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Oxford United vs Wigan• League One, England

#82.2:0.62-1FTToday · Kassam Stadium, Oxford0.2:1.2#24

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.02DAFX3.62PIN24.20BFRMargin at best0.9%Books10Markets71Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.963.623.924.2%
Dafabet2.023.553.655.1%
Betfair1.853.604.205.6%
BetVictor1.853.604.006.8%
Betano1.883.603.856.9%
1xBet1.873.583.917.0%
Marathonbet1.853.583.927.5%
Bet3651.953.603.507.6%
William Hill1.853.303.9010.0%
SBO1.953.153.3512.9%
Best of all books2.023.624.200.9%
Average1.903.523.827.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Oxford UnitedWigan
Last 10#8Table position#241.88Points per game0.789Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 50.20.6Goals against · last 51.292Attack rating867Defence rating3373Form rating2750H2H rating5082Goals model1869Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 03:10 UTC

Oxford United

4W 4D 2L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

15 OctAMansfield Town1-1D
10 OctANotts County2-1W
6 OctAExeter City2-2D
19 SepHCambridge United1-1D
12 SepHBurton Albion3-0W
5 SepALeicester4-0W
1 SepAHuddersfield1-3L
22 AugAStevenage2-1W
15 AugHMilton Keynes Dons2-2D
8 AugALeyton Orient0-2L

Wigan

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

17 OctHReading1-0W
10 OctAStevenage0-1L
22 SepHBlackpool3-2W
19 SepHWycombe0-1L
12 SepASheffield Wednesday0-0D
5 SepHStockport County0-4L
2 SepHMilton Keynes Dons3-1W
30 AugAAFC Wimbledon0-1L
22 AugHLeyton Orient0-2L
18 AugHAston Villa U213-2W

Head to head

3Oxford United wins
1draws
4Wigan wins

8 meetings · goals 11:18 · last 8: 3W 1D 4L for Oxford United

13 Feb 2024League OneLeague OneOxford United4-2Wigan
24 Oct 2023League OneLeague OneWigan2-0Oxford United
1 Feb 2022League OneLeague OneWigan1-1Oxford United
18 Dec 2021League OneLeague OneOxford United2-3Wigan
14 Feb 2021League OneLeague OneOxford United2-1Wigan
21 Nov 2020League OneLeague OneWigan1-2Oxford United
17 Apr 2018League OneLeague OneWigan1-0Oxford United
23 Dec 2017League OneLeague OneOxford United0-7Wigan

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 20 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the League One table, Oxford United sit 8th with 15 points from 8 games, while Wigan are 24th with 7 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bradford1062210:5+520
2Stockport County1061321:11+1019
3Huddersfield1054118:9+919
4Plymouth1161418:14+419
5Cambridge United1054116:12+419
6Sheffield Wednesday953120:8+1218
7Reading1043322:12+1015
8Oxford United843116:9+715
9Leyton Orient1042415:11+414
10Burton Albion1134416:18-213
11Wycombe1034316:20-413
12Stevenage933312:10+212
13Mansfield Town933313:15-212
14Leicester933312:15-312
15AFC Wimbledon103347:15-812
16Luton932417:17011
17Doncaster923410:11-19
18Milton Keynes Dons916211:16-59
19Peterborough102359:16-79
20Blackpool922513:16-38
21Barnsley92259:17-88
22Bromley92259:21-128
23Notts County91448:13-57
24Wigan92166:13-77

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.90X26%3.52224%3.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18 Oct 03:1020 Oct 18:101 1.90X 3.522 3.82
11.85 → 1.90 +2.7%X3.53 → 3.52 -0.3%23.90 → 3.82 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.852.033.3%
SBO1.881.964.2%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betano1.851.935.9%
Betfair1.801.956.8%
1xBet1.791.957.1%
Marathonbet1.791.957.1%
BetVictor1.781.908.8%
Best of all books1.882.032.5%
Average1.821.956.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
Bet3651.752.007.1%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.682.068.1%
Betano1.722.008.1%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.682.038.8%
Best of all books1.752.104.8%
Average1.702.057.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Oxford United 45%Draw 45%Wigan 10%

The statistical model rated Oxford United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Wigan at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.52 | 3.82, which imply roughly 52.6% for a Oxford United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Oxford United are 8th (15 pts, 16-9 goals), Wigan 24th (7 pts, 6-13).

