Estepona vs Don Benito• Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, Spain

#81.0:1.53-1FT03/101.5:0.3#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00B365X3.561XB23.94PINMargin at best3.5%Books4Markets38Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.09	3.54	3.48	4.8%
Betano	2.05	3.15	3.50	9.1%
Betfair	2.00	3.25	3.40	10.2%
Bet365	2.00	3.10	3.40	11.7%
Best of all books	2.09	3.54	3.50	4.7%
Average	2.04	3.26	3.45	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EsteponaDon Benito

Last 10#8Table position#41.57Points per game1.7510Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.51.5Goals against · last 50.340Attack rating6014Defence rating8629Form rating7180H2H rating208Goals model9240Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

Estepona

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

18 Oct	A	Marbella	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Atlético Central	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Don Benito	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Tenerife II	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Puente Genil	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Linares Deportivo	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Xerez	0-0	D
16 May	H	Real Madrid III	3-1	W
10 May	A	Real Madrid III	2-2	D
3 May	A	Yeclano	1-1	D

Don Benito

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:13 · per match 2.2 for, 1.3 against

18 Oct	H	Atlético Central	4-2	W
11 Oct	A	Ciudad de Lucena	2-4	L
3 Oct	A	Estepona	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Sanluqueño	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Xerez	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Las Palmas II	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Antoniano	2-1	W
10 May	A	Moralo	1-1	D
3 May	H	Diocesano	8-1	W
26 Apr	A	Villafranca	0-1	L

Head to head

2Estepona wins

2draws

0Don Benito wins

4 meetings · goals 5:2 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Estepona

4 May 2025Segunda División RFEF - Group 4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4	Estepona1-1Don Benito
22 Dec 2024Segunda División RFEF - Group 4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4	Don Benito1-2Estepona
5 Feb 2023Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Estepona0-0Don Benito
18 Sep 2022Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5	Don Benito0-2Estepona

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 tableGroup 4updated 24 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Estepona sit 8th with 11 points from 7 games, while Don Benito are 4th with 14 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Recreativo Huelva	8	5	2	1	18:7	+11	17
2	Real Betis II	8	4	3	1	12:5	+7	15
3	Ciudad de Lucena	7	4	2	1	12:6	+6	14
4	Don Benito	8	4	2	2	14:11	+3	14
5	Badajoz	7	4	2	1	8:5	+3	14
6	Mijas Las Lagunas	8	3	4	1	17:13	+4	13
7	Linares Deportivo	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12
8	Estepona	7	3	2	2	10:9	+1	11
9	Puente Genil	7	3	1	3	8:6	+2	10
10	Tenerife II	7	3	1	3	11:11	0	10
11	Sevilla Atletico	7	2	3	2	12:12	0	9
12	Sanluqueño	7	1	4	2	10:11	-1	7
13	Xerez	7	1	3	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Marbella	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
15	Atlético Central	7	2	0	5	10:15	-5	6
16	Tamaraceite	7	2	0	5	7:14	-7	6
17	Las Palmas II	7	1	2	4	3:11	-8	5
18	Antoniano	8	0	3	5	6:17	-11	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.92X29%3.11225%3.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.04 → 1.92 -5.9%X3.26 → 3.11 -4.6%23.45 → 3.64 +5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.12	1.72	5.3%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betano	2.05	1.60	11.3%
Best of all books	2.15	1.72	4.7%
Average	2.11	1.66	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.83	8.4%
Betano	1.83	1.78	10.8%
Best of all books	1.86	1.83	8.4%
Average	1.85	1.81	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estepona 10%Draw 45%Don Benito 45%

The statistical model rated Estepona at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Don Benito at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.11 | 3.64, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table: Estepona are 8th (11 pts, 10-9 goals), Don Benito 4th (14 pts, 14-11).

Over their last five matches, Estepona averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Don Benito averaged 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Don Benito.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.04	3.26	3.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.67	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.48	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
2.74	2.05	4.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	7.50	2.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.30
1.5	1.37	2.79
2.5	2.11	1.66
3.5	3.56	1.23
4.5	6.75	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.35
1.25	1.20	4.18
1.75	1.42	2.49
2	1.57	2.14
2.25	1.89	1.87
2.75	2.41	1.45
3	2.97	1.30
3.25	3.56	1.25
3.75	4.60	1.16
4	6.45	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.50	1.22
-1	3.08	1.28
-0.75	2.33	1.48
-0.25	1.76	1.98
0	1.47	2.41
+0.25	1.33	2.83

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.70	1.01
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.75	4.79	1.12
-1.5	3.95	1.17
+0.75	1.15	4.24
+1	1.05	6.70
+1.5	1.02	7.80

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 matches

25 Oct	Sevilla Atletico – Tenerife II
25 Oct	Atlético Central – Tamaraceite
25 Oct	Sanluqueño – Las Palmas II
25 Oct	Puente Genil – Badajoz
25 Oct	Xerez – Marbella

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 results

24 Oct	Estepona 2-2 Ciudad de Lucena
24 Oct	Don Benito 1-1 Linares Deportivo
24 Oct	Recreativo Huelva 5-0 Antoniano
24 Oct	Mijas Las Lagunas 1-1 Real Betis II
18 Oct	Xerez 0-1 Ciudad de Lucena
18 Oct	Don Benito 4-2 Atlético Central