Kluczevia Stargard vs Lech Poznań II• III Liga - Group 2, Poland

#41.2:1.411:00Today3.8:2.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.63BVCX3.90B36522.46DAFMargin at best4.3%Books7Markets39Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L54.4

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.46	3.75	2.46	8.0%
BetVictor	2.63	3.80	2.20	9.8%
Bet365	2.35	3.90	2.35	10.7%
Betano	2.52	3.85	2.20	11.1%
Pinnacle	2.61	3.71	2.14	12.0%
1xBet	2.56	3.70	2.17	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.56	3.70	2.17	12.2%
Best of all books	2.63	3.90	2.46	4.3%
Average	2.53	3.77	2.24	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Kluczevia StargardLech Poznań II

Last 10#4Table position#51.86Points per game1.717Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 53.81.4Goals against · last 52.424Attack rating7663Defence rating3744Form rating5650H2H rating5052Goals model4847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 16:30 UTC

Kluczevia Stargard

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Kotwica Kórnik	1-0	W
24 Oct	H	Flota Świnoujście	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Luzino	3-2	W
9 Oct	A	Polonia Środa	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Kalisz	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Wda Świecie	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Elana Toruń	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Noteć Czarnków	1-3	L
1 Sep	H	Pogoń Siedlce	2-3	L
28 Aug	H	Unia Swarzędz	2-0	W

Lech Poznań II

5W 2D 3L · goals 27:20 · per match 2.7 for, 2.0 against

31 Oct	H	Flota Świnoujście	8-1	W
24 Oct	A	Luzino	4-2	W
18 Oct	H	Polonia Środa	2-3	L
14 Oct	H	Wda Świecie	1-4	L
10 Oct	A	Kalisz	4-2	W
19 Sep	A	Elana Toruń	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Noteć Czarnków	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Unia Swarzędz	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Grom Nowy Staw	2-4	L
23 Aug	A	Gedania Gdansk	3-2	W

Head to head

1Kluczevia Stargard wins

0draws

1Lech Poznań II wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Kluczevia Stargard

7 Mar 2026III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Kluczevia Stargard1-0Lech Poznań II
22 Aug 2025III Liga - Group 2	III Liga - Group 2	Lech Poznań II2-1Kluczevia Stargard

III Liga - Group 2 tableGroup IIupdated 3 Nov 16:30 UTC

In the III Liga - Group 2 table, Kluczevia Stargard sit 4th with 26 points from 14 games, while Lech Poznań II are 5th with 24 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	15	11	4	0	43:20	+23	37
2	Luzino	15	9	1	5	40:25	+15	28
3	Wda Świecie	15	8	4	3	23:19	+4	28
4	Kluczevia Stargard	14	8	2	4	25:22	+3	26
5	Lech Poznań II	14	7	3	4	36:27	+9	24
6	Stargard Szczeciński	15	6	5	4	35:26	+9	23
7	Bałtyk Koszalin	15	5	5	5	22:20	+2	20
8	Elana Toruń	15	5	5	5	23:25	-2	20
9	Noteć Czarnków	15	6	2	7	21:23	-2	20
10	Unia Swarzędz	15	5	4	6	24:21	+3	19
11	Gedania Gdansk	15	4	7	4	30:29	+1	19
12	Kalisz	15	4	7	4	18:20	-2	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	15	5	1	9	32:34	-2	16
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	15	3	6	6	24:30	-6	15
15	Flota Świnoujście	15	4	3	8	18:32	-14	15
16	Lipno Stęszew	15	4	2	9	19:29	-10	14
17	Victoria Września	15	2	7	6	12:24	-12	13
18	Kotwica Kórnik	15	3	2	10	20:39	-19	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.53X24%3.77240%2.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.09 → 2.53 +21.1%X3.83 → 3.77 -1.6%22.73 → 2.24 -17.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.37	2.73	9.6%
1xBet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Average	1.37	2.77	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.33	2.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.88	9.9%
Best of all books	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Average	1.33	2.94	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kluczevia Stargard 35%Draw 35%Lech Poznań II 30%

The statistical model rates Kluczevia Stargard at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Lech Poznań II at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.53 | 3.77 | 2.24, which imply roughly 39.5% for a Kluczevia Stargard win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the III Liga - Group 2 table: Kluczevia Stargard are 4th (26 pts, 25-22 goals), Lech Poznań II 5th (24 pts, 36-27).

Over their last five matches, Kluczevia Stargard averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lech Poznań II averaged 3.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Kluczevia Stargard or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.53	3.77	2.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.44	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.88	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.33	2.94

1st half

1	X	2
2.97	2.46	2.68

2nd half

1	X	2
2.76	2.83	2.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.72	13.7	21.3
HT X	6.57	7.07	6.53
HT 2	22.7	13.7	3.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.88	23.0	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.10	5.80
2.5	1.37	2.77
3.5	1.95	1.73
4.5	3.19	1.28
5.5	5.88	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.10	5.10
2.25	1.22	3.48
2.75	1.44	2.46
3	1.55	2.21
3.25	1.76	1.92
3.75	2.17	1.57
4	2.56	1.40
4.25	2.88	1.32
5	5.05	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.38	1.50
-0.25	2.23	1.58
0	1.99	1.72
+0.25	1.75	1.92
+0.5	1.61	2.15
+0.75	1.43	2.50

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	7.20	1.03
-1.5	4.95	1.11
-1.25	3.58	1.21
-1	3.82	1.20
-0.75	2.82	1.35
+1	1.28	3.13
+1.25	1.21	3.58
+1.5	1.17	3.95
+2	1.03	7.20
+2.5	1.02	8.10

Latest III Liga - Group 2 results

24 Oct	Kluczevia Stargard 2-2 Flota Świnoujście
24 Oct	Kalisz 0-0 Polonia Środa
24 Oct	Victoria Września 0-1 Noteć Czarnków
24 Oct	Stargard Szczeciński 3-1 Grom Nowy Staw
24 Oct	Kotwica Kórnik 0-2 Wda Świecie
24 Oct	Lipno Stęszew 1-2 Gedania Gdansk