético Tordesillas	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5
14	Atlético Paso	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
15	Calvo Sotelo	6	1	2	3	2:8	-6	5
16	Albacete II	6	1	2	3	7:19	-12	5
17	Real Madrid III	6	0	4	2	1:4	-3	4
18	Getafe II	6	0	3	3	4:9	-5	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X29%3.15226%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 2.02 -5.6%X3.09 → 3.18 +2.9%23.19 → 3.41 +6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Betano	2.15	1.55	11.0%
Best of all books	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Average	2.21	1.57	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Betano	1.90	1.72	10.8%
Best of all books	1.92	1.77	8.6%
Average	1.91	1.75	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CF Talavera 0%Draw 50%Real Valladolid II 50%

The statistical model rated CF Talavera at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Real Valladolid II at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.15 | 3.40, which imply roughly 31.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 table: CF Talavera are 5th (11 pts, 9-6 goals), Real Valladolid II 6th (10 pts, 12-5).

Over their last five matches, CF Talavera averaged 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Real Valladolid II averaged 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Real Valladolid II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.14	3.09	3.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.59	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.24

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	1.96	3.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	7.45	2.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.35
1.5	1.37	2.64
2.5	2.21	1.57
3.5	4.00	1.17
4.5	7.30	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.47	2.35
2	1.64	2.02
2.25	1.94	1.74
2.75	2.59	1.39
3	3.34	1.24
3.25	3.80	1.19
3.75	5.06	1.10
4	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.50	1.22
-0.75	2.56	1.40
-0.25	1.85	1.85
0	1.55	2.23
+0.25	1.38	2.62
+0.75	1.17	3.98

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-2	8.40	1.03
-1.75	5.46	1.08
-1.5	4.55	1.13
-1.25	4.05	1.16
+1	1.06	6.35
+1.5	1.03	7.50