Estepona vs Ciudad de Lucena• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#81.8:1.02-2FTToday2.0:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.98BTNX3.30B36523.90BFRMargin at best6.4%Books10Markets43Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.95	3.40	3.65	8.1%
Betano	1.90	3.15	4.05	9.1%
Pinnacle	1.82	3.23	4.30	9.2%
1xBet	1.87	3.24	3.82	10.5%
Betfair	1.85	3.30	3.80	10.7%
William Hill	1.91	3.10	3.80	10.9%
Bet365	1.85	3.30	3.75	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.24	3.98	11.9%
SBO	1.89	2.89	3.28	18.0%
BetVictor	1.80	2.90	3.30	20.3%
Best of all books	1.95	3.40	4.30	3.9%
Average	1.86	3.17	3.77	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EsteponaCiudad de Lucena

Last 10#8Table position#31.57Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 5121.8Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5344Defence rating5645Form rating550H2H rating019Goals model8139Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

Estepona

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

18 Oct	A	Marbella	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Atlético Central	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Don Benito	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Tenerife II	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Puente Genil	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Linares Deportivo	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Xerez	0-0	D
16 May	H	Real Madrid III	3-1	W
10 May	A	Real Madrid III	2-2	D
3 May	A	Yeclano	1-1	D

Ciudad de Lucena

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

18 Oct	A	Xerez	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Don Benito	4-2	W
4 Oct	H	Puente Genil	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Antoniano	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Tenerife II	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Mijas Las Lagunas	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Linares Deportivo	1-1	D
10 May	H	Dos Hermanas	2-1	W
3 May	A	Cádiz II	0-3	L
26 Apr	H	Tomares	5-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Estepona and Ciudad de Lucena on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 24 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Estepona sit 8th with 11 points from 7 games, while Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd with 14 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Recreativo Huelva	8	5	2	1	18:7	+11	17
2	Real Betis II	8	4	3	1	12:5	+7	15
3	Ciudad de Lucena	7	4	2	1	12:6	+6	14
4	Don Benito	8	4	2	2	14:11	+3	14
5	Badajoz	7	4	2	1	8:5	+3	14
6	Mijas Las Lagunas	8	3	4	1	17:13	+4	13
7	Linares Deportivo	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12
8	Estepona	7	3	2	2	10:9	+1	11
9	Puente Genil	7	3	1	3	8:6	+2	10
10	Tenerife II	7	3	1	3	11:11	0	10
11	Sevilla Atletico	7	2	3	2	12:12	0	9
12	Sanluqueño	7	1	4	2	10:11	-1	7
13	Xerez	7	1	3	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Marbella	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
15	Atlético Central	7	2	0	5	10:15	-5	6
16	Tamaraceite	7	2	0	5	7:14	-7	6
17	Las Palmas II	7	1	2	4	3:11	-8	5
18	Antoniano	8	0	3	5	6:17	-11	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.86X28%3.18224%3.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.90 → 1.89 -0.5%X3.25 → 3.19 -1.8%23.74 → 3.73 -0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.11	1.69	6.6%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.65	9.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.53	20.0%
Best of all books	2.15	1.69	5.7%
Average	2.04	1.64	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.87	1.82	8.4%
Betano	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.77	9.4%
BetVictor	1.70	1.65	19.4%
Best of all books	1.91	1.82	7.3%
Average	1.84	1.77	10.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estepona 10%Draw 45%Ciudad de Lucena 45%

The statistical model rated Estepona at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ciudad de Lucena at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.18 | 3.77, which imply roughly 31.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Estepona are 8th (11 pts, 10-9 goals), Ciudad de Lucena 3rd (14 pts, 12-6).

Over their last five matches, Estepona averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ciudad de Lucena averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ciudad de Lucena.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.86	3.18	3.77

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.79	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.35	2.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.45	2.02	4.42

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.33	4.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.01	14.5	38.1
HT X	4.78	4.75	7.85
HT 2	26.0	15.4	6.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	7.95	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.85
1.5	1.34	2.90
2.5	2.05	1.64
3.5	3.52	1.23
4.5	6.05	1.08
5.5	19.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.68
1.25	1.18	3.87
1.75	1.41	2.60
2	1.55	2.24
2.25	1.80	1.84
2.75	2.38	1.49
3	2.95	1.32
3.25	3.28	1.25
3.75	3.90	1.21
4	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.97	1.32
-1	2.60	1.41
-0.75	2.09	1.64
-0.5	1.84	1.84
-0.25	1.58	2.20
0	1.34	2.94

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.35	1.04
-2	6.45	1.06
-1.75	4.40	1.17
-1.5	3.42	1.23
+0.25	1.25	3.39
+0.75	1.11	5.00
+1	1.02	8.15
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches

25 Oct	Sevilla Atletico – Tenerife II
25 Oct	Atlético Central – Tamaraceite
25 Oct	Sanluqueño – Las Palmas II
25 Oct	Puente Genil – Badajoz
25 Oct	Xerez – Marbella

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 results

24 Oct	Don Benito 1-1 Linares Deportivo
24 Oct	Recreativo Huelva 5-0 Antoniano
24 Oct	Mijas Las Lagunas 1-1 Real Betis II
18 Oct	Xerez 0-1 Ciudad de Lucena
18 Oct	Badajoz 1-0 Sanluqueño
18 Oct	Don Benito 4-2 Atlético Central