Estepona vs 
Don Benito• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.54 | 3.48 | 4.8% |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.50 | 9.1% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 10.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 11.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.09 | 3.54 | 3.50 | 4.7% |
| Average | 2.04 | 3.26 | 3.45 | 8.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC
Estepona
5W 3D 2L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against
| 11 Oct | H | Atlético Central | 3-2 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Don Benito | 3-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Tenerife II | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Puente Genil | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Linares Deportivo | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Xerez | 0-0 | D |
| 16 May | H | Real Madrid III | 3-1 | W |
| 10 May | A | Real Madrid III | 2-2 | D |
| 3 May | A | Yeclano | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Apr | H | Águilas | 2-1 | W |
Don Benito
5W 2D 3L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against
| 11 Oct | A | Ciudad de Lucena | 2-4 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Estepona | 1-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Sanluqueño | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Xerez | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Las Palmas II | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Antoniano | 2-1 | W |
| 10 May | A | Moralo | 1-1 | D |
| 3 May | H | Diocesano | 8-1 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Villafranca | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Apr | A | Jerez | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 5:2 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Estepona
| 4 May 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Estepona1-1Don Benito |
| 22 Dec 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Don Benito1-2Estepona |
| 5 Feb 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Estepona0-0Don Benito |
| 18 Sep 2022Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 | Don Benito0-2Estepona |
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 17 Oct 00:10 UTC
In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Estepona sit 6th with 10 points from 6 games, while Don Benito are 7th with 10 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis II | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Ciudad de Lucena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Badajoz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 |
| 5 | Tenerife II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Estepona | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | Don Benito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Linares Deportivo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:11 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 | Sevilla Atletico | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Puente Genil | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 | Sanluqueño | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Xerez | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Atlético Central | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Marbella | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Las Palmas II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 5 |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 1.72 | 5.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| Betano | 2.05 | 1.60 | 11.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 1.72 | 4.7% |
| Average | 2.11 | 1.66 | 7.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 1.83 | 8.4% |
| Betano | 1.83 | 1.78 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.86 | 1.83 | 8.4% |
| Average | 1.85 | 1.81 | 9.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Estepona at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Don Benito at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.11 | 3.64, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Estepona are 6th (10 pts, 10-9 goals), Don Benito 7th (10 pts, 9-8).
Over their last five matches, Estepona averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Don Benito averaged 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Don Benito.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.04 | 3.26 | 3.45 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 1.67 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.48 | 2.44 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.85 | 1.81 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.74 | 2.05 | 4.07 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | 7.50 | 2.40 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 7.30 |
| 1.5 | 1.37 | 2.79 |
| 2.5 | 2.11 | 1.66 |
| 3.5 | 3.56 | 1.23 |
| 4.5 | 6.75 | 1.06 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.06 | 6.35 |
| 1.25 | 1.20 | 4.18 |
| 1.75 | 1.42 | 2.49 |
| 2 | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| 2.25 | 1.89 | 1.87 |
| 2.75 | 2.41 | 1.45 |
| 3 | 2.97 | 1.30 |
| 3.25 | 3.56 | 1.25 |
| 3.75 | 4.60 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| -1 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| -0.75 | 2.33 | 1.48 |
| -0.25 | 1.76 | 1.98 |
| 0 | 1.47 | 2.41 |
| +0.25 | 1.33 | 2.83 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 7.80 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 4.79 | 1.12 |
| -1.5 | 3.95 | 1.17 |
| +0.75 | 1.15 | 4.24 |
| +1 | 1.05 | 6.70 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 7.80 |