Burgos vs Sabadell• Segunda División, Spain

#81.4:1.019:00Tomorrow · Municipal El Plantio, Burgos1.2:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60PINX3.061XB23.11PINMargin at best3.3%Books6Markets66Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:12 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.57	3.06	3.08	4.1%
Pinnacle	2.60	2.91	3.11	5.0%
Bet365	2.50	2.90	3.10	6.7%
Marathonbet	2.49	2.96	2.98	7.5%
BetVictor	2.45	2.90	2.90	9.8%
William Hill	2.50	2.80	2.90	10.2%
Best of all books	2.60	3.06	3.11	3.3%
Average	2.52	2.92	3.01	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BurgosSabadell

Last 10#8Table position#61.56Points per game1.789Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.054Attack rating4650Defence rating5053Form rating470H2H rating060Goals model4054Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Burgos

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against

12 Oct	H	Granada CF	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Almeria	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Eldense	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Las Palmas	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	AD Ceuta FC	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Oviedo	0-0	D
31 Aug	H	Real Sociedad II	2-2	D
23 Aug	A	Sporting Gijon	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Cordoba	3-2	W
8 Aug	H	Cultural Leonesa	0-0	D

Sabadell

5W 4D 1L · goals 13:7 · per match 1.3 for, 0.7 against

10 Oct	A	AD Ceuta FC	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	FC Andorra	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Celta de Vigo II	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Oviedo	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Mallorca	0-2	L
7 Sep	H	Cordoba	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Almeria	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Castellón	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Sporting Gijon	0-0	D
9 Aug	A	Olot	3-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Burgos and Sabadell on record.

Segunda División tableSegundaupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Burgos sit 8th with 14 points from 9 games, while Sabadell are 6th with 16 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	10	8	0	2	20:7	+13	24
2	Eibar	10	7	1	2	20:11	+9	22
3	Castellón	9	6	2	1	15:4	+11	20
4	Sporting Gijon	10	6	1	3	11:9	+2	19
5	Mallorca	10	5	3	2	12:5	+7	18
6	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10:7	+3	16
7	Girona	9	4	3	2	15:9	+6	15
8	Burgos	9	4	2	3	12:10	+2	14
9	Oviedo	9	4	2	3	11:9	+2	14
10	Granada CF	9	4	2	3	14:13	+1	14
11	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	13:11	+2	12
12	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	11:13	-2	12
13	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15:20	-5	12
14	Celta de Vigo II	9	3	2	4	14:15	-1	11
15	Eldense	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11
16	Las Palmas	9	3	2	4	13:16	-3	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6:15	-9	11
18	FC Andorra	9	3	1	5	13:15	-2	10
19	Real Sociedad II	10	2	2	6	14:21	-7	8
20	Cadiz	9	1	4	4	11:11	0	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5
22	Albacete	10	0	1	9	6:22	-16	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.52X32%2.94231%3.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.58 → 2.52 -2.3%X2.97 → 2.94 -1.0%22.82 → 3.01 +6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.44	1.58	4.3%
Pinnacle	2.68	1.49	4.4%
Bet365	2.60	1.48	6.0%
BetVictor	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.30	1.49	10.6%
Best of all books	2.68	1.58	0.6%
Average	2.48	1.51	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
William Hill	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	1.98	1.74	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.72	8.6%
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Best of all books	2.10	1.74	5.1%
Average	2.04	1.69	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burgos 45%Draw 45%Sabadell 10%

The statistical model rates Burgos at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sabadell at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.52 | 2.94 | 3.01, which imply roughly 39.7% for a Burgos win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Burgos are 8th (14 pts, 12-10 goals), Sabadell 6th (16 pts, 10-7).

Over their last five matches, Burgos averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sabadell averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Burgos or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.52	2.92	3.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.48	1.38

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	2.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.04	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
3.31	1.92	3.76

2nd half

1	X	2
2.95	2.18	3.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.18	15.3	40.0
HT X	5.53	4.07	6.47
HT 2	36.7	15.4	5.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.99	6.43	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.90
1.5	1.47	2.56
2.5	2.48	1.51
3.5	4.81	1.15
4.5	11.1	1.02
5.5	21.5	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	6.17
1	1.09	5.50
1.25	1.27	3.38
1.75	1.61	2.25
2	1.81	1.89
2.25	2.15	1.66
2.75	2.74	1.35
3	3.58	1.21
3.25	4.05	1.16
3.75	5.80	1.07
4	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.06	1.33
-0.5	2.51	1.50
-0.25	2.11	1.69
0	1.74	2.07
+0.25	1.48	2.48
+0.5	1.37	2.99

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.20	1.03
-1.5	5.45	1.11
-1.25	4.95	1.13
-1	4.48	1.17
+0.75	1.23	3.74
+1	1.11	5.87
+1.25	1.08	6.30
+1.5	1.06	6.80
+1.75	1.01	8.80

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.80	1.91

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.04	5.72
5.5	1.11	4.61
6.5	1.26	3.06
7.5	1.52	2.25
8.5	1.94	1.78
9.5	2.51	1.42
10.5	3.31	1.22
11.5	4.68	1.11
12.5	5.32	1.05

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.05	5.55
6	1.14	3.85
6.75	1.28	3.03
7	1.34	2.73
7.25	1.42	2.48
7.75	1.59	2.15
8	1.69	2.00
8.25	1.85	1.89
8.75	2.11	1.68
9	2.24	1.55
9.25	2.38	1.44
9.75	2.81	1.32
10	3.00	1.28
11	3.92	1.13
12	5.17	1.06