Xerez vs 
Marbella• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 16:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.40 | 8.0% |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.25 | 4.30 | 9.0% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.20 | 9.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.02 | 4.27 | 9.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.04 | 4.42 | 10.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.20 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.04 | 4.30 | 11.7% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 2.90 | 4.20 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.42 | 6.0% |
| Average | 1.84 | 3.11 | 4.29 | 10.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 06:01 UTC
Xerez
1W 6D 3L · goals 5:7 · per match 0.5 for, 0.7 against
| 18 Oct | H | Ciudad de Lucena | 0-1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Real Betis II | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Oct | H | Tenerife II | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Recreativo Huelva | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Don Benito | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Badajoz | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Estepona | 0-0 | D |
| 14 Aug | A | Portuense | 0-0 | D |
| 17 May | A | Conquense | 0-0 | D |
| 9 May | H | Conquense | 1-1 | D |
Marbella
2W 3D 5L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against
| 18 Oct | H | Estepona | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Badajoz | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | Real Betis II | 0-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Puente Genil | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Atlético Central | 4-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Sevilla Atletico | 0-3 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Sanluqueño | 2-2 | D |
| 22 May | H | Teruel | 3-1 | W |
| 16 May | A | Alcorcon | 2-6 | L |
| 10 May | H | Juventud Torremolinos | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Xerez and Marbella on record.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 24 Oct 19:10 UTC
In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Xerez sit 13th with 6 points from 7 games, while Marbella are 14th with 6 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recreativo Huelva | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:7 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 | Real Betis II | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 | Ciudad de Lucena | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 14 |
| 4 | Don Benito | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Badajoz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17:13 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Linares Deportivo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Estepona | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Puente Genil | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Tenerife II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Sevilla Atletico | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Sanluqueño | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Xerez | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Marbella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlético Central | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Tamaraceite | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Las Palmas II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.47 | 1.50 | 7.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 1.53 | 7.4% |
| Betano | 2.30 | 1.53 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 1.50 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 1.50 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.47 | 1.53 | 5.8% |
| Average | 2.37 | 1.51 | 8.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.15 | 1.65 | 7.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 1.63 | 8.5% |
| Betano | 2.12 | 1.62 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 1.61 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 1.65 | 7.1% |
| Average | 2.13 | 1.63 | 8.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Xerez at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Marbella at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.82 | 3.12 | 4.31, which imply roughly 54.9% for a Xerez win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Xerez are 13th (6 pts, 4-6 goals), Marbella 14th (6 pts, 6-9).
Over their last five matches, Xerez averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Marbella averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Xerez or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 | 3.11 | 4.29 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | 1.83 | 1.30 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.33 | 3.10 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.13 | 1.63 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.49 | 1.95 | 5.01 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | 2.23 | 4.66 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.82 | 17.0 | 50.3 |
| HT X | 4.50 | 4.53 | 9.17 |
| HT 2 | 28.0 | 17.5 | 7.33 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 6.53 | 2.87 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.07 | 6.50 |
| 1.5 | 1.44 | 2.51 |
| 2.5 | 2.37 | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 4.32 | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 7.90 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 26.0 | 1.01 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.09 | 5.25 |
| 1.25 | 1.27 | 3.21 |
| 1.75 | 1.57 | 2.21 |
| 2 | 1.78 | 1.91 |
| 2.25 | 2.09 | 1.64 |
| 2.75 | 2.84 | 1.35 |
| 3 | 3.68 | 1.20 |
| 3.25 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| 3.75 | 5.30 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 8.40 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.13 | 1.29 |
| -1 | 2.73 | 1.39 |
| -0.75 | 2.12 | 1.62 |
| -0.5 | 1.84 | 1.93 |
| -0.25 | 1.57 | 2.19 |
| 0 | 1.31 | 3.04 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.60 | 1.03 |
| -2 | 6.70 | 1.05 |
| -1.75 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| -1.5 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| +0.25 | 1.22 | 3.59 |
| +0.75 | 1.10 | 5.70 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 8.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches
| 25 Oct | Sevilla Atletico – Tenerife II |
| 25 Oct | Atlético Central – Tamaraceite |
| 25 Oct | Sanluqueño – Las Palmas II |
| 25 Oct | Puente Genil – Badajoz |