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Burton Albion vs Bradford• League One, England

#101.2:1.60-0FTToday · Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent1.0:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.95PINX3.75B36521.91SBOMargin6.9%Books10Markets74Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.953.711.754.3%
Dafabet4.603.751.774.9%
Betfair4.753.601.756.0%
BetVictor4.603.751.736.2%
Bet3654.503.751.736.7%
1xBet4.663.621.736.9%
Betano4.603.651.727.3%
Marathonbet4.703.621.717.4%
William Hill4.603.401.739.0%
SBO3.473.161.9112.8%
Best of all books4.953.751.91-0.8%
Average4.543.601.756.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Burton AlbionBradford
Last 10#10Table position#11.18Points per game2.005Form pts · last 5111.2Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 50.255Attack rating4511Defence rating8931Form rating6971H2H rating2942Goals model5847Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 14:40 UTC

Burton Albion

2W 5D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

17 OctAPeterborough2-2D
10 OctADoncaster0-1L
6 OctAGrimsby0-0D
3 OctHHuddersfield1-3L
26 SepAPlymouth1-0W
22 SepHNottingham Forest U211-1D
19 SepHMansfield Town2-2D
12 SepAOxford United0-3L
5 SepHCambridge United2-2D
2 SepHAFC Wimbledon4-1W

Bradford

7W 2D 1L · goals 16:5 · per match 1.6 for, 0.5 against

17 OctHStevenage2-0W
10 OctHLeyton Orient0-0D
6 OctARotherham4-0W
3 OctAReading1-1D
22 SepHNewcastle United U212-1W
19 SepALuton1-0W
12 SepANotts County1-0W
8 SepALeyton Orient3-1W
5 SepHMansfield Town1-0W
1 SepHCambridge United1-2L

Head to head

6Burton Albion wins
3draws
5Bradford wins

14 meetings · goals 22:19 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Burton Albion

21 Mar 2026League OneLeague OneBurton Albion2-1Bradford
8 Nov 2025League OneLeague OneBradford1-2Burton Albion
18 Oct 2022EFL TrophyEFL TrophyBurton Albion4-0Bradford
26 Jan 2019League OneLeague OneBurton Albion1-1Bradford
21 Aug 2018League OneLeague OneBradford1-0Burton Albion
8 Mar 2016League OneLeague OneBradford2-0Burton Albion
6 Feb 2016League OneLeague OneBurton Albion3-1Bradford
5 May 2013League TwoLeague TwoBurton Albion1-3Bradford
2 May 2013League TwoLeague TwoBradford2-3Burton Albion
20 Apr 2013League TwoLeague TwoBradford1-0Burton Albion

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the League One table, Burton Albion sit 10th with 13 points from 11 games, while Bradford are 1st with 20 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bradford1062210:5+520
2Stockport County1061321:11+1019
3Huddersfield1054118:9+919
4Plymouth1161418:14+419
5Cambridge United1054116:12+419
6Sheffield Wednesday953120:8+1218
7Reading1043322:12+1015
8Oxford United843116:9+715
9Leyton Orient1042415:11+414
10Burton Albion1134416:18-213
11Wycombe1034316:20-413
12Stevenage933312:10+212
13Mansfield Town933313:15-212
14Leicester933312:15-312
15AFC Wimbledon103347:15-812
16Luton932417:17011
17Doncaster923410:11-19
18Milton Keynes Dons916211:16-59
19Peterborough102359:16-79
20Blackpool922513:16-38
21Barnsley92259:17-88
22Bromley92259:21-128
23Notts County91448:13-57
24Wigan92166:13-77

