Las Palmas vs Castellón• Segunda División, Spain

#161.4:2.00-3FTToday · Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria2.0:0.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.60B365X3.821XB22.011XBMargin at best3.7%Books6Markets79Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 14:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.55	3.76	2.05	3.5%
1xBet	3.53	3.82	2.01	4.3%
Bet365	3.60	3.60	2.00	5.6%
Marathonbet	3.42	3.70	1.95	7.5%
BetVictor	3.25	3.60	1.95	9.8%
William Hill	3.30	3.40	1.95	11.0%
Best of all books	3.60	3.82	2.05	2.7%
Average	3.44	3.65	1.98	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Las PalmasCastellón

Last 10#16Table position#31.22Points per game2.224Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 50.641Attack rating5923Defence rating7729Form rating7150H2H rating5024Goals model7635Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Las Palmas

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	A	Mallorca	1-3	L
4 Oct	H	Valladolid	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Eibar	2-3	L
20 Sep	H	Burgos	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Cadiz	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Leganes	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Girona	2-5	L
22 Aug	A	AD Ceuta FC	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Albacete	2-1	W
8 Aug	A	Cadiz	3-1	W

Castellón

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	A	FC Andorra	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	AD Ceuta FC	1-1	D
28 Sep	A	Leganes	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Tenerife	5-0	W
12 Sep	A	Girona	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Albacete	2-0	W
31 Aug	A	Celta de Vigo II	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Sabadell	0-0	D
14 Aug	A	Real Sociedad II	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Levante	1-3	L

Head to head

2Las Palmas wins

1draws

2Castellón wins

5 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 5: 2W 1D 2L for Las Palmas

21 Feb 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Las Palmas1-1Castellón
30 Nov 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Castellón1-0Las Palmas
27 Feb 2021Segunda División	Segunda División	Castellón4-0Las Palmas
21 Oct 2020Segunda División	Segunda División	Las Palmas2-1Castellón
17 Dec 2019Copa del Rey	Copa del Rey	Castellón0-2Las Palmas

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Las Palmas sit 16th with 11 points from 9 games, while Castellón are 3rd with 20 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	10	8	0	2	20:7	+13	24
2	Eibar	10	7	1	2	20:11	+9	22
3	Castellón	9	6	2	1	15:4	+11	20
4	Sporting Gijon	10	6	1	3	11:9	+2	19
5	Mallorca	10	5	3	2	12:5	+7	18
6	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10:7	+3	16
7	Girona	9	4	3	2	15:9	+6	15
8	Burgos	9	4	2	3	12:10	+2	14
9	Oviedo	9	4	2	3	11:9	+2	14
10	Granada CF	9	4	2	3	14:13	+1	14
11	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	13:11	+2	12
12	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	11:13	-2	12
13	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15:20	-5	12
14	Celta de Vigo II	9	3	2	4	14:15	-1	11
15	Eldense	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
16	Las Palmas	9	3	2	4	13:16	-3	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6:15	-9	11
18	FC Andorra	9	3	1	5	13:15	-2	10
19	Real Sociedad II	10	2	2	6	14:21	-7	8
20	Cadiz	9	1	4	4	11:11	0	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5
22	Albacete	10	0	1	9	6:22	-16	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.64X26%3.65249%1.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.39 → 3.45 +1.8%X3.65 → 3.64 -0.3%21.98 → 1.97 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.68	2.29	3.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.33	4.3%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.27	6.9%
BetVictor	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Best of all books	1.68	2.33	2.4%
Average	1.63	2.24	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
1xBet	1.51	2.39	8.1%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.35	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.39	5.5%
Average	1.53	2.33	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Las Palmas 10%Draw 45%Castellón 45%

The statistical model rated Las Palmas at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Castellón at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.64 | 3.65 | 1.93, which imply roughly 27.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Las Palmas are 16th (11 pts, 13-16 goals), Castellón 3rd (20 pts, 15-4).

