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Castellón vs Sporting Gijon• Segunda División, Spain

#12.2:0.44-0FT25/10 · Estadio Municipal Castalia, Castellon1.8:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53B365X4.591XB26.25B365Margin at best3.1%Books9Markets90Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.524.636.183.6%
1xBet1.514.596.244.0%
Dafabet1.514.506.204.6%
Betano1.534.406.004.8%
Bet3651.504.106.506.4%
Marathonbet1.464.456.057.5%
BetVictor1.454.206.009.4%
Betfair1.444.205.5011.4%
William Hill1.444.005.5012.6%
Best of all books1.534.636.502.3%
Average1.484.346.027.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CastellónSporting Gijon
Last 10#1Table position#82.36Points per game1.7310Form pts · last 5122.2Goals for · last 51.80.4Goals against · last 51.255Attack rating4575Defence rating2545Form rating5560H2H rating4078Goals model2261Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 22:10 UTC

Castellón

8W 1D 1L · goals 24:4 · per match 2.4 for, 0.4 against

29 OctAConquense3-0W
25 OctHSporting Gijon4-0W
17 OctALas Palmas3-0W
11 OctAFC Andorra0-1L
4 OctHAD Ceuta FC1-1D
28 SepALeganes2-0W
19 SepHTenerife5-0W
12 SepAGirona2-1W
6 SepHAlbacete2-0W
31 AugACelta de Vigo II2-1W

Sporting Gijon

6W 0D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

29 OctAGuijuelo3-1W
25 OctACastellón0-4L
17 OctHAlbacete2-1W
11 OctACadiz1-0W
4 OctHCelta de Vigo II3-2W
27 SepAOviedo0-2L
19 SepAFC Andorra3-1W
13 SepHEldense0-1L
5 SepHGirona0-2L
28 AugATenerife1-0W

Head to head

3Castellón wins
0draws
3Sporting Gijon wins

6 meetings · goals 11:11 · last 6: 3W 0D 3L for Castellón

15 Mar 2026Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónSporting Gijon4-1Castellón
5 Oct 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónCastellón3-1Sporting Gijon
5 May 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónCastellón4-3Sporting Gijon
14 Oct 2024Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónSporting Gijon2-1Castellón
24 Jan 2021Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónCastellón2-0Sporting Gijon
2 Nov 2020Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónSporting Gijon1-0Castellón

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 31 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Castellón sit 1st with 26 points from 11 games, while Sporting Gijon are 8th with 19 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Castellón1182122:4+1826
2Almeria1181222:9+1325
3Eibar1171320:13+722
4Girona1163222:10+1221
5Granada CF1162318:14+420
6Burgos1162316:12+420
7Mallorca1154213:6+719
8Sporting Gijon1161411:13-219
9Oviedo1153315:12+318
10Sabadell1145211:9+217
11Cordoba1150617:20-315
12Tenerife1135313:15-214
13Eldense1142513:15-214
14Las Palmas1142514:19-514
15Valladolid1133516:16012
16Celta de Vigo II1133516:21-512
17Leganes113357:16-912
18Cadiz1124514:14010
19FC Andorra1131715:20-510
20Real Sociedad II1122714:22-88
21AD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155
22Albacete111198:22-144

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.48X22%4.32216%5.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 11:401 1.49X 4.302 6.01
11.49 → 1.49 0.0%X4.21 → 4.30 +2.1%25.73 → 6.01 +4.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.672.303.4%
Betano1.702.223.9%
1xBet1.642.314.3%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Marathonbet1.602.256.9%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
BetVictor1.642.089.1%
Best of all books1.702.312.1%
Average1.652.215.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.781.986.7%
Betfair1.801.956.8%
1xBet1.722.017.9%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.721.988.6%
Best of all books1.802.015.3%
Average1.761.967.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Castellón 45%Draw 45%Sporting Gijon 10%

The statistical model rated Castellón at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting Gijon at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 4.32 | 5.99, which imply roughly 67.6% for a Castellón win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Castellón are 1st (26 pts, 22-4 goals), Sporting Gijon 8th (19 pts, 11-13).

