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Stevenage vs Plymouth• League One, England

#121.6:1.03-0FTToday · Broadhall Way, Stevenage1.6:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.78PINX3.50PIN22.55PINMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets68Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.783.502.553.8%
Dafabet2.753.452.505.3%
Betfair2.753.402.505.8%
BetVictor2.703.402.506.4%
Betano2.753.302.477.2%
Bet3652.703.402.457.3%
1xBet2.713.342.467.5%
Marathonbet2.713.342.467.5%
William Hill2.623.252.508.9%
SBO2.543.072.4313.1%
Best of all books2.783.502.553.8%
Average2.703.342.487.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

StevenagePlymouth
Last 10#12Table position#41.33Points per game1.739Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5055Defence rating4550Form rating507H2H rating9343Goals model5739Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 03:10 UTC

Stevenage

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

17 OctABradford0-2L
10 OctHWigan1-0W
6 OctHLeicester2-1W
22 SepAWalsall6-1W
19 SepALeyton Orient0-1L
10 SepHLuton2-1W
5 SepABarnsley5-1W
1 SepAPeterborough0-0D
29 AugHDoncaster2-2D
25 AugHReading0-3L

Plymouth

6W 1D 3L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against

17 OctHHuddersfield0-2L
10 OctHAFC Wimbledon2-1W
6 OctANewport County2-2D
3 OctALeyton Orient2-0W
26 SepHBurton Albion0-1L
22 SepHCrystal Palace U215-1W
19 SepABlackpool4-2W
12 SepHBarnsley3-0W
5 SepADoncaster3-2W
1 SepALeicester0-2L

Head to head

2Stevenage wins
2draws
7Plymouth wins

11 meetings · goals 12:18 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Stevenage

17 Mar 2026League OneLeague OnePlymouth1-0Stevenage
1 Jan 2026League OneLeague OneStevenage1-1Plymouth
25 Jan 2020League TwoLeague TwoStevenage1-2Plymouth
29 Dec 2019League TwoLeague TwoPlymouth2-1Stevenage
10 Nov 2018FA CupFA CupPlymouth1-0Stevenage
14 Jan 2017League TwoLeague TwoPlymouth4-2Stevenage
8 Oct 2016League TwoLeague TwoStevenage1-2Plymouth
16 Jan 2016League TwoLeague TwoPlymouth3-2Stevenage
5 Sep 2015League TwoLeague TwoStevenage2-1Plymouth
3 Mar 2015League TwoLeague TwoStevenage1-0Plymouth

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the League One table, Stevenage sit 12th with 12 points from 9 games, while Plymouth are 4th with 19 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bradford1062210:5+520
2Stockport County1061321:11+1019
3Huddersfield1054118:9+919
4Plymouth1161418:14+419
5Cambridge United1054116:12+419
6Sheffield Wednesday953120:8+1218
7Reading1043322:12+1015
8Oxford United843116:9+715
9Leyton Orient1042415:11+414
10Burton Albion1134416:18-213
11Wycombe1034316:20-413
12Stevenage933312:10+212
13Mansfield Town933313:15-212
14Leicester933312:15-312
15AFC Wimbledon103347:15-812
16Luton932417:17011
17Doncaster923410:11-19
18Milton Keynes Dons916211:16-59
19Peterborough102359:16-79
20Blackpool922513:16-38
21Barnsley92259:17-88
22Bromley92259:21-128
23Notts County91448:13-57
24Wigan92166:13-77

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.70X28%3.35238%2.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18 Oct 03:1020 Oct 18:101 2.70X 3.352 2.48
12.56 → 2.70 +5.5%X3.31 → 3.35 +1.2%22.58 → 2.48 -3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.891.983.4%
SBO1.921.924.2%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betano1.871.906.1%
Betfair1.871.877.0%
1xBet1.841.907.0%
Marathonbet1.841.907.0%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Best of all books1.921.982.6%
Average1.861.916.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.652.118.0%
Betano1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.652.088.7%
Best of all books1.702.204.3%
Average1.662.117.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stevenage 10%Draw 45%Plymouth 45%

The statistical model rated Stevenage at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Plymouth at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.48, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Stevenage are 12th (12 pts, 12-10 goals), Plymouth 4th (19 pts, 18-14).

Over their last five matches, Stevenage averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Plymouth averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Plymouth.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Stevenage

4-4-1-1

Coach: A. Revell

Goalkeeper

  • 1T. Setford

Defence

  • 2L. James-Wildin
  • 15T. Vancooten
  • 5C. Piergianni
  • 14S. Earley

Midfield

  • 10D. Kemp
  • 23L. Thompson
  • 8D. Phillips
  • 27B. Broggio
  • 28M. Mellon

Attack

  • 9J. Magennis
Substitutes (7)
  • 12D. Barden
  • 20C. Campbell
  • 16K. Casey
  • 44P. Patterson
  • 18O. Sanderson
  • 7T. Taylor
  • 19T. Turhan

Plymouth

4-4-2

Coach: Tom Cleverley

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Mahoney

Defence

  • 8J. Edwards
  • 15A. Mitchell
  • 22A. Hartridge
  • 45W. Harding

Midfield

  • 11R. Curtis
  • 19T. Bakinson
  • 7H. White
  • 14O. Irow

Attack

  • 9W. Evans
  • 27A. Pepple
Substitutes (7)
  • 17C. Watts
  • 21James Storer
  • 29M. Sorinola
  • 5Julio Pleguezuelo
  • 3Jack Mackenzie
  • 23B. Ibrahim
  • 10X. Amaechi

Match Statistics

StevenagePlymouth
1.33Expected Goals0.97
251Passes accurate267
14Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox5
6Blocked Shots7
17Free Kicks8
7Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
4Shots off Goal5
360Total passes379
17Total Shots13
1Yellow Cards1
5Corner Kicks5
0Offsides2
9Fouls17
0Red Cards0
49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.703.352.48

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.431.30

Draw no bet

12
1.951.80

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.11

1st half

1X2
3.282.153.00

2nd half

1X2
2.982.472.73

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.4213.627.0
HT X6.385.195.96
HT 227.513.33.98

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.029.951.96

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.70
1.51.263.54
2.51.861.91
3.53.051.33
4.56.031.10
5.511.61.03
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.38
11.027.80
1.251.154.43
1.751.313.00
21.412.73
2.251.632.19
2.752.051.71
32.421.50
3.252.621.39
3.753.481.23
44.751.12
4.255.101.10
59.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.661.46
-0.252.301.57
01.971.80
+0.251.672.12
+0.51.532.44
+0.751.362.91
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.511.31.02
-29.301.02
-1.756.801.07
-1.55.481.12
-1.254.941.13
-14.541.16
-0.753.241.30
+11.213.96
+1.251.164.34
+1.51.144.80
+1.751.086.13
+21.018.70
+2.51.039.53

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0117.0
5.51.039.00
6.51.115.50
7.51.253.52
8.51.472.51
9.51.841.88
10.52.371.53
11.53.261.29
12.54.801.14
13.57.501.06
14.510.01.02
15.517.01.01
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.512.32
91.612.28
9.251.712.02
9.751.901.78
102.061.75
10.252.191.60
10.752.491.42
112.521.50

Next League One matches

21 OctReading – Leyton Orient

All League One fixtures and the table

Latest League One results

20 OctDoncaster 0-2 Stockport County
20 OctLuton 2-1 Barnsley
20 OctNotts County 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
20 OctAFC Wimbledon 0-3 Mansfield Town
20 OctBromley 0-4 Leicester
20 OctBurton Albion 0-0 Bradford