Estepona vs Atlético Central• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#61.4:1.43-2FT11/101.2:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62WHX3.80DAF25.50B365Margin at best6.2%Books10Markets45Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.59	3.80	5.20	8.4%
Betano	1.60	3.70	5.20	8.8%
Pinnacle	1.57	3.69	5.36	9.5%
1xBet	1.57	3.56	5.31	10.6%
William Hill	1.62	3.40	5.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.55	3.56	5.20	11.8%
Bet365	1.50	3.70	5.50	11.9%
Betfair	1.53	3.75	5.00	12.0%
SBO	1.53	3.28	4.54	17.9%
BetVictor	1.45	3.25	4.75	20.8%
Best of all books	1.62	3.80	5.50	6.2%
Average	1.55	3.57	5.11	12.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EsteponaAtlético Central

Last 10#6Table position#141.57Points per game1.009Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.654Attack rating4653Defence rating4754Form rating460H2H rating065Goals model3557Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Estepona

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	H	Atlético Central	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Don Benito	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Tenerife II	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Puente Genil	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Linares Deportivo	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Xerez	0-0	D
16 May	H	Real Madrid III	3-1	W
10 May	A	Real Madrid III	2-2	D
3 May	A	Yeclano	1-1	D
26 Apr	H	Águilas	2-1	W

Atlético Central

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	A	Estepona	2-3	L
4 Oct	H	Linares Deportivo	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Sevilla Atletico	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Marbella	1-4	L
13 Sep	A	Tenerife II	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Recreativo Huelva	2-0	W
20 Jun	A	Caudal	1-1	D
14 Jun	H	Caudal	2-0	W
7 Jun	A	Dos Hermanas	4-1	W
31 May	H	Dos Hermanas	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Estepona and Atlético Central on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 18 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Estepona sit 6th with 11 points from 7 games, while Atlético Central are 14th with 6 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Betis II	7	4	2	1	11:4	+7	14
2	Recreativo Huelva	7	4	2	1	13:7	+6	14
3	Mijas Las Lagunas	7	3	3	1	16:12	+4	12
4	Ciudad de Lucena	6	3	2	1	11:6	+5	11
5	Badajoz	6	3	2	1	7:5	+2	11
6	Estepona	7	3	2	2	10:9	+1	11
7	Linares Deportivo	7	3	2	2	8:8	0	11
8	Puente Genil	7	3	1	3	8:6	+2	10
9	Don Benito	6	3	1	2	9:8	+1	10
10	Tenerife II	7	3	1	3	11:11	0	10
11	Sevilla Atletico	7	2	3	2	12:12	0	9
12	Sanluqueño	6	1	4	1	10:10	0	7
13	Xerez	6	1	3	2	4:5	-1	6
14	Atlético Central	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6
15	Marbella	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
16	Tamaraceite	7	2	0	5	7:14	-7	6
17	Las Palmas II	7	1	2	4	3:11	-8	5
18	Antoniano	7	0	3	4	6:12	-6	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.55X25%3.57217%5.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.65 → 1.55 -6.1%X3.45 → 3.57 +3.5%24.59 → 5.11 +11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.97	1.82	5.7%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
BetVictor	1.73	1.61	19.9%
Best of all books	2.00	1.82	4.9%
Average	1.92	1.74	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.93	1.76	8.6%
Betano	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.74	9.3%
BetVictor	1.78	1.57	19.9%
Best of all books	1.98	1.85	4.6%
Average	1.89	1.73	10.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estepona 45%Draw 45%Atlético Central 10%

The statistical model rated Estepona at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atlético Central at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 3.57 | 5.11, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Estepona win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Estepona are 6th (11 pts, 10-9 goals), Atlético Central 14th (6 pts, 8-11).

Over their last five matches, Estepona averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Atlético Central averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Estepona or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	3.57	5.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.14	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	3.71

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
2.11	2.12	5.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	8.85	3.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.75
1.5	1.30	3.09
2.5	1.92	1.74
3.5	3.25	1.26
4.5	6.10	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.25	1.17	4.07
1.75	1.35	2.81
2	1.46	2.44
2.25	1.70	1.95
2.75	2.19	1.57
3	2.68	1.38
3.25	3.00	1.31
3.75	4.14	1.16
4	5.75	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.63	1.40
-1.25	2.32	1.51
-1	1.97	1.71
-0.75	1.73	1.93
-0.5	1.61	2.22
-0.25	1.37	2.72

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2.25	4.91	1.11
-2	4.50	1.13
-1.75	3.17	1.28
0	1.19	3.91
+0.25	1.14	4.45
+0.75	1.11	5.26
+1	1.01	9.35
+1.5	1.02	9.40

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 results

18 Oct	Don Benito 4-2 Atlético Central
18 Oct	Badajoz 1-0 Sanluqueño
18 Oct	Tamaraceite 3-2 Real Betis II
18 Oct	Las Palmas II 1-2 Puente Genil
18 Oct	Antoniano 3-3 Sevilla Atletico
18 Oct	Tenerife II 1-3 Mijas Las Lagunas