AD Ceuta FC vs Sporting Gijon• Segunda División, Spain

#211.4:1.815:15Tomorrow · Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta1.2:1.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.57PINX3.63PIN22.72BTNMargin at best3.2%Books10Markets77Rating46 · 55Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.57	3.61	2.66	4.2%
Pinnacle	2.57	3.63	2.62	4.6%
Dafabet	2.55	3.50	2.70	4.8%
Betano	2.55	3.45	2.72	5.0%
Bet365	2.60	3.30	2.70	5.8%
Marathonbet	2.49	3.50	2.58	7.5%
BetVictor	2.50	3.30	2.55	9.5%
Betfair	2.45	3.40	2.50	10.2%
William Hill	2.45	3.30	2.50	11.1%
SBO	2.38	3.05	2.48	15.1%
Best of all books	2.60	3.63	2.72	2.8%
Average	2.51	3.40	2.60	7.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AD Ceuta FCSporting Gijon

Last 10#21Table position#80.45Points per game1.734Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 51.854Attack rating4650Defence rating5031Form rating6950H2H rating5038Goals model6246Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 21:01 UTC

AD Ceuta FC

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

29 Oct	A	Poblense	2-1	W
25 Oct	A	Cadiz	1-3	L
18 Oct	H	Oviedo	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Sabadell	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	Castellón	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Real Sociedad II	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Valladolid	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Burgos	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Celta de Vigo II	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Mallorca	0-3	L

Sporting Gijon

6W 0D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

29 Oct	A	Guijuelo	3-1	W
25 Oct	A	Castellón	0-4	L
17 Oct	H	Albacete	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Cadiz	1-0	W
4 Oct	H	Celta de Vigo II	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Oviedo	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	FC Andorra	3-1	W
13 Sep	H	Eldense	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Girona	0-2	L
28 Aug	A	Tenerife	1-0	W

Head to head

1AD Ceuta FC wins

0draws

1Sporting Gijon wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for AD Ceuta FC

3 May 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Sporting Gijon1-2AD Ceuta FC
23 Aug 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	AD Ceuta FC0-1Sporting Gijon

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 31 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Segunda División table, AD Ceuta FC sit 21st with 5 points from 11 games, while Sporting Gijon are 8th with 19 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Castellón	11	8	2	1	22:4	+18	26
2	Almeria	11	8	1	2	22:9	+13	25
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20:13	+7	22
4	Girona	11	6	3	2	22:10	+12	21
5	Granada CF	11	6	2	3	18:14	+4	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16:12	+4	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13:6	+7	19
8	Sporting Gijon	11	6	1	4	11:13	-2	19
9	Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15:12	+3	18
10	Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11:9	+2	17
11	Cordoba	11	5	0	6	17:20	-3	15
12	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13:15	-2	14
13	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14:19	-5	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16:16	0	12
16	Celta de Vigo II	11	3	3	5	16:21	-5	12
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7:16	-9	12
18	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	14:14	0	10
19	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15:20	-5	10
20	Real Sociedad II	11	2	2	7	14:22	-8	8
21	AD Ceuta FC	11	1	2	8	10:25	-15	5
22	Albacete	11	1	1	9	8:22	-14	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.51X27%3.39236%2.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.55 → 2.51 -1.6%X3.38 → 3.39 +0.3%22.54 → 2.60 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.90	1.95	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.86	1.99	4.0%
1xBet	1.79	2.07	4.2%
SBO	1.84	1.98	4.9%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Marathonbet	1.74	2.02	7.0%
BetVictor	1.77	1.91	8.9%
Best of all books	1.90	2.07	0.9%
Average	1.82	1.98	5.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.59	2.21	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.18	8.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.21	5.1%
Average	1.63	2.16	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AD Ceuta FC 10%Draw 45%Sporting Gijon 45%

The statistical model rates AD Ceuta FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting Gijon at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 3.39 | 2.60, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: AD Ceuta FC are 21st (5 pts, 10-25 goals), Sporting Gijon 8th (19 pts, 11-13).

Over their last five matches, AD Ceuta FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Sporting Gijon averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting Gijon.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.51	3.40	2.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.45	1.48	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.84	1.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.16

1st half

1	X	2
3.06	2.18	3.16

2nd half

1	X	2
2.78	2.50	2.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.05	13.3	26.0
HT X	6.03	5.45	6.26
HT 2	25.4	13.4	4.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	12.3	1.98

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.4
1.5	1.25	3.76
2.5	1.82	1.98
3.5	3.00	1.37
4.5	5.73	1.12
5.5	10.7	1.03
6.5	17.1	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	10.4
1	1.02	9.00
1.25	1.11	5.10
1.75	1.27	3.34
2	1.39	2.89
2.25	1.58	2.32
2.75	1.99	1.77
3	2.35	1.57
3.25	2.48	1.47
3.75	3.25	1.28
4	4.32	1.17
4.25	4.65	1.14
4.75	6.15	1.07
5	8.60	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.99	1.36
-0.5	2.51	1.51
-0.25	2.16	1.65
0	1.86	1.92
+0.25	1.62	2.24
+0.5	1.49	2.61

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.8	1.03
-2	8.80	1.02
-1.75	6.27	1.09
-1.5	4.92	1.15
-1.25	4.37	1.17
-1	4.04	1.22
+0.75	1.34	3.12
+1	1.23	4.11
+1.25	1.16	4.67
+1.5	1.14	5.07
+1.75	1.08	6.50
+2	1.02	9.55
+2.5	1.03	10.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.87	1.87

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.3
5.5	1.06	6.38
6.5	1.13	4.82
7.5	1.28	3.19
8.5	1.53	2.30
9.5	1.93	1.80
10.5	2.50	1.45
11.5	3.38	1.25
12.5	4.80	1.13
13.5	5.74	1.08
14.5	8.50	1.05
15.5	10.8	1.03

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.25
7	1.15	3.72
7.75	1.30	2.97
8	1.35	2.72
8.25	1.42	2.50
8.75	1.58	2.14
9	1.67	2.02
9.25	1.79	1.87
9.75	2.05	1.67
10	2.16	1.59
10.25	2.33	1.49
10.75	2.70	1.36
11	2.85	1.32
12	3.67	1.16
13	4.82	1.08

Next Segunda División matches

31 Oct	Real Sociedad II – Girona
31 Oct	Eibar – Almeria
31 Oct	Celta de Vigo II – Cordoba
31 Oct	Albacete – Sabadell
1 Nov	Eldense – Granada CF
1 Nov	Burgos – Castellón

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

26 Oct	FC Andorra 2-3 Burgos
25 Oct	Castellón 4-0 Sporting Gijon
25 Oct	Cadiz 3-1 AD Ceuta FC
25 Oct	Albacete 2-0 Eldense
25 Oct	Sabadell 1-1 Tenerife
24 Oct	Almeria 2-2 Oviedo