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Luton vs Barnsley• League One, England

#161.4:1.42-1FTToday · Kenilworth Road, Luton0.8:2.8#21

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53BTNX5.20DAF26.42PINMargin at best0.2%Books10Markets81Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.454.986.424.6%
Dafabet1.445.206.005.3%
BetVictor1.445.005.756.8%
1xBet1.444.855.917.0%
Betano1.534.555.007.3%
Marathonbet1.474.705.507.5%
Bet3651.504.335.507.9%
Betfair1.405.006.008.1%
William Hill1.444.405.0012.2%
SBO1.434.325.0313.0%
Best of all books1.535.206.420.2%
Average1.454.735.617.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LutonBarnsley
Last 10#16Table position#211.22Points per game0.897Form pts · last 511.4Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 52.864Attack rating3667Defence rating3380Form rating2060H2H rating4066Goals model3463Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 14:40 UTC

Luton

3W 2D 5L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

17 OctAMilton Keynes Dons1-2L
10 OctAWycombe4-1W
3 OctAColchester1-1D
22 SepHIpswich Town U216-0W
19 SepHBradford0-1L
10 SepAStevenage1-2L
5 SepHLeyton Orient1-1D
2 SepHStockport County2-0W
30 AugAMansfield Town2-5L
27 AugAChelsea0-2L

Barnsley

2W 2D 6L · goals 16:27 · per match 1.6 for, 2.7 against

17 OctHCambridge United1-2L
10 OctAStockport County1-3L
6 OctAFleetwood Town1-4L
22 SepHLeeds United U213-4L
19 SepHLeicester1-1D
15 SepAPeterborough3-3D
12 SepAPlymouth0-3L
5 SepHStevenage1-5L
2 SepHBlackpool2-1W
29 AugALeyton Orient3-1W

Head to head

5Luton wins
2draws
3Barnsley wins

10 meetings · goals 13:14 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Luton

25 Apr 2026League OneLeague OneLuton2-1Barnsley
22 Nov 2025League OneLeague OneBarnsley5-0Luton
8 Feb 2022ChampionshipChampionshipLuton2-1Barnsley
17 Aug 2021ChampionshipChampionshipBarnsley0-1Luton
5 Apr 2021ChampionshipChampionshipLuton1-2Barnsley
12 Sep 2020ChampionshipChampionshipBarnsley0-1Luton
7 Jul 2020ChampionshipChampionshipLuton1-1Barnsley
24 Aug 2019ChampionshipChampionshipBarnsley1-3Luton
1 Jan 2019League OneLeague OneLuton0-0Barnsley
13 Oct 2018League OneLeague OneBarnsley3-2Luton

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the League One table, Luton sit 16th with 11 points from 9 games, while Barnsley are 21st with 8 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bradford1062210:5+520
2Stockport County1061321:11+1019
3Huddersfield1054118:9+919
4Plymouth1161418:14+419
5Cambridge United1054116:12+419
6Sheffield Wednesday953120:8+1218
7Reading1043322:12+1015
8Oxford United843116:9+715
9Leyton Orient1042415:11+414
10Burton Albion1134416:18-213
11Wycombe1034316:20-413
12Stevenage933312:10+212
13Mansfield Town933313:15-212
14Leicester933312:15-312
15AFC Wimbledon103347:15-812
16Luton932417:17011
17Doncaster923410:11-19
18Milton Keynes Dons916211:16-59
19Peterborough102359:16-79
20Blackpool922513:16-38
21Barnsley92259:17-88
22Bromley92259:21-128
23Notts County91448:13-57
24Wigan92166:13-77

