Burgos vs Castellón• Segunda División, Spain

#61.2:1.017:30Tomorrow · Burgos2.0:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.78PINX3.50B36522.101XBMargin at best2.6%Books10Markets79Rating29 · 72Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.57	3.48	2.10	4.4%
Betano	3.60	3.50	2.07	4.7%
Pinnacle	3.80	3.28	2.08	4.9%
Dafabet	3.60	3.50	2.06	4.9%
Bet365	3.60	3.50	2.00	6.3%
Marathonbet	3.46	3.38	2.04	7.5%
William Hill	3.40	3.20	2.05	9.4%
BetVictor	3.30	3.40	2.00	9.7%
Betfair	3.30	3.30	2.00	10.6%
SBO	3.01	3.04	2.05	14.9%
Best of all books	3.80	3.50	2.10	2.5%
Average	3.46	3.36	2.05	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BurgosCastellón

Last 10#6Table position#11.82Points per game2.369Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.438Attack rating6329Defence rating7147Form rating539H2H rating9126Goals model7429Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 22:10 UTC

Burgos

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

29 Oct	A	Laredo	4-2	W
26 Oct	A	FC Andorra	3-2	W
18 Oct	H	Sabadell	1-0	W
12 Oct	H	Granada CF	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Almeria	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Eldense	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Las Palmas	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	AD Ceuta FC	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Oviedo	0-0	D
31 Aug	H	Real Sociedad II	2-2	D

Castellón

8W 1D 1L · goals 24:4 · per match 2.4 for, 0.4 against

29 Oct	A	Conquense	3-0	W
25 Oct	H	Sporting Gijon	4-0	W
17 Oct	A	Las Palmas	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	FC Andorra	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	AD Ceuta FC	1-1	D
28 Sep	A	Leganes	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Tenerife	5-0	W
12 Sep	A	Girona	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Albacete	2-0	W
31 Aug	A	Celta de Vigo II	2-1	W

Head to head

0Burgos wins

1draws

3Castellón wins

4 meetings · goals 2:7 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Burgos

18 Apr 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Castellón3-1Burgos
10 Nov 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Burgos0-0Castellón
1 Mar 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Castellón2-1Burgos
1 Sep 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Burgos0-2Castellón

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 31 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Burgos sit 6th with 20 points from 11 games, while Castellón are 1st with 26 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Castellón	11	8	2	1	22:4	+18	26
2	Almeria	11	8	1	2	22:9	+13	25
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20:13	+7	22
4	Girona	11	6	3	2	22:10	+12	21
5	Granada CF	11	6	2	3	18:14	+4	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16:12	+4	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13:6	+7	19
8	Sporting Gijon	11	6	1	4	11:13	-2	19
9	Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15:12	+3	18
10	Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11:9	+2	17
11	Cordoba	11	5	0	6	17:20	-3	15
12	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13:15	-2	14
13	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14:19	-5	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16:16	0	12
16	Celta de Vigo II	11	3	3	5	16:21	-5	12
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7:16	-9	12
18	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	14:14	0	10
19	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15:20	-5	10
20	Real Sociedad II	11	2	2	7	14:22	-8	8
21	AD Ceuta FC	11	1	2	8	10:25	-15	5
22	Albacete	11	1	1	9	8:22	-14	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.42X28%3.34245%2.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.88	1.97	4.0%
Betano	1.85	2.00	4.1%
1xBet	1.81	2.04	4.3%
SBO	1.84	1.98	4.9%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.99	7.1%
BetVictor	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.88	2.04	2.2%
Average	1.83	1.97	5.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.67	2.12	7.1%
William Hill	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.62	2.17	7.8%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.14	8.5%
Best of all books	1.73	2.20	3.3%
Average	1.65	2.13	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burgos 10%Draw 45%Castellón 45%

The statistical model rates Burgos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Castellón at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.42 | 3.34 | 2.05, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Burgos are 6th (20 pts, 16-12 goals), Castellón 1st (26 pts, 22-4).

Over their last five matches, Burgos averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Castellón averaged 2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.46	3.36	2.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.73	1.28	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
2.47	1.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
3.89	2.17	2.59

2nd half

1	X	2
3.53	2.51	2.37

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.67	14.2	23.5
HT X	7.64	5.30	5.20
HT 2	32.6	13.6	3.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.28	11.8	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.6
1.5	1.24	3.79
2.5	1.83	1.97
3.5	3.00	1.37
4.5	5.82	1.12
5.5	10.8	1.04
6.5	16.9	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.68
1	1.02	9.60
1.25	1.11	5.25
1.75	1.26	3.40
2	1.38	2.92
2.25	1.59	2.28
2.75	2.01	1.76
3	2.36	1.56
3.25	2.59	1.46
3.75	3.39	1.26
4	4.58	1.15
4.25	4.90	1.13
4.75	6.76	1.06
5	8.75	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.00	1.36
0	2.58	1.49
+0.25	2.03	1.76
+0.5	1.78	2.04
+0.75	1.56	2.34
+1	1.37	3.00

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.75	9.10	1.06
-1.5	7.35	1.06
-1.25	7.04	1.07
-1	6.57	1.08
-0.75	4.46	1.18
-0.5	3.53	1.31
+1.25	1.30	3.33
+1.5	1.24	3.74
+1.75	1.15	4.69
+2	1.07	6.92
+2.25	1.04	7.37
+2.5	1.04	8.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.15	1.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.04	9.50
5.5	1.08	5.90
6.5	1.16	4.38
7.5	1.33	2.92
8.5	1.62	2.14
9.5	2.06	1.69
10.5	2.72	1.39
11.5	3.75	1.21
12.5	5.30	1.10
13.5	6.25	1.07
14.5	9.50	1.04
15.5	11.5	1.02

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.07	4.97
7	1.18	3.47
7.75	1.35	2.74
8	1.42	2.57
8.25	1.48	2.34
8.75	1.67	2.02
9	1.84	1.93
9.25	1.90	1.78
9.75	2.16	1.58
10	2.29	1.53
10.25	2.52	1.42
10.75	2.92	1.31
11	2.93	1.26
12	3.92	1.13
13	5.12	1.06

Next Segunda División matches

31 Oct	Real Sociedad II – Girona
31 Oct	Eibar – Almeria
31 Oct	Celta de Vigo II – Cordoba
31 Oct	Albacete – Sabadell
1 Nov	Eldense – Granada CF
1 Nov	AD Ceuta FC – Sporting Gijon

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

26 Oct	FC Andorra 2-3 Burgos
25 Oct	Castellón 4-0 Sporting Gijon
25 Oct	Cadiz 3-1 AD Ceuta FC
25 Oct	Albacete 2-0 Eldense
25 Oct	Sabadell 1-1 Tenerife
24 Oct	Almeria 2-2 Oviedo