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Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas• Second League, Bulgaria

#111.2:1.612:3031/10 · Gradski stadion, Nesebar2.6:0.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.00BFRX3.25BFR22.22BTNMargin at best9.1%Books6Markets41Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 20:37 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betfair3.003.252.209.6%
BetVictor3.003.202.2010.0%
1xBet2.953.142.2111.0%
Betano2.873.202.2211.1%
Bet3652.903.202.2011.2%
Marathonbet2.883.142.1912.2%
Best of all books3.003.252.229.1%
Average2.933.192.2010.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NesebarChernomorets 1919 Burgas
Last 10#11Table position#31.38Points per game1.924Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.61.6Goals against · last 50.632Attack rating6827Defence rating7328Form rating7271H2H rating2937Goals model6341Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:03 UTC

Nesebar

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

23 OctAHebar 19181-2L
18 OctHCSKA Sofia0-2L
10 OctHCSKA Sofia II0-0D
4 OctARodopa Smolyan3-1W
27 SepAVihren0-2L
20 SepHBeroe4-3W
15 SepALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1-1D
6 SepHRilski Sportist2-1W
2 SepAMarek0-1L
29 AugHYantra 20191-1D

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

7W 2D 1L · goals 21:9 · per match 2.1 for, 0.9 against

23 OctHSportist Svoge1-1D
18 OctHBotev Plovdiv0-4L
10 OctADobrudzha3-0W
4 OctAVolov Shumen2-0W
27 SepHMontana2-0W
20 SepAEtar Veliko Tarnovo4-2W
13 SepHSpartak Pleven3-0W
7 SepAFratria2-2D
2 SepHLudogorets II1-0W
29 AugAPirin Blagoevgrad3-0W

Head to head

3Nesebar wins
1draws
5Chernomorets 1919 Burgas wins

9 meetings · goals 6:11 · last 9: 3W 1D 5L for Nesebar

5 Feb 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNesebar0-3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
6 May 2023Third League - SoutheastThird League - SoutheastNesebar1-0Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
26 Oct 2022Third League - SoutheastThird League - SoutheastChernomorets 1919 Burgas0-1Nesebar
16 Apr 2022Third League - SoutheastThird League - SoutheastNesebar1-0Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
9 Oct 2021Third League - SoutheastThird League - SoutheastChernomorets 1919 Burgas0-0Nesebar
24 Jul 2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsNesebar1-3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
21 Apr 2021Third League - SoutheastThird League - SoutheastNesebar1-2Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
12 Sep 2020Third League - SoutheastThird League - SoutheastChernomorets 1919 Burgas1-0Nesebar
9 Nov 2019Third League - SoutheastThird League - SoutheastChernomorets 1919 Burgas2-1Nesebar

Second League tableB PFGupdated 27 Oct 19:50 UTC

In the Second League table, Nesebar sit 11th with 18 points from 13 games, while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd with 25 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II1374226:12+1425
2Vihren1374226:13+1325
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1374222:9+1325
4Fratria1264217:10+722
5Beroe1363421:16+521
6Hebar 19181362529:21+820
7Yantra 20191362516:14+220
8Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1355311:10+120
9Rilski Sportist1354415:13+219
10Marek1353515:15018
11Nesebar1353521:19+218
12Spartak Pleven1352614:24-1017
13Etar Veliko Tarnovo1252520:21-117
14Ludogorets II1143412:12015
15Sportist Svoge132569:14-511
16Montana1232715:26-1111
17Dobrudzha1223712:21-99
18Pirin Blagoevgrad1301125:36-311

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.93X28%3.19241%2.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.051.755.9%
1xBet1.981.719.0%
Marathonbet1.981.719.0%
Betano1.951.7010.1%
Best of all books2.051.755.9%
Average1.991.728.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.781.938.0%
1xBet1.771.909.1%
Marathonbet1.771.8710.0%
Best of all books1.781.938.0%
Average1.771.909.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nesebar 10%Draw 45%Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 45%

The statistical model rates Nesebar at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.93 | 3.19 | 2.20, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League table: Nesebar are 11th (18 pts, 21-19 goals), Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3rd (25 pts, 22-9).

Over their last five matches, Nesebar averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas averaged 2.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.933.192.20

Double chance

1XX212
1.541.311.27

Draw no bet

12
2.131.62

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.90

1st half

1X2
3.602.062.88

2nd half

1X2
3.292.352.56

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.8214.428.3
HT X6.704.845.35
HT 233.314.43.57

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.208.551.84

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.028.10
1.51.302.97
2.51.991.72
3.53.421.23
4.56.551.05
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.50
11.046.85
1.251.174.00
1.751.382.63
21.492.30
2.251.741.91
2.752.261.53
32.781.34
3.253.091.29
3.754.261.15
45.851.07
4.256.151.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.511.22
-0.252.441.44
02.111.62
+0.251.781.92
+0.751.402.57
+11.233.42
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.001.02
-1.56.051.06
-1.255.651.08
-15.201.10
+1.251.183.90
+1.51.144.30
+1.751.085.55
+21.018.30

Next Second League matches

28 OctFratria – Montana
29 OctYantra 2019 – Hebar 1918
30 OctRilski Sportist – Vihren
30 OctLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – Beroe
30 OctPirin Blagoevgrad – Etar Veliko Tarnovo
31 OctMarek – CSKA Sofia II

All Second League fixtures and the table

Latest Second League results

27 OctLudogorets II 5-1 Dobrudzha
23 OctHebar 1918 2-1 Nesebar
23 OctLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
23 OctBeroe 3-1 Rilski Sportist
23 OctSpartak Pleven 2-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
23 OctChernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-1 Sportist Svoge