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.54X26%3.60253%1.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0120 Oct 18:101 4.54X 3.602 1.75
13.35 → 4.54 +35.5%X3.40 → 3.60 +5.9%22.18 → 1.75 -19.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.891.983.4%
SBO1.961.884.2%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betano1.851.935.9%
1xBet1.851.897.0%
Marathonbet1.851.897.0%
Betfair1.831.917.0%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Best of all books1.961.981.5%
Average1.861.916.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
William Hill1.801.917.9%
1xBet1.791.927.9%
Betano1.781.938.0%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.791.898.8%
Best of all books1.802.103.2%
Average1.781.957.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burton Albion 35%Draw 35%Bradford 30%

The statistical model rated Burton Albion at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Bradford at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.54 | 3.60 | 1.75, which imply roughly 22% for a Burton Albion win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the League One table: Burton Albion are 10th (13 pts, 16-18 goals), Bradford 1st (20 pts, 10-5).

Over their last five matches, Burton Albion averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Bradford averaged 1 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Burton Albion or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Burton Albion

3-4-2-1

Coach: G. Bowyer

Goalkeeper

  • 34C. Addai

Defence

  • 16C. Tilt
  • 12G. Evans
  • 6T. Sibbick

Midfield

  • 17R. Borges Rodrigues
  • 4K. Chauke
  • 41Sulyman Krubally
  • 24Harvey Araujo
  • 18Caylon Vickers
  • 8C. Webster

Attack

  • 9G. Arubi
Substitutes (7)
  • 14W. Collar
  • 19M. Dennis
  • 32J. Kean
  • 10Mark O’Mahony
  • 20J. Sraha
  • 23Emeka Adeile
  • 29Kain Adom

Bradford

3-4-2-1

Coach: M. Duff

Goalkeeper

  • 21J. McCracken

Defence

  • 28M. Pennington
  • 15A. Baldwin
  • 16George Christopher John Pratt

Midfield

  • 27C. O'Keeffe
  • 10A. Sarcevic
  • 6C. Connolly
  • 3I. Touray
  • 24W. Swan
  • 23B. Pointon

Attack

  • 9J. Beesley
Substitutes (7)
  • 25N. Powell
  • 8A. Phillips
  • 32G. Lapslie
  • 19K. Jackson
  • 11S. Humphrys
  • 5M. Gillesphey
  • 1C. Dawson

Match Statistics

Burton AlbionBradford
1.3Expected Goals1.42
238Passes accurate264
8Shots insidebox14
6Shots outsidebox2
5Blocked Shots5
16Free Kicks12
3Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
6Shots off Goal9
342Total passes374
14Total Shots16
4Yellow Cards2
4Corner Kicks13
0Offsides2
12Fouls17
0Red Cards0
47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.543.601.75

Double chance

1XX212
2.021.181.25

Draw no bet

12
3.381.29

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.781.95

1st half

1X2
4.772.202.31

2nd half

1X2
4.402.542.06

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.6515.023.0
HT X9.635.394.55
HT 240.114.72.72

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.679.851.57

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.65
1.51.263.52
2.51.861.91
3.53.001.34
4.55.911.11
5.511.41.04
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.20
11.056.98
1.251.154.40
1.751.342.97
21.412.70
2.251.652.17
2.752.051.69
32.431.50
3.252.651.38
3.753.541.22
44.801.12
4.255.101.10
59.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.421.52
+0.52.061.77
+0.751.841.90
+11.592.30
+1.251.432.63
+1.51.343.00
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.951.01
-1.59.331.02
-1.258.101.02
-18.131.04
-0.755.591.10
-0.54.411.20
-0.253.891.22
03.381.28
+1.751.243.69
+21.125.09
+2.251.115.36
+2.51.105.85
+2.751.046.85
+3.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0117.0
5.51.039.00
6.51.116.50
7.51.223.75
8.51.432.60
9.51.742.00
10.52.221.60
11.53.071.32
12.54.501.17
13.57.001.07
14.59.001.03
15.513.01.01
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.462.45
91.562.39
9.251.642.13
9.751.831.85
102.001.81
10.252.091.66
10.752.351.47
112.541.50

Next League One matches

21 OctReading – Leyton Orient

All League One fixtures and the table

Latest League One results

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