Over their last five matches, Las Palmas averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Castellón averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Castellón.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Las Palmas

4-5-1

Coach: Juan Manuel Rodríguez

Goalkeeper

13José Caro

Defence

25Valentín Pezzolesi
4Álex Suárez
15Juan Herzog
23A. Rodriguez

Midfield

11T. Miyashiro
26A. Bassinga
6Iñaki González Zambrano
20Kirian Rodríguez
24Iván Jaime

Attack

7Jefté Betancor

Substitutes (12)

29Elías Romero
14Manu Fuster
32Rafa Cruz
21G. Bonfanti
16Mateo Acimovic
12E. Loiodice
30I. Medina
43Eduard Mohedano Serrano
3N. Opoku
10Jesé
44Adrián Rodríguez del Rosario
35Adrián Suárez

Castellón

4-4-2

Coach: Pablo Hernández

Goalkeeper

13R. Matthys

Defence

22J. Mellot
5Alberto Jiménez
4A. Sienra
14Iñigo Córdoba

Midfield

18Pablo Santiago
8Barri
6M. Orozco
21Álvaro Martín

Attack

16A. Jakobsen
10Israel Suero

Substitutes (12)

12Lucas Alcázar
19Hamza Bellari
11F. Ceccherini
20Martín Conde
27A. Gala
23Varo García
15I. Kostis
24D. Muale Nzanza
1A. Saipi
7Raúl Sánchez
25J. Vlak
30M. Willmann

Match Statistics

Las PalmasCastellón

0.31Expected Goals2.35

247Passes accurate499

1Shots insidebox10

4Shots outsidebox4

14Free Kicks14

1Shots on Goal7

4Goalkeeper Saves1

4Shots off Goal4

4Offsides2

322Total passes567

5Total Shots14

7Yellow Cards1

3Corner Kicks6

0Blocked Shots3

14Fouls15

0Red Cards0

37%Ball Possession63%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.44	3.65	1.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.78	1.29	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.52	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.33

1st half

1	X	2
3.79	2.35	2.52

2nd half

1	X	2
3.51	2.62	2.27

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.57	14.8	22.3
HT X	8.13	6.07	5.30
HT 2	29.3	13.8	3.02

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.24	15.9	1.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	14.9
1.5	1.17	4.50
2.5	1.63	2.24
3.5	2.50	1.48
4.5	4.51	1.17
5.5	8.78	1.03
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	10.5
1.25	1.06	6.15
1.75	1.17	3.99
2	1.22	3.56
2.25	1.45	2.69
2.75	1.77	2.01
3	1.96	1.75
3.25	2.22	1.58
3.75	2.78	1.34
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.86	1.18
4.75	5.20	1.10
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.03	1.37
0	2.57	1.49
+0.25	2.04	1.71
+0.5	1.80	2.00
+0.75	1.59	2.24
+1	1.40	2.76

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.80	1.01
-1.5	6.87	1.06
-1.25	6.53	1.07
-1	6.07	1.09
-0.75	4.12	1.18
-0.5	3.49	1.32
+1.25	1.33	3.10
+1.5	1.27	3.44
+1.75	1.17	4.23
+2	1.09	6.00
+2.25	1.10	6.80
+2.5	1.05	6.55

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.51	2.43
5	1.71	2.08
5.5	2.01	1.74
6	2.53	1.49
6.5	2.91	1.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	5.37
6.5	1.13	4.34
7.5	1.28	2.96
8.5	1.55	2.23
9.5	1.97	1.79
10.5	2.47	1.45
11.5	3.18	1.24
12.5	4.40	1.12
13.5	5.09	1.06

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.17
7	1.16	3.65
7.75	1.30	2.90
8	1.40	2.65
8.25	1.42	2.45
8.75	1.60	2.14
9	1.73	2.01
9.25	1.85	1.89
9.75	2.05	1.65
10	2.24	1.59
10.25	2.33	1.46
10.75	2.72	1.34
11	2.90	1.30
12	3.75	1.15
13	4.90	1.07