Fratria vs Montana• Second League, Bulgaria

#41.6:1.216:00Today · Albena Stadium0.6:3.6#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40WHX4.60BFR28.00B365Margin at best5.7%Books9Markets62Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.39	4.30	6.60	10.3%
BetVictor	1.36	4.40	7.00	10.5%
Betano	1.40	4.15	6.50	10.9%
1xBet	1.35	4.25	7.50	10.9%
William Hill	1.40	4.00	6.50	11.8%
Bet365	1.33	4.10	8.00	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.34	4.25	7.10	12.2%
Betfair	1.33	4.60	6.50	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.37	4.26	6.22	12.5%
Best of all books	1.40	4.60	8.00	5.7%
Average	1.36	4.26	6.88	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FratriaMontana

Last 10#4Table position#161.83Points per game0.929Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 50.61.2Goals against · last 53.673Attack rating2775Defence rating25100Form rating050H2H rating5085Goals model1567Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 03:01 UTC

Fratria

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	Botev Vratsa	1-2	L
9 Oct	A	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Balkan Botevgrad	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Spartak Pleven	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Pirin Blagoevgrad	2-1	W
15 Sep	A	Ludogorets II	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Hebar 1918	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	CSKA Sofia II	1-0	W
24 Aug	A	Vihren	2-2	D

Montana

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:22 · per match 1.0 for, 2.2 against

19 Oct	A	Dobrudzha	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Ludogorets II	2-3	L
4 Oct	A	Bdin	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	0-2	L
21 Sep	H	Hebar 1918	0-5	L
13 Sep	A	CSKA Sofia II	0-4	L
8 Sep	H	Vihren	1-4	L
3 Sep	A	Beroe	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Rilski Sportist	1-2	L

Head to head

1Fratria wins

0draws

1Montana wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Fratria

22 Mar 2025Second League	Second League	Montana0-1Fratria
7 Sep 2024Second League	Second League	Fratria1-2Montana

Second League tableB PFGupdated 27 Oct 19:50 UTC

In the Second League table, Fratria sit 4th with 22 points from 12 games, while Montana are 16th with 11 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	7	4	2	26:12	+14	25
2	Vihren	13	7	4	2	26:13	+13	25
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	13	7	4	2	22:9	+13	25
4	Fratria	12	6	4	2	17:10	+7	22
5	Beroe	13	6	3	4	21:16	+5	21
6	Hebar 1918	13	6	2	5	29:21	+8	20
7	Yantra 2019	13	6	2	5	16:14	+2	20
8	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	5	5	3	11:10	+1	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	5	4	4	15:13	+2	19
10	Marek	13	5	3	5	15:15	0	18
11	Nesebar	13	5	3	5	21:19	+2	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	5	2	6	14:24	-10	17
13	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	12	5	2	5	20:21	-1	17
14	Ludogorets II	11	4	3	4	12:12	0	15
15	Sportist Svoge	13	2	5	6	9:14	-5	11
16	Montana	12	3	2	7	15:26	-11	11
17	Dobrudzha	12	2	3	7	12:21	-9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	0	1	12	5:36	-31	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.36X21%4.26213%6.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.27 → 1.36 +7.1%X4.79 → 4.26 -11.1%28.97 → 6.88 -23.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.02	8.7%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Betano	1.67	1.98	10.4%
Best of all books	1.69	2.62	-2.7%
Average	1.62	2.15	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.85	6.7%
Average	1.87	1.81	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fratria 45%Draw 45%Montana 10%

The statistical model rates Fratria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Montana at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 4.26 | 6.88, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Fratria win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League table: Fratria are 4th (22 pts, 17-10 goals), Montana 16th (11 pts, 15-26).

Over their last five matches, Fratria averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Montana averaged 0.6 scored and 3.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fratria or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.36	4.26	6.88

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.83	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
1.80	2.43	6.81

2nd half

1	X	2
1.69	2.74	5.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.89	18.1	57.0
HT X	3.99	7.10	15.8
HT 2	21.2	18.9	13.9

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.30	16.3	3.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.0
1.5	1.17	4.13
2.5	1.62	2.15
3.5	2.63	1.40
4.5	4.73	1.13
5.5	8.87	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.30
1.25	1.09	5.40
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.30	3.01
2.25	1.48	2.36
2.75	1.84	1.83
3	2.01	1.69
3.25	2.38	1.48
3.75	3.09	1.29
4	4.00	1.17
4.25	4.36	1.15
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.18	1.63
-1.5	2.04	1.68
-1.25	1.86	1.82
-1	1.59	2.12
-0.75	1.45	2.44
-0.5	1.36	2.78

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.70	1.01
-4	8.10	1.02
-3.75	8.00	1.02
-3.5	7.00	1.04
-3.25	6.65	1.05
-3	6.25	1.06
-2.75	4.50	1.13
-2.5	3.27	1.27
-2.25	2.98	1.32
-2	2.98	1.30
-0.25	1.22	3.50
0	1.08	5.55
+0.25	1.06	6.15

Next Second League matches

29 Oct	Yantra 2019 – Hebar 1918
30 Oct	Rilski Sportist – Vihren
30 Oct	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – Beroe
30 Oct	Pirin Blagoevgrad – Etar Veliko Tarnovo
31 Oct	Marek – CSKA Sofia II
31 Oct	Nesebar – Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

All Second League fixtures and the table

Latest Second League results

27 Oct	Ludogorets II 5-1 Dobrudzha
23 Oct	Hebar 1918 2-1 Nesebar
23 Oct	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
23 Oct	Beroe 3-1 Rilski Sportist
23 Oct	Spartak Pleven 2-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
23 Oct	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-1 Sportist Svoge