Over their last five matches, Oxford United averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Wigan averaged 0.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Oxford United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Oxford United

4-2-3-1

Coach: A. Ramsey

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Cumming

Defence

  • 15B. Spencer
  • 6M. Helik
  • 3C. Brown
  • 26J. Currie

Midfield

  • 4Kai Andrews
  • 8C. Brannagan
  • 57M. Missanga
  • 11T. Goodrham
  • 23S. Dembélé

Attack

  • 9M. Harris
Substitutes (7)
  • 20L. Lynch
  • 2S. Long
  • 22G. Leigh
  • 10A. Emakhu
  • 13S. Eastwood
  • 32L. Sibley
  • 27L. Snowden

Wigan

3-4-2-1

Coach: G. Caldwell

Goalkeeper

  • 41J. Whitworth

Defence

  • 5F. Burns
  • 4J. Chilokoa-Mullen
  • 3M. Fox

Midfield

  • 2C. Barrett
  • 18Charlie Gray
  • 16Archie Harris
  • 7F. Murray
  • 27B. Burrows
  • 6J. Weir

Attack

  • 25S. Hogan
Substitutes (7)
  • 22J. Mellish
  • 21K'Marni Miller
  • 38C. Saydee
  • 9S. Perkins
  • 19C. Sze
  • 1J. Walsh
  • 10R. Walsh

Match Statistics

Oxford UnitedWigan
466Passes accurate257
15Shots insidebox4
9Shots outsidebox3
8Blocked Shots2
21Free Kicks13
7Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal4
1Offsides2
534Total passes333
24Total Shots7
3Yellow Cards3
9Corner Kicks1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
0Red Cards1
13Fouls21
62%Ball Possession38%
1.97Expected Goals0.54

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.903.523.82

Double chance

1XX212
1.231.871.26

Draw no bet

12
1.392.78

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.702.05

1st half

1X2
2.462.204.21

2nd half

1X2
2.232.543.85

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9314.037.3
HT X4.885.458.50
HT 223.014.56.43

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6411.82.39

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.1
1.51.243.66
2.51.821.95
3.52.941.35
4.55.781.11
5.511.11.04
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.82
11.018.70
1.251.134.68
1.751.283.14
21.392.82
2.251.592.26
2.752.021.73
32.371.53
3.252.571.41
3.753.401.24
44.651.12
4.255.001.10
4.757.051.05
58.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.011.35
-12.641.46
-0.752.121.66
-0.51.911.90
-0.251.632.18
01.382.80
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.512.01.02
-2.56.601.07
-2.256.371.07
-25.901.09
-1.754.151.18
-1.53.331.28
+0.251.303.25
+0.51.253.74
+0.751.144.76
+11.057.27
+1.251.027.88
+1.51.028.70
+2.51.0113.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0113.0
6.51.058.00
7.51.115.50
8.51.283.31
9.51.502.41
10.51.841.90
11.52.351.53
12.53.161.30
13.54.501.17
14.56.501.08
15.59.001.03
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
9.751.522.30
101.652.22
10.251.712.02
10.751.891.79
112.051.76
11.252.161.61
11.752.431.44

Next League One matches

21 OctReading – Leyton Orient

All League One fixtures and the table

Latest League One results

20 OctDoncaster 0-2 Stockport County
20 OctLuton 2-1 Barnsley
20 OctNotts County 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
20 OctAFC Wimbledon 0-3 Mansfield Town
20 OctBromley 0-4 Leicester
20 OctBurton Albion 0-0 Bradford