Real Sociedad II vs Almeria• Segunda División, Spain

#191.4:2.42-4FT17/10 · Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San Sebastian2.0:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.74PINX3.87PIN21.97PINMargin at best3.3%Books6Markets82Rating20 · 80Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.74	3.87	1.97	3.3%
1xBet	3.66	3.82	1.97	4.3%
Bet365	3.70	3.50	1.95	6.9%
Marathonbet	3.55	3.70	1.91	7.6%
BetVictor	3.40	3.60	1.91	9.5%
William Hill	3.40	3.50	1.91	10.3%
Best of all books	3.74	3.87	1.97	3.3%
Average	3.57	3.67	1.94	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real Sociedad IIAlmeria

Last 10#19Table position#10.80Points per game2.403Form pts · last 5151.4Goals for · last 52.02.4Goals against · last 50.241Attack rating598Defence rating9217Form rating839H2H rating9120Goals model8020Overall rating80

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Real Sociedad II

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:21 · per match 1.7 for, 2.1 against

10 Oct	A	Celta de Vigo II	1-4	L
4 Oct	H	Granada CF	2-3	L
30 Sep	A	Leicester City U21	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	AD Ceuta FC	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Mallorca	0-1	L
15 Sep	A	Aston Villa U21	1-5	L
12 Sep	A	FC Andorra	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Tenerife	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Burgos	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Albacete	2-1	W

Almeria

8W 0D 2L · goals 20:5 · per match 2.0 for, 0.5 against

11 Oct	H	Leganes	3-0	W
3 Oct	H	Burgos	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Mallorca	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	Celta de Vigo II	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Cordoba	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Cadiz	3-2	W
29 Aug	A	Sabadell	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Tenerife	0-1	L
17 Aug	H	Eldense	3-0	W
7 Aug	A	Cordoba	4-0	W

Head to head

0Real Sociedad II wins

1draws

3Almeria wins

4 meetings · goals 4:12 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Real Sociedad II

29 Mar 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Almeria5-1Real Sociedad II
29 Aug 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Real Sociedad II2-2Almeria
13 May 2022Segunda División	Segunda División	Real Sociedad II0-2Almeria
21 Oct 2021Segunda División	Segunda División	Almeria3-1Real Sociedad II

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 18 Oct 16:20 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Real Sociedad II sit 19th with 8 points from 10 games, while Almeria are 1st with 24 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	10	8	0	2	20:7	+13	24
2	Castellón	10	7	2	1	18:4	+14	23
3	Eibar	10	7	1	2	20:11	+9	22
4	Sporting Gijon	10	6	1	3	11:9	+2	19
5	Mallorca	10	5	3	2	12:5	+7	18
6	Oviedo	10	5	2	3	13:10	+3	17
7	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10:7	+3	16
8	Girona	9	4	3	2	15:9	+6	15
9	Burgos	9	4	2	3	12:10	+2	14
10	Granada CF	9	4	2	3	14:13	+1	14
11	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	13:11	+2	12
12	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	11:13	-2	12
13	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15:20	-5	12
14	Celta de Vigo II	9	3	2	4	14:15	-1	11
15	Eldense	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
16	Las Palmas	10	3	2	5	13:19	-6	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6:15	-9	11
18	FC Andorra	9	3	1	5	13:15	-2	10
19	Real Sociedad II	10	2	2	6	14:21	-7	8
20	Cadiz	9	1	4	4	11:11	0	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	10	1	2	7	9:22	-13	5
22	Albacete	10	0	1	9	6:22	-16	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.58X26%3.66248%1.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.55 → 3.58 +0.8%X3.59 → 3.66 +1.9%21.95 → 1.94 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.60	2.43	3.7%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
BetVictor	1.58	2.19	9.0%
1xBet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.30	10.6%
Best of all books	1.70	2.43	-0.0%
Average	1.57	2.26	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.48	2.47	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.43	8.7%
Best of all books	1.62	2.47	2.2%
Average	1.52	2.38	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Sociedad II 0%Draw 50%Almeria 50%

The statistical model rated Real Sociedad II at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Almeria at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.58 | 3.66 | 1.94, which imply roughly 27.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Real Sociedad II are 19th (8 pts, 14-21 goals), Almeria 1st (24 pts, 20-7).

