Chornomorets vs Karpaty• Premier League, Ukraine

#140.6:1.411:00Today · Chornomorets Stadium, Odessa1.2:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.60MARX4.50DAF21.511XBMargin at best3.6%Books8Markets100Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	6.30	4.41	1.51	4.8%
Dafabet	6.40	4.50	1.45	6.8%
Pinnacle	6.37	4.32	1.45	7.8%
Marathonbet	6.60	4.25	1.43	8.6%
Betano	5.90	4.20	1.47	8.8%
Betfair	6.50	4.20	1.40	10.6%
William Hill	6.00	4.00	1.44	11.1%
Bet365	5.25	3.90	1.50	11.4%
Best of all books	6.60	4.50	1.51	3.6%
Average	6.17	4.22	1.46	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChornomoretsKarpaty

Last 10#14Table position#50.63Points per game1.672Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6746Defence rating5429Form rating7129H2H rating7120Goals model8030Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 15:01 UTC

Chornomorets

1W 2D 7L · goals 6:14 · per match 0.6 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Zorya Luhansk	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	FC Kharkiv	1-2	L
18 Sep	H	Obolon'-Brovar	1-1	D
14 Sep	A	Shakhtar Donetsk	0-2	L
4 Sep	H	Livyi Bereh	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Kryvbas KR	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Vilkhivtsi	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	LNZ Cherkasy	0-2	L
2 Aug	H	Polessya	1-2	L
25 Jul	A	Kolos Kovalivka	1-2	L

Karpaty

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Dynamo Kyiv	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	KV Mechelen	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Veres Rivne	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Kolos Kovalivka	3-2	W
11 Sep	A	Kolos Kovalivka	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Shakhtar Donetsk	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Livyi Bereh	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Obolon'-Brovar	2-0	W
15 Aug	H	Bukovyna	3-0	W

Head to head

3Chornomorets wins

12draws

9Karpaty wins

24 meetings · goals 15:34 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Chornomorets

30 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Karpaty4-0Chornomorets
21 Sep 2024Premier League	Premier League	Chornomorets0-1Karpaty
21 Aug 2024Cup	Cup	Karpaty3-0Chornomorets
21 May 2019Premier League	Premier League	Chornomorets3-1Karpaty
23 Apr 2019Premier League	Premier League	Karpaty0-0Chornomorets
28 Oct 2018Premier League	Premier League	Chornomorets0-5Karpaty
29 Jul 2018Premier League	Premier League	Karpaty1-0Chornomorets
5 May 2018Premier League	Premier League	Chornomorets1-1Karpaty
31 Mar 2018Premier League	Premier League	Karpaty3-1Chornomorets
24 Feb 2018Premier League	Premier League	Chornomorets0-0Karpaty

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 24 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Chornomorets sit 14th with 5 points from 8 games, while Karpaty are 5th with 15 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Polessya	10	8	1	1	23:8	+15	25
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	10	8	1	1	20:5	+15	25
3	FC Kharkiv	9	7	0	2	18:7	+11	21
4	Dynamo Kyiv	9	6	1	2	14:9	+5	19
5	Karpaty	9	4	3	2	17:8	+9	15
6	Zorya Luhansk	10	4	3	3	12:13	-1	15
7	LNZ Cherkasy	10	4	3	3	10:9	+1	15
8	Kolos Kovalivka	9	3	2	4	12:13	-1	11
9	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	10	2	3	5	10:14	-4	9
10	Veres Rivne	10	2	3	5	6:13	-7	9
11	Livyi Bereh	9	1	5	3	6:8	-2	8
12	Bukovyna	9	1	5	3	7:12	-5	8
13	Obolon'-Brovar	9	1	4	4	4:15	-11	7
14	Chornomorets	8	1	2	5	5:11	-6	5
15	Kudrivka	10	1	2	7	11:24	-13	5
16	Kryvbas KR	7	1	2	4	7:13	-6	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%6.17X22%4.22263%1.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.86 → 6.17 +5.3%X4.09 → 4.22 +3.2%21.49 → 1.46 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.76	2.06	5.4%
Pinnacle	1.76	2.04	5.8%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.73	2.02	7.3%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
Best of all books	1.76	2.06	5.4%
Average	1.74	2.03	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.88	1.84	7.5%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.81	8.7%
Betano	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.88	1.85	7.2%
Average	1.86	1.83	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chornomorets 10%Draw 45%Karpaty 45%

The statistical model rates Chornomorets at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Karpaty at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.17 | 4.22 | 1.46, which imply roughly 23.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Chornomorets are 14th (5 pts, 5-11 goals), Karpaty 5th (15 pts, 17-8).

Over their last five matches, Chornomorets averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Karpaty averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Karpaty.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.17	4.22	1.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.55	1.10	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
4.38	1.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.83

1st half

1	X	2
5.85	2.35	1.97

2nd half

1	X	2
5.59	2.70	1.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	10.1	16.9	20.6
HT X	12.7	6.24	4.05
HT 2	51.6	16.3	2.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.12	12.4	1.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.3
1.5	1.22	3.83
2.5	1.74	2.03
3.5	2.78	1.39
4.5	4.98	1.13
5.5	8.87	1.03
6.5	13.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.25	1.01	12.4
0.75	1.04	9.23
1	1.02	8.80
1.25	1.12	5.12
1.75	1.27	3.38
2	1.34	2.99
2.25	1.54	2.35
2.75	1.93	1.82
3	2.23	1.59
3.25	2.52	1.47
3.75	3.31	1.28
4	4.31	1.17
4.25	4.68	1.15
4.75	6.33	1.10
5	8.40	1.04
5.25	8.75	1.05
5.75	10.7	1.03
6	10.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.60	1.47
+0.75	2.31	1.57
+1	2.02	1.75
+1.25	1.75	2.00
+1.5	1.59	2.26
+1.75	1.44	2.62

18 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	11.0	1.02
-1.25	8.85	1.02
-1	8.65	1.02
-0.75	7.06	1.05
-0.5	5.75	1.14
-0.25	5.05	1.13
0	4.61	1.16
+0.25	3.13	1.31
+2	1.29	3.37
+2.25	1.23	3.67
+2.5	1.20	4.03
+2.75	1.13	5.02
+3	1.05	6.71
+3.25	1.05	6.91
+3.5	1.04	7.26
+3.75	1.02	8.25
+4	1.01	9.80
+4.25	1.01	9.05

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.30
6.5	1.14	4.32
7.5	1.34	2.85
8.5	1.64	2.10
9.5	2.04	1.70
10.5	2.70	1.38
11.5	3.74	1.19
12.5	5.52	1.08

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	7.00
6	1.02	6.69
6.25	1.08	5.08
6.75	1.16	3.98
7	1.18	3.76
7.25	1.27	3.16
7.75	1.40	2.63
8	1.47	2.44
8.25	1.56	2.24
8.75	1.76	1.96
9	1.85	1.89
9.25	1.98	1.74
9.75	2.25	1.56
10	2.43	1.48
10.25	2.62	1.40
10.75	3.07	1.29
11	3.54	1.21
11.25	3.72	1.19
11.75	4.51	1.12
12	5.47	1.07
12.25	5.68	1.06

Next Premier League matches

25 Oct

Bukovyna – Kryvbas KR

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

24 Oct	Shakhtar Donetsk 0-0 Zorya Luhansk
24 Oct	Livyi Bereh 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy
24 Oct	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1-2 FC Kharkiv
23 Oct	Polessya 3-0 Obolon'-Brovar
23 Oct	Veres Rivne 0-2 Kolos Kovalivka
23 Oct	Dynamo Kyiv 3-1 Kudrivka