Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC• Segunda División, Spain

#181.2:1.23-1FT25/10 · Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz1.4:1.4#21

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.14PINX3.481XB23.75BFRMargin at best2.1%Books9Markets84Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.14	3.40	3.67	3.4%
1xBet	2.06	3.48	3.70	4.3%
Dafabet	2.11	3.45	3.50	5.0%
Betano	2.12	3.40	3.50	5.2%
Bet365	2.10	3.40	3.40	6.4%
Marathonbet	2.00	3.38	3.58	7.5%
William Hill	2.05	3.20	3.40	9.4%
BetVictor	2.00	3.40	3.30	9.7%
Betfair	1.85	3.40	3.75	10.1%
Best of all books	2.14	3.48	3.75	2.1%
Average	2.05	3.39	3.53	6.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CadizAD Ceuta FC

Last 10#18Table position#210.91Points per game0.459Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.446Attack rating5454Defence rating4644Form rating569H2H rating9179Goals model2142Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Cadiz

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

29 Oct	A	Xerez	3-1	W
25 Oct	H	AD Ceuta FC	3-1	W
18 Oct	A	Granada CF	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	Sporting Gijon	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Leganes	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	Tenerife	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Girona	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Las Palmas	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Almeria	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Valladolid	1-1	D

AD Ceuta FC

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

29 Oct	A	Poblense	2-1	W
25 Oct	A	Cadiz	1-3	L
18 Oct	H	Oviedo	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Sabadell	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	Castellón	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Real Sociedad II	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Valladolid	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Burgos	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Celta de Vigo II	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Mallorca	0-3	L

Head to head

0Cadiz wins

1draws

3AD Ceuta FC wins

4 meetings · goals 2:8 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Cadiz

29 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Cadiz1-3AD Ceuta FC
28 Mar 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	AD Ceuta FC2-1Cadiz
28 Sep 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Cadiz0-0AD Ceuta FC
2 Aug 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Cadiz0-3AD Ceuta FC

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 31 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Cadiz sit 18th with 10 points from 11 games, while AD Ceuta FC are 21st with 5 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Castellón	11	8	2	1	22:4	+18	26
2	Almeria	11	8	1	2	22:9	+13	25
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20:13	+7	22
4	Girona	11	6	3	2	22:10	+12	21
5	Granada CF	11	6	2	3	18:14	+4	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16:12	+4	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13:6	+7	19
8	Sporting Gijon	11	6	1	4	11:13	-2	19
9	Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15:12	+3	18
10	Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11:9	+2	17
11	Cordoba	11	5	0	6	17:20	-3	15
12	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13:15	-2	14
13	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14:19	-5	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16:16	0	12
16	Celta de Vigo II	11	3	3	5	16:21	-5	12
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7:16	-9	12
18	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	14:14	0	10
19	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15:20	-5	10
20	Real Sociedad II	11	2	2	7	14:22	-8	8
21	AD Ceuta FC	11	1	2	8	10:25	-15	5
22	Albacete	11	1	1	9	8:22	-14	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%2.05X28%3.39227%3.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.88 → 2.05 +9.0%X3.42 → 3.39 -0.9%23.86 → 3.54 -8.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.95	1.93	3.1%
Betano	1.95	1.90	3.9%
1xBet	1.88	1.96	4.2%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.96	2.3%
Average	1.88	1.90	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.68	2.06	8.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.03	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.06	5.7%
Average	1.71	2.03	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cadiz 10%Draw 45%AD Ceuta FC 45%

The statistical model rated Cadiz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AD Ceuta FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.39 | 3.53, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Cadiz are 18th (10 pts, 14-14 goals), AD Ceuta FC 21st (5 pts, 10-25).