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.45X20%4.73217%5.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0120 Oct 18:101 1.45X 4.732 5.61
11.56 → 1.45 -7.1%X4.33 → 4.73 +9.2%24.81 → 5.61 +16.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.333.404.6%
Pinnacle1.343.324.7%
Betano1.353.056.9%
Betfair1.303.307.2%
BetVictor1.342.919.0%
1xBet1.302.9710.6%
Marathonbet1.302.9710.6%
Best of all books1.353.403.5%
Average1.323.137.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.472.636.1%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.442.627.6%
1xBet1.462.538.0%
Marathonbet1.442.558.7%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
BetVictor1.402.639.5%
Best of all books1.502.634.7%
Average1.452.577.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Luton 45%Draw 45%Barnsley 10%

The statistical model rated Luton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Barnsley at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 4.73 | 5.61, which imply roughly 69% for a Luton win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Luton are 16th (11 pts, 17-17 goals), Barnsley 21st (8 pts, 9-17).

Over their last five matches, Luton averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Barnsley averaged 0.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Luton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Luton

4-1-4-1

Coach: J. Wilshere

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Shea

Defence

  • 2H. Odoffin
  • 5M. Andersen
  • 6G. Johnston
  • 3K. Naismith

Midfield

  • 8L. Walsh
  • 17T. Mendel-Idowu
  • 18J. Clark
  • 10J. Donley
  • 45K. Palmer

Attack

  • 21N. Wells
Substitutes (7)
  • 11Emilio Lawrence
  • 44D. Cole
  • 12J. Johnson
  • 25I. Jones
  • 24Joshua Keeley
  • 9C. Marshall
  • 7J. Richards

Barnsley

4-2-3-1

Coach: D. Stendel

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Slicker

Defence

  • 11T. Noslin
  • 6C. O'Riordan
  • 5J. Shepherd
  • 2A. Kay

Midfield

  • 8C. McGeehan
  • 45Vimal Yoganathan
  • 32Royce Brownlie
  • 22Patrick Kelly
  • 19R. Cleary

Attack

  • 7T. Adeyemo
Substitutes (7)
  • 4S. Gale
  • 9M. Kirk
  • 3Z. Larkeche
  • 12J. Okedina
  • 30Jonathan Bland
  • 17Amani Richards
  • 25Rogan Ravenhill

Match Statistics

LutonBarnsley
2.32Expected Goals1.07
204Passes accurate223
19Shots insidebox11
4Shots outsidebox3
8Blocked Shots2
18Free Kicks16
6Shots on Goal4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
9Shots off Goal8
2Offsides1
301Total passes329
23Total Shots14
2Yellow Cards1
7Corner Kicks4
16Fouls19
0Red Cards0
48%Ball Possession52%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.454.735.61

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.611.16

Draw no bet

12
1.174.62

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.452.57

1st half

1X2
1.882.725.02

2nd half

1X2
1.763.124.67

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0715.438.6
HT X4.598.3713.3
HT 216.516.19.65

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4025.52.76

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0218.6
1.51.086.86
2.51.323.13
3.51.871.88
4.52.861.37
5.54.951.15
6.59.101.06
7.516.41.02
8.534.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0115.5
1.751.075.77
21.124.98
2.251.213.67
2.751.422.66
31.482.49
3.251.702.09
3.752.021.71
42.341.54
4.252.541.45
4.753.181.27
54.101.16
5.254.351.14
67.451.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.351.53
-1.52.101.67
-1.251.881.87
-11.692.14
-0.751.512.43
-0.51.442.71
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-410.51.01
-3.55.951.09
-3.255.751.14
-35.321.11
-2.754.001.19
-2.53.391.27
-2.253.111.32
-22.821.38
-0.251.293.30
01.164.62
+0.251.135.00
+0.51.116.60
+0.751.076.82
+11.029.10
+1.51.029.73

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0117.0
6.51.0210.0
7.51.077.00
8.51.204.00
9.51.352.90
10.51.612.20
11.51.991.75
12.52.561.45
13.53.481.26
14.55.201.13
15.57.001.07
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
101.492.57
10.251.512.41
10.751.632.09
111.822.00
11.251.841.86
11.752.051.67
122.331.58
12.252.351.53

Next League One matches

21 OctReading – Leyton Orient

All League One fixtures and the table

Latest League One results

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