Atlético Astorga vs Arosa• Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, Spain

#161.4:2.21-1FTToday · Ourense2.0:1.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.61PINX3.30B36522.61PINMargin at best6.9%Books10Markets42Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.60	3.30	2.55	8.0%
Pinnacle	2.61	3.15	2.61	8.4%
Betano	2.57	3.30	2.52	8.9%
Betfair	2.55	3.25	2.50	10.0%
Bet365	2.50	3.30	2.45	11.1%
William Hill	2.50	3.00	2.60	11.8%
1xBet	2.50	3.22	2.45	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.50	3.22	2.45	11.9%
SBO	2.39	2.96	2.35	18.2%
BetVictor	2.38	3.00	2.25	19.8%
Best of all books	2.61	3.30	2.61	6.9%
Average	2.51	3.17	2.47	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlético AstorgaArosa

Last 10#16Table position#150.73Points per game0.824Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 52.02.2Goals against · last 51.841Attack rating5945Defence rating5544Form rating560H2H rating074Goals model2651Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 06:10 UTC

Atlético Astorga

2W 1D 7L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

7 Nov	A	Eibar II	1-4	L
1 Nov	A	Racing Santander II	0-2	L
24 Oct	H	Gernika	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Compostela	1-4	L
10 Oct	H	Ourense CF	4-0	W
3 Oct	H	Amorebieta	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Sestao River	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Marino de Luanco	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Basconia	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Portugalete	0-1	L

Arosa

2W 4D 4L · goals 16:20 · per match 1.6 for, 2.0 against

8 Nov	H	Compostela	1-2	L
1 Nov	A	Portugalete	3-3	D
27 Oct	H	Pontevedra	2-0	W
24 Oct	A	Sestao River	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Llanera	4-1	W
11 Oct	H	Bergantiños	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Ourense CF	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Deportivo Alavés II	2-5	L
19 Sep	A	Basconia	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Gernika	0-4	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Atlético Astorga and Arosa on record.

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 tableSegunda Rfef: Group 1updated 14 Nov 20:40 UTC

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table, Atlético Astorga sit 16th with 8 points from 11 games, while Arosa are 15th with 9 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	13:3	+10	25
2	Eibar II	11	6	3	2	20:10	+10	21
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	23:14	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	23:15	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	13:9	+4	17
6	Amorebieta	11	5	2	4	13:11	+2	17
7	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	15:12	+3	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	13:16	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	15:15	0	14
10	Racing Santander II	11	4	2	5	15:18	-3	14
11	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	9:12	-3	14
12	Gernika	10	2	6	2	15:9	+6	12
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	16:24	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	9:13	-4	9
15	Arosa	11	1	6	4	17:23	-6	9
16	Atlético Astorga	11	2	2	7	13:19	-6	8
17	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	8:14	-6	8
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	11	1	3	7	8:21	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.51X28%3.17236%2.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.76 → 2.51 -9.1%X3.39 → 3.17 -6.5%22.22 → 2.47 +11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.94	5.6%
SBO	1.84	1.92	6.4%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
BetVictor	1.63	1.71	19.8%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.78	1.90	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.16	8.4%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
BetVictor	1.50	1.87	20.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.16	6.9%
Average	1.59	2.08	10.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlético Astorga 35%Draw 35%Arosa 30%

The statistical model rated Atlético Astorga at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Arosa at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 3.17 | 2.47, which imply roughly 39.8% for a Atlético Astorga win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 table: Atlético Astorga are 16th (8 pts, 13-19 goals), Arosa 15th (9 pts, 17-23).

Over their last five matches, Atlético Astorga averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Arosa averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atlético Astorga or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.51	3.17	2.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.43	1.39	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.82	1.79

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
3.09	2.13	2.95

2nd half

1	X	2
2.86	2.46	2.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.01	12.9	25.0
HT X	6.10	5.40	6.13
HT 2	25.5	13.6	3.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	10.1	1.96

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.60
1.5	1.23	3.47
2.5	1.78	1.90
3.5	2.81	1.34
4.5	5.13	1.12
5.5	10.1	1.04

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.15	4.70
1.75	1.28	3.19
2	1.35	2.81
2.25	1.57	2.21
2.75	1.99	1.72
3	2.31	1.51
3.25	2.61	1.41
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.50	1.13
4.25	4.50	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.55	1.47
-0.25	2.18	1.59
0	1.85	1.80
+0.25	1.66	2.10
+0.5	1.47	2.55
+0.75	1.32	2.95

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-1.5	4.90	1.11
-1.25	4.30	1.18
-1	4.10	1.16
-0.75	3.01	1.31
+1	1.18	3.92
+1.25	1.14	4.33
+1.5	1.12	4.75
+2	1.01	9.00
+2.5	1.02	8.60

Next Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 matches

15 Nov	Basconia – Deportivo Alavés II
15 Nov	Coruxo – Llanera
15 Nov	Compostela – Ourense CF
15 Nov	Gernika – Real Oviedo II

All Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 results

14 Nov	Portugalete 4-1 Marino de Luanco
14 Nov	Amorebieta 1-1 Eibar II
14 Nov	Racing Santander II 2-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega
8 Nov	Sestao River 2-0 Deportivo Alavés II
8 Nov	Gimnástica Torrelavega 0-0 Gernika
8 Nov	Arosa 1-2 Compostela