Over their last five matches, Cadiz averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; AD Ceuta FC averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AD Ceuta FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Cadiz

4-4-2

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Goalkeeper

13Jokin Ezkieta

Defence

2Beñat de Jesús
14B. Kovačević
6Manu Fernández
3Sergio Arribas

Midfield

24Ibon Sánchez
23Damián Rodríguez
28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
16Antonio Cordero

Attack

19Urko Izeta
21V. Kopotun

Substitutes (12)

27J. Diaz Peregrina
5M. Doué
9Álvaro García
1David Gil
22Cristian Gutiérrez
17A. Moueffek
10Javi Ontiveros
18Jandro Orellana
15K. Toibibou
8E. Aghama
31N. Ukwuije
20Borja Vazquez

AD Ceuta FC

4-3-3

Coach: José Juan Romero

Goalkeeper

1Pedro López

Defence

2Toni Abad
4Albert Caparrós
5Adrián Lapeña
16Redru

Midfield

20Álex Meléndez
14Y. Bodiger
10Marino Illescas

Attack

19E. Sevikyan
8Kuki
11Cedric Teguia

Substitutes (12)

7Alejandro Camacho Ramírez
9Jordi Escobar
6Carlos Hernández
27U. Konare
22K. Koné
3José Matos
17Mawuli Mensah
32Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro
18Alex Petxarroman
29O. Sadik
13Guille Vallejo
28Abraham Bueno Espinosa

Match Statistics

CadizAD Ceuta FC

1.55Expected Goals2.43

166Passes accurate438

9Shots insidebox16

2Shots outsidebox8

1Blocked Shots12

7Free Kicks18

5Shots on Goal5

3Goalkeeper Saves2

5Shots off Goal7

4Offsides2

243Total passes522

11Total Shots24

5Yellow Cards2

3Corner Kicks10

20Fouls7

0Red Cards0

32%Ball Possession68%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.05	3.39	3.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.77	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.61	2.15	4.10

2nd half

1	X	2
2.40	2.48	3.53

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.12	13.9	33.8
HT X	4.98	5.10	8.14
HT 2	24.6	14.3	6.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.70	10.2	2.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	10.3
1.5	1.27	3.58
2.5	1.88	1.90
3.5	3.18	1.33
4.5	6.27	1.10
5.5	11.3	1.04
6.5	17.2	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	10.2
1	1.03	8.20
1.25	1.14	4.76
1.75	1.30	3.13
2	1.44	2.72
2.25	1.64	2.18
2.75	2.09	1.71
3	2.51	1.50
3.25	2.68	1.41
3.75	3.55	1.23
4	4.88	1.13
4.25	5.20	1.11
5	8.90	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.05	1.37
-0.75	2.36	1.56
-0.5	2.08	1.74
-0.25	1.76	2.01
0	1.49	2.53
+0.25	1.36	2.96

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.41	1.05
-2.25	6.88	1.07
-2	6.44	1.08
-1.75	4.79	1.15
-1.5	3.69	1.25
-1.25	3.38	1.30
+0.5	1.32	3.49
+0.75	1.18	4.45
+1	1.09	6.58
+1.25	1.07	7.11
+1.5	1.04	7.87

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.51	2.48
5	1.57	2.34
5.5	1.85	1.91
6	2.24	1.62
6.5	2.76	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	11.3
4.5	1.06	8.00
5.5	1.08	5.75
6.5	1.19	3.81
7.5	1.40	2.68
8.5	1.79	1.97
9.5	2.21	1.60
10.5	2.93	1.34
11.5	4.00	1.18
12.5	5.56	1.10
13.5	7.18	1.05
14.5	11.0	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.07	4.89
7	1.19	3.40
7.25	1.25	3.28
7.75	1.36	2.73
8	1.49	2.42
8.25	1.50	2.31
8.75	1.69	2.00
9	1.92	1.85
9.25	1.91	1.74
9.75	2.18	1.55
10	2.33	1.51
10.25	2.52	1.41
11	3.00	1.25
12	4.02	1.13
13	5.22	1.06

Next Segunda División matches

31 Oct	Real Sociedad II – Girona
31 Oct	Eibar – Almeria
31 Oct	Celta de Vigo II – Cordoba
31 Oct	Albacete – Sabadell
1 Nov	Eldense – Granada CF
1 Nov	AD Ceuta FC – Sporting Gijon

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

26 Oct	FC Andorra 2-3 Burgos
25 Oct	Castellón 4-0 Sporting Gijon
25 Oct	Albacete 2-0 Eldense
25 Oct	Sabadell 1-1 Tenerife
24 Oct	Almeria 2-2 Oviedo
24 Oct	Las Palmas 1-0 Real Sociedad II