Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk• Premier League, Ukraine

#12.4:0.415:00Tomorrow · Arena Lviv, Lviv1.4:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.431XBX4.761XB27.20MARMargin at best4.8%Books8Markets76Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 01:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.43	4.76	7.20	4.8%
Dafabet	1.42	4.70	6.40	7.3%
Pinnacle	1.39	4.61	7.01	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.50	7.20	8.6%
Betano	1.40	4.45	6.60	9.1%
William Hill	1.40	4.20	7.00	9.5%
Bet365	1.38	4.20	6.50	11.7%
Betfair	1.33	4.60	6.50	12.3%
Best of all books	1.43	4.76	7.20	4.8%
Average	1.39	4.50	6.80	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shakhtar DonetskZorya Luhansk

Last 10#1Table position#72.67Points per game1.5612Form pts · last 5102.4Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.263Attack rating3775Defence rating2565Form rating3593H2H rating756Goals model4472Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Shakhtar Donetsk

8W 1D 1L · goals 22:5 · per match 2.2 for, 0.5 against

21 Oct	A	Inter	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Kolos Kovalivka	2-1	W
14 Oct	H	AEK Athens FC	3-1	W
9 Oct	A	Veres Rivne	3-0	W
2 Oct	H	Kryvbas KR	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	LNZ Cherkasy	3-0	W
17 Sep	A	Vilkhivtsi	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Chornomorets	2-0	W
10 Sep	A	PSV Eindhoven	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Karpaty	2-1	W

Zorya Luhansk

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	H	Chornomorets	2-1	W
12 Oct	A	Livyi Bereh	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Kolos Kovalivka	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Dynamo Kyiv	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Bukovyna	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Yarud Mariupol'	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Veres Rivne	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	FC Kharkiv	0-3	L
22 Aug	A	Skala 1911 Stryi	6-0	W
17 Aug	A	Polessya	2-1	W

Head to head

30Shakhtar Donetsk wins

5draws

5Zorya Luhansk wins

40 meetings · goals 95:36 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for Shakhtar Donetsk

23 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	Zorya Luhansk1-2Shakhtar Donetsk
22 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Shakhtar Donetsk1-0Zorya Luhansk
9 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	Zorya Luhansk0-0Shakhtar Donetsk
10 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Shakhtar Donetsk3-1Zorya Luhansk
30 Oct 2024Cup	Cup	Shakhtar Donetsk1-0Zorya Luhansk
22 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Shakhtar Donetsk2-1Zorya Luhansk
18 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Zorya Luhansk1-3Shakhtar Donetsk
24 May 2023Premier League	Premier League	Zorya Luhansk0-3Shakhtar Donetsk
13 Nov 2022Premier League	Premier League	Shakhtar Donetsk2-2Zorya Luhansk
15 Oct 2021Premier League	Premier League	Shakhtar Donetsk6-1Zorya Luhansk

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Shakhtar Donetsk sit 1st with 24 points from 9 games, while Zorya Luhansk are 7th with 14 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	9	8	0	1	20:5	+15	24
2	Polessya	9	7	1	1	20:8	+12	22
3	FC Kharkiv	8	6	0	2	16:6	+10	18
4	Dynamo Kyiv	8	5	1	2	11:8	+3	16
5	Karpaty	9	4	3	2	17:8	+9	15
6	LNZ Cherkasy	9	4	2	3	10:9	+1	14
7	Zorya Luhansk	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14
8	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	9	2	3	4	9:12	-3	9
9	Veres Rivne	9	2	3	4	6:11	-5	9
10	Kolos Kovalivka	8	2	2	4	10:13	-3	8
11	Bukovyna	9	1	5	3	7:12	-5	8
12	Livyi Bereh	8	1	4	3	6:8	-2	7
13	Obolon'-Brovar	8	1	4	3	4:12	-8	7
14	Chornomorets	8	1	2	5	5:11	-6	5
15	Kudrivka	9	1	2	6	10:21	-11	5
16	Kryvbas KR	7	1	2	4	7:13	-6	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.39X20%4.50214%6.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.28 → 1.39 +8.6%X5.12 → 4.50 -12.1%29.67 → 6.77 -30.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.23	7.0%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.14	10.4%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.60	2.20	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.81	1.91	7.6%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Betano	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.81	1.89	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shakhtar Donetsk 45%Draw 45%Zorya Luhansk 10%

The statistical model rates Shakhtar Donetsk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zorya Luhansk at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.50 | 6.77, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Shakhtar Donetsk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st (24 pts, 20-5 goals), Zorya Luhansk 7th (14 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Shakhtar Donetsk averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Zorya Luhansk averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Shakhtar Donetsk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	4.50	6.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.82	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
1.82	2.49	6.48

2nd half

1	X	2
1.71	2.85	5.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.96	16.1	49.6
HT X	4.10	6.83	13.9
HT 2	20.6	17.8	11.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.37	14.8	3.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.2
1.5	1.18	4.32
2.5	1.60	2.20
3.5	2.50	1.48
4.5	4.33	1.18
5.5	7.61	1.05
6.5	11.4	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	10.5
1	1.03	10.0
1.25	1.11	5.95
1.75	1.21	3.85
2	1.26	3.45
2.25	1.43	2.61
2.75	1.75	1.98
3	1.98	1.76
3.25	2.24	1.58
3.75	2.90	1.36
4	3.62	1.23
4.25	3.96	1.20
4.75	5.26	1.12
5	7.09	1.06
5.25	7.20	1.06
5.75	9.32	1.04
6	11.7	1.02
6.25	11.7	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.74	1.43
-1.75	2.37	1.54
-1.5	2.07	1.71
-1.25	1.85	1.89
-1	1.60	2.24
-0.75	1.46	2.55

20 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5	13.9	1.01
-4.5	10.1	1.02
-4.25	11.3	1.02
-4	10.3	1.02
-3.75	7.68	1.05
-3.5	6.35	1.09
-3.25	6.31	1.09
-3	5.97	1.10
-2.75	4.35	1.18
-2.5	3.52	1.26
-2.25	3.15	1.32
-0.5	1.38	2.97
-0.25	1.25	3.58
0	1.12	5.44
+0.25	1.11	5.84
+0.5	1.10	7.00
+0.75	1.07	7.46
+1	1.02	10.9
+1.25	1.02	11.0
+1.5	1.01	11.9

Next Premier League matches

23 Oct	Dynamo Kyiv – Kudrivka
23 Oct	Polessya – Obolon'-Brovar
23 Oct	Veres Rivne – Kolos Kovalivka
24 Oct	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi – FC Kharkiv
24 Oct	Livyi Bereh – LNZ Cherkasy
25 Oct	Bukovyna – Kryvbas KR

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

19 Oct	FC Kharkiv 2-1 Livyi Bereh
18 Oct	Karpaty 2-2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
18 Oct	Kryvbas KR 0-3 LNZ Cherkasy
18 Oct	Polessya 3-1 Dynamo Kyiv
17 Oct	Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 Kolos Kovalivka
17 Oct	Kudrivka 4-1 Bukovyna