Over their last five matches, Real Sociedad II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Almeria averaged 2 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Almeria.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Real Sociedad II

4-4-2

Coach: Ion Ansotegi

Goalkeeper

1Aitor Fraga

Defence

22Rupérez
15I. Calderon
5K. Kita
3Jon Balda

Midfield

17Lander Astiazarán
8Ibai Aguirre
14Tomás Carbonell
16Gorka Gorosabel

Attack

7Dani Díaz
19Javier Soroeta

Substitutes (10)

34Andrews Adjabeng
18Gorka Carrera
21Jon Eceizabarrena
2Jon Garro
10Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
32Lander Olasagasti
12J. Oleaga
20Sydney Osazuwa
24A. Unax
23Unax Agote

Almeria

4-2-3-1

Coach: Xavier García Pimienta

Goalkeeper

1Andrés Fernández

Defence

2Marcos Luna
5Jorge Pulido
18F. Bonini
15Leonardo Lelo

Midfield

29S. Džodić
14Javi Muñoz
22D. Chirino
11Sergio Arribas
17B. Cipenga

Attack

24Miguel de la Fuente

Substitutes (12)

23Adri Embarba
9Thalys
33Quim Junyent
31Á. Yaakobishvili
20Álex Sola
3Álex Muñoz
7Jon Morcillo
10Nico Melamed
13Fernando Martínez
26K. Kone
21Chumi
12Léo Baptistão

Match Statistics

Real Sociedad IIAlmeria

1.59Expected Goals1.91

399Passes accurate365

14Shots insidebox4

7Shots outsidebox3

5Blocked Shots0

12Free Kicks13

9Shots on Goal4

1Goalkeeper Saves7

7Shots off Goal3

1Offsides0

485Total passes451

21Total Shots7

2Yellow Cards1

10Corner Kicks2

14Fouls12

0Red Cards0

53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.58	3.66	1.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.80	1.28	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.60	1.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.38

1st half

1	X	2
3.94	2.35	2.46

2nd half

1	X	2
3.53	2.69	2.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.93	14.8	22.3
HT X	8.33	6.03	5.07
HT 2	31.0	13.8	2.94

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.28	15.1	1.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	14.3
1.5	1.16	4.68
2.5	1.57	2.26
3.5	2.44	1.54
4.5	4.36	1.18
5.5	8.25	1.05
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.25	1.06	6.10
1.75	1.15	4.30
2	1.18	3.82
2.25	1.41	2.68
2.75	1.67	2.08
3	1.87	1.84
3.25	2.15	1.67
3.75	2.63	1.40
4	3.20	1.27
4.25	3.50	1.22
4.75	4.75	1.12
5	6.40	1.05
5.25	6.70	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.69	1.45
+0.25	2.12	1.66
+0.5	1.84	1.95
+0.75	1.63	2.15
+1	1.43	2.63
+1.25	1.36	2.97

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.88	1.01
-1.5	7.00	1.06
-1.25	6.63	1.07
-1	6.37	1.07
-0.75	4.32	1.18
-0.5	3.63	1.29
-0.25	3.12	1.35
+1.5	1.29	3.34
+1.75	1.19	3.98
+2	1.10	5.57
+2.25	1.08	6.36
+2.5	1.07	6.40

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5	1.39	2.83
5.5	1.62	2.22
6	1.88	1.90
6.5	2.07	1.70
7	2.71	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	5.59
6.5	1.11	4.69
7.5	1.24	3.20
8.5	1.48	2.40
9.5	1.89	1.86
10.5	2.29	1.53
11.5	2.97	1.27
12.5	4.01	1.15
13.5	4.80	1.08

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.42
7	1.14	3.87
7.75	1.28	3.02
8	1.32	2.83
8.25	1.35	2.69
8.75	1.51	2.32
9	1.68	2.11
9.25	1.73	2.04
9.75	1.89	1.77
10	2.08	1.68
10.25	2.14	1.56
10.75	2.47	1.41
11	2.72	1.34
11.25	2.84	1.27
12	3.52	1.17
13	4.62	1.09
14	5.65	1.04

Next Segunda División matches

18 Oct	Valladolid – Eldense
18 Oct	Girona – FC Andorra
18 Oct	Burgos – Sabadell
19 Oct	Celta de Vigo II – Tenerife

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

18 Oct	Granada CF 2-0 Cadiz
18 Oct	AD Ceuta FC 1-2 Oviedo
17 Oct	Las Palmas 0-3 Castellón
17 Oct	Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete
17 Oct	Eibar 1-1 Mallorca
16 Oct	Leganes 0-1 Cordoba