AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo• Segunda División, Spain

#211.4:1.61-2FTToday · Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta2.0:1.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.99PINX3.50PIN22.42PINMargin at best3.3%Books6Markets79Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 09:49 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.99	3.50	2.42	3.3%
1xBet	2.97	3.48	2.39	4.2%
Bet365	2.90	3.25	2.40	6.9%
Marathonbet	2.88	3.38	2.32	7.4%
BetVictor	2.80	3.25	2.30	10.0%
William Hill	2.80	3.10	2.38	10.0%
Best of all books	2.99	3.50	2.42	3.3%
Average	2.89	3.33	2.37	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AD Ceuta FCOviedo

Last 10#21Table position#70.50Points per game1.705Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 52.01.6Goals against · last 51.641Attack rating5950Defence rating5036Form rating640H2H rating036Goals model6441Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

AD Ceuta FC

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

10 Oct	H	Sabadell	1-2	L
4 Oct	A	Castellón	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Real Sociedad II	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Valladolid	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Burgos	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Celta de Vigo II	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Mallorca	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Las Palmas	0-2	L
15 Aug	A	FC Andorra	1-5	L
7 Aug	H	Malaga	2-1	W

Oviedo

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

12 Oct	H	Eibar	3-1	W
2 Oct	A	Eldense	1-4	L
27 Sep	H	Sporting Gijon	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Sabadell	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Valladolid	3-0	W
6 Sep	H	Burgos	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Albacete	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Leganes	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Granada CF	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Le Havre	3-2	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between AD Ceuta FC and Oviedo on record.

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 18 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Segunda División table, AD Ceuta FC sit 21st with 5 points from 10 games, while Oviedo are 7th with 17 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	10	8	0	2	20:7	+13	24
2	Castellón	10	7	2	1	18:4	+14	23
3	Eibar	10	7	1	2	20:11	+9	22
4	Sporting Gijon	10	6	1	3	11:9	+2	19
5	Mallorca	10	5	3	2	12:5	+7	18
6	Granada CF	10	5	2	3	16:13	+3	17
7	Oviedo	10	5	2	3	13:10	+3	17
8	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10:7	+3	16
9	Girona	9	4	3	2	15:9	+6	15
10	Burgos	9	4	2	3	12:10	+2	14
11	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	13:11	+2	12
12	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	11:13	-2	12
13	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15:20	-5	12
14	Celta de Vigo II	9	3	2	4	14:15	-1	11
15	Eldense	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
16	Las Palmas	10	3	2	5	13:19	-6	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6:15	-9	11
18	FC Andorra	9	3	1	5	13:15	-2	10
19	Real Sociedad II	10	2	2	6	14:21	-7	8
20	Cadiz	10	1	4	5	11:13	-2	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	10	1	2	7	9:22	-13	5
22	Albacete	10	0	1	9	6:22	-16	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.89X28%3.33239%2.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.91 → 2.89 -0.7%X3.22 → 3.33 +3.4%22.34 → 2.37 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.97	1.91	3.1%
1xBet	1.91	1.93	4.2%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.88	7.0%
BetVictor	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Best of all books	2.05	1.93	0.6%
Average	1.94	1.85	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.09	3.4%
Average	1.71	2.01	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AD Ceuta FC 10%Draw 45%Oviedo 45%

The statistical model rated AD Ceuta FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Oviedo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.89 | 3.33 | 2.37, which imply roughly 30% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: AD Ceuta FC are 21st (5 pts, 9-22 goals), Oviedo 7th (17 pts, 13-10).