Over their last five matches, Castellón averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Sporting Gijon averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Castellón or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Castellón

4-4-2

Coach: Pablo Hernández

Goalkeeper

  • 13R. Matthys

Defence

  • 22J. Mellot
  • 5Alberto Jiménez
  • 4A. Sienra
  • 14Iñigo Córdoba

Midfield

  • 18Pablo Santiago
  • 6M. Orozco
  • 8Barri
  • 16A. Jakobsen

Attack

  • 21Álvaro Martín
  • 10Israel Suero
Substitutes (12)
  • 19Hamza Bellari
  • 12Lucas Alcázar
  • 11F. Ceccherini
  • 27A. Gala
  • 23Varo García
  • 15I. Kostis
  • 24D. Muale Nzanza
  • 26Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo
  • 1A. Saipi
  • 7Raúl Sánchez
  • 20Martín Conde
  • 25J. Vlak

Sporting Gijon

4-4-2

Coach: N. Larcamón

Goalkeeper

  • 1Rubén Yáñez

Defence

  • 2Guille Rosas
  • 4E. Gularte
  • 23Jorge Sáenz
  • 44Andrés Cuenca

Midfield

  • 10César Gelabert
  • 22Hugo Guillamón
  • 14Álex Corredera
  • 3Pablo García

Attack

  • 19J. Otero
  • 7Gaspar Campos
Substitutes (12)
  • 24Aimar Duñabeitia
  • 15Pablo Vázquez
  • 16A. Sarco
  • 5Diego Sánchez
  • 27Enol Prendes
  • 6Nacho Martín
  • 26Iker Martínez
  • 21M. Loum
  • 35C. Ferreres
  • 13Arana
  • 34Diego Matabuena Álvarez
  • 36B. Rubio

Match Statistics

CastellónSporting Gijon
1.88Expected Goals0.63
433Passes accurate469
6Shots insidebox5
8Shots outsidebox3
3Blocked Shots3
11Free Kicks10
6Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal2
1Offsides5
495Total passes551
14Total Shots8
1Yellow Cards2
2Corner Kicks3
11Fouls11
0Red Cards0
47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.484.346.02

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.521.19

Draw no bet

12
1.184.58

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.96

1st half

1X2
1.992.435.72

2nd half

1X2
1.792.805.28

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1716.148.6
HT X4.306.7012.9
HT 220.416.910.1

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4114.43.00

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.1
1.51.194.38
2.51.652.21
3.52.621.46
4.54.771.17
5.58.931.05
6.514.71.02
7.526.3–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.0
1.251.076.11
1.751.193.95
21.293.47
2.251.462.61
2.751.801.98
32.041.74
3.252.291.58
3.752.881.35
43.641.23
4.254.031.19
4.755.401.10
57.501.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.711.43
-1.52.341.57
-1.252.051.73
-11.792.00
-0.751.592.30
-0.51.492.59
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.071.04
-37.191.05
-2.755.281.12
-2.54.201.19
-2.253.721.23
-23.501.28
-0.251.333.20
01.174.72
+0.251.135.21
+0.51.126.00
+0.751.047.45
+1.51.0210.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.313.18
41.382.84
4.51.592.30
51.951.84
5.52.021.75
63.001.35
6.52.811.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.3
5.51.068.00
6.51.105.14
7.51.223.51
8.51.432.57
9.51.751.98
10.52.221.59
11.52.881.34
12.53.851.19
13.55.031.11
14.57.401.07
15.59.501.04
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.114.17
81.262.95
8.251.332.83
8.751.462.40
91.552.26
9.251.632.08
9.751.821.82
101.991.79
10.252.051.63
10.752.351.47
112.501.40
11.252.741.35
123.251.21
134.271.11
145.421.05

Next Segunda División matches

31 OctReal Sociedad II – Girona
31 OctEibar – Almeria
31 OctCelta de Vigo II – Cordoba
31 OctAlbacete – Sabadell
1 NovEldense – Granada CF
1 NovAD Ceuta FC – Sporting Gijon

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

26 OctFC Andorra 2-3 Burgos
25 OctCadiz 3-1 AD Ceuta FC
25 OctAlbacete 2-0 Eldense
25 OctSabadell 1-1 Tenerife
24 OctAlmeria 2-2 Oviedo
24 OctLas Palmas 1-0 Real Sociedad II