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AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town• League One, England

#150.6:1.60-3FTToday · Plough Lane, Wimbledon1.0:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.43PINX3.61PIN22.17DAFMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets68Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 12:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.433.612.124.0%
Dafabet3.253.502.175.4%
Betfair3.403.502.105.6%
BetVictor3.403.502.056.8%
Betano3.403.352.106.9%
1xBet3.323.422.107.0%
Marathonbet3.323.422.087.4%
Bet3653.403.402.057.6%
William Hill3.203.302.109.2%
SBO3.123.142.0412.9%
Best of all books3.433.612.172.9%
Average3.323.412.097.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
Last 10#15Table position#131.20Points per game1.333Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6338Defence rating6245Form rating5550H2H rating50100Goals model043Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

AFC Wimbledon

3W 3D 4L · goals 7:15 · per match 0.7 for, 1.5 against

17 OctASheffield Wednesday0-5L
10 OctAPlymouth1-2L
6 OctHBarnet0-0D
26 SepACambridge United1-1D
17 SepHMilton Keynes Dons0-0D
12 SepHDoncaster1-0W
7 SepABromley2-0W
2 SepABurton Albion1-4L
30 AugHWigan1-0W
27 AugAFulham0-3L

Mansfield Town

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against

15 OctHOxford United1-1D
10 OctHBromley2-1W
6 OctAPort Vale0-2L
19 SepABurton Albion2-2D
12 SepHHuddersfield0-0D
5 SepABradford0-1L
2 SepAReading0-5L
30 AugHLuton5-2W
22 AugAPeterborough1-2L
19 AugHManchester City U211-4L

Head to head

2AFC Wimbledon wins
5draws
5Mansfield Town wins

12 meetings · goals 12:17 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for AFC Wimbledon

28 Feb 2026League OneLeague OneMansfield Town2-2AFC Wimbledon
13 Dec 2025League OneLeague OneAFC Wimbledon0-0Mansfield Town
27 Jan 2024League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon2-1Mansfield Town
7 Oct 2023League TwoLeague TwoMansfield Town0-0AFC Wimbledon
4 Mar 2023League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon1-3Mansfield Town
16 Aug 2022League TwoLeague TwoMansfield Town5-2AFC Wimbledon
16 Jan 2016League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon3-1Mansfield Town
5 Sep 2015League TwoLeague TwoMansfield Town1-1AFC Wimbledon
17 Mar 2015League TwoLeague TwoMansfield Town2-1AFC Wimbledon
20 Dec 2014League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon0-1Mansfield Town

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the League One table, AFC Wimbledon sit 15th with 12 points from 10 games, while Mansfield Town are 13th with 12 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bradford1062210:5+520
2Stockport County1061321:11+1019
3Huddersfield1054118:9+919
4Plymouth1161418:14+419
5Cambridge United1054116:12+419
6Sheffield Wednesday953120:8+1218
7Reading1043322:12+1015
8Oxford United843116:9+715
9Leyton Orient1042415:11+414
10Burton Albion1134416:18-213
11Wycombe1034316:20-413
12Stevenage933312:10+212
13Mansfield Town933313:15-212
14Leicester933312:15-312
15AFC Wimbledon103347:15-812
16Luton932417:17011
17Doncaster923410:11-19
18Milton Keynes Dons916211:16-59
19Peterborough102359:16-79
20Blackpool922513:16-38
21Barnsley92259:17-88
22Bromley92259:21-128
23Notts County91448:13-57
24Wigan92166:13-77

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.32X27%3.41245%2.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17 Oct 00:0120 Oct 13:001 3.32X 3.412 2.09
12.70 → 3.32 +23.0%X3.50 → 3.41 -2.6%22.50 → 2.09 -16.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.822.053.7%
SBO1.851.994.3%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Betano1.801.986.1%
1xBet1.771.987.0%
Marathonbet1.771.987.0%
BetVictor1.751.939.0%
Best of all books1.852.052.8%
Average1.791.996.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.622.168.0%
Betano1.622.158.2%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.622.138.7%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.632.157.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Wimbledon 10%Draw 45%Mansfield Town 45%

The statistical model rated AFC Wimbledon at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mansfield Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.32 | 3.41 | 2.09, which imply roughly 29.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: AFC Wimbledon are 15th (12 pts, 7-15 goals), Mansfield Town 13th (12 pts, 13-15).

Over their last five matches, AFC Wimbledon averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Mansfield Town averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mansfield Town and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AFC Wimbledon

5-4-1

Coach: J. Jackson

Goalkeeper

  • 39J. Bursik

Defence

  • 17A. Yiadom
  • 15F. Simmonds
  • 6R. Johnson
  • 3S. Seddon
  • 29A. Sasu

Midfield

  • 8C. Maycock
  • 10Z. Nelson
  • 12A. Smith
  • 21M. Hippolyte

Attack

  • 9J. Stockley
Substitutes (7)
  • 23H. Cornick
  • 5O. Harrison
  • 20J. McDonnell
  • 2S. Sessegnon
  • 7J. Tilley
  • 35S. Goma
  • 22R. Horan

Mansfield Town

3-1-4-2

Coach: N. Clough

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Roberts

Defence

  • 9J. Bowery
  • 23A. Oshilaja
  • 5R. Sweeney

Midfield

  • 25L. Reed
  • 33G. Abbott
  • 13J. Russell
  • 16L. Thompson
  • 3S. McLaughlin

Attack

  • 14M. Smith
  • 22N. Moriah-Welsh
Substitutes (7)
  • 19T. Roberts
  • 18R. Oates
  • 10G. Maris
  • 2K. Knoyle
  • 24R. Hendry
  • 8L. Bolton
  • 20F. Blake-Tracy

Match Statistics

AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
0.58Expected Goals1.99
305Passes accurate271
4Shots insidebox11
8Shots outsidebox2
2Blocked Shots3
10Free Kicks8
2Shots on Goal6
3Goalkeeper Saves2
8Shots off Goal4
2Offsides0
393Total passes354
12Total Shots13
2Yellow Cards1
9Corner Kicks6
9Fouls11
0Red Cards0
53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.323.412.09

Double chance

1XX212
1.701.291.27

Draw no bet

12
2.391.52

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.632.15

1st half

1X2
3.822.202.61

2nd half

1X2
3.382.512.42

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.5414.424.7
HT X7.575.375.30
HT 232.813.33.27

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2312.41.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.9
1.51.233.80
2.51.801.99
3.52.881.37
4.55.641.12
5.510.41.05
6.519.21.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.70
11.029.00
1.251.124.87
1.751.273.21
21.362.89
2.251.572.30
2.751.981.77
32.301.56
3.252.581.44
3.753.381.24
44.471.14
4.255.001.10
4.757.171.04
58.551.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.841.39
02.431.52
+0.251.981.78
+0.51.752.06
+0.751.522.38
+11.333.03
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.01.01
-1.758.881.01
-1.57.181.06
-1.256.601.07
-15.931.09
-0.754.141.20
-0.53.161.35
+1.251.273.45
+1.51.213.80
+1.751.134.93
+21.037.30
+2.251.027.78
+2.51.038.30
+3.51.0113.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.233.70
8.51.402.68
9.51.712.03
10.52.131.66
11.52.781.38
12.53.401.24
13.54.401.14
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.492.53
9.251.522.28
9.751.692.00
101.861.93
10.251.931.78
10.752.181.59
112.391.55
11.252.501.43

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