Over their last five matches, AD Ceuta FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Oviedo averaged 2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Oviedo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AD Ceuta FC

4-3-3

Coach: José Juan Romero

Goalkeeper

1Pedro López

Defence

18Alex Petxarroman
6Carlos Hernández
4Albert Caparrós
3José Matos

Midfield

8Kuki
32Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro
10Marino Illescas

Attack

19E. Sevikyan
9Jordi Escobar
22K. Koné

Substitutes (12)

28Abraham Bueno Espinosa
14Y. Bodiger
15Joaquín
7Alejandro Camacho Ramírez
5Adrián Lapeña
20Álex Meléndez
17Mawuli Mensah
16Redru
29O. Sadik
11Cedric Teguia
13Guille Vallejo
26Arick Betancourt

Oviedo

4-4-2

Coach: Julián Calero

Goalkeeper

13Aarón Escandell

Defence

21David Jiménez
12Dani Calvo
23Carlos Domínguez
15S. Rodriguez

Midfield

8Mikel Goti
16Aritz Aldasoro
5Y. Didi
10Alberto Reina

Attack

32Enzo Perez
18V. Mingo

Substitutes (11)

27Samuel Franganillo
4David Costas
19B. Dominguès
30Marco Esteban
11Jacobo González
28D. Menendez
25José Luis Morales
20Pablo Sáenz
22Nacho Vidal
6Dani Villahermosa
1Miguel Narváez

Match Statistics

AD Ceuta FCOviedo

2.6Expected Goals2.12

338Passes accurate308

20Shots insidebox8

8Shots outsidebox9

9Blocked Shots4

18Free Kicks12

6Shots on Goal9

7Goalkeeper Saves5

13Shots off Goal4

1Offsides1

391Total passes382

28Total Shots17

4Yellow Cards3

15Corner Kicks2

14Fouls20

0Red Cards0

52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.89	3.33	2.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.56	1.38	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
2.08	1.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.01

1st half

1	X	2
3.48	2.13	3.01

2nd half

1	X	2
3.10	2.41	2.66

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.77	14.8	28.7
HT X	6.67	5.07	5.60
HT 2	32.3	14.2	3.66

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	11.1	1.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.64
1.5	1.27	3.46
2.5	1.94	1.85
3.5	3.29	1.29
4.5	6.88	1.08
5.5	14.8	1.02
6.5	34.0	–
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.82
1	1.01	9.00
1.25	1.11	4.80
1.75	1.35	2.95
2	1.43	2.63
2.25	1.67	2.15
2.75	2.15	1.67
3	2.55	1.46
3.25	2.74	1.35
3.75	3.78	1.19
4	5.20	1.10
4.25	5.60	1.08
4.75	8.13	1.02
5	9.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.90	1.40
-0.25	2.48	1.51
0	2.12	1.70
+0.25	1.75	1.99
+0.5	1.58	2.35
+0.75	1.40	2.76

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.18	1.02
-1.5	6.12	1.08
-1.25	5.62	1.10
-1	5.15	1.14
-0.75	3.54	1.26
+1	1.24	3.71
+1.25	1.19	4.21
+1.5	1.15	4.53
+1.75	1.09	6.08
+2	1.03	8.75
+2.5	1.01	9.40

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4	1.33	3.12
4.5	1.62	2.21
5	1.81	1.98
5.5	2.12	1.68
6	2.74	1.41

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	5.95
5.5	1.09	4.94
6.5	1.23	3.30
7.5	1.46	2.43
8.5	1.84	1.88
9.5	2.32	1.51
10.5	3.12	1.25
11.5	4.32	1.13
12.5	4.90	1.07

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.04	5.79
6	1.12	4.10
7	1.30	2.93
7.25	1.35	2.68
7.75	1.52	2.30
8	1.60	2.20
8.25	1.76	2.00
8.75	1.96	1.72
9	2.06	1.69
9.25	2.24	1.50
9.75	2.62	1.38
10	2.80	1.33
10.25	3.00	1.25
11	3.67	1.16
12	4.87	1.07
13	5.92	1.03

Next Segunda División matches

19 Oct

Celta de Vigo II – Tenerife

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

18 Oct	Girona 2-0 FC Andorra
18 Oct	Valladolid 2-3 Eldense
18 Oct	Granada CF 2-0 Cadiz
17 Oct	Las Palmas 0-3 Castellón
17 Oct	Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete
17 Oct	Eibar 1-1 Mallorca