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FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva• Cup, Russia

2.5:2.313:00Tomorrow · Gazovik Stadium, Rostoshi2.3:2.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.911XBX3.821XB24.001XBMargin at best3.5%Books4Markets48Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L54.9

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.913.824.003.5%
Marathonbet1.893.783.964.6%
Pinnacle1.863.773.905.9%
Dafabet1.833.603.908.1%
Best of all books1.913.824.003.5%
Average1.873.743.945.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC OrenburgRodina Moskva
Last 1013Form pts · last 542.5Goals for · last 52.32.3Goals against · last 52.853Attack rating4755Defence rating4567Form rating3371H2H rating2955Goals model4561Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

FC Orenburg

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

23 OctAAkhmat1-0W
19 OctARodina Moskva2-2D
15 OctARubin4-1W
10 OctHDinamo Makhachkala4-0W
3 OctHTekstilshchik3-2W
3 OctALokomotiv0-2L
17 SepHFC Krasnodar0-0D
12 SepADynamo0-1L
6 SepHAkron2-2D
2 SepHRubin1-1D

Rodina Moskva

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:22 · per match 1.3 for, 2.2 against

24 OctAFakel1-0W
19 OctHFC Orenburg2-2D
15 OctHSpartak Moscow2-4L
11 OctACSKA Moscow0-3L
4 OctADynamo2-3L
27 SepAFK Partizan3-2W
16 SepHRubin1-1D
11 SepAKrylia Sovetov1-2L
6 SepADinamo Makhachkala0-2L
2 SepASpartak Moscow1-3L

Head to head

1FC Orenburg wins
1draws
0Rodina Moskva wins

2 meetings · goals 6:3 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for FC Orenburg

19 Oct 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueRodina Moskva2-2FC Orenburg
18 Aug 2026CupCupRodina Moskva1-4FC Orenburg

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.87X25%3.73224%3.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Oct 00:0026 Oct 15:001 1.87X 3.732 3.92
11.89 → 1.87 -1.1%X3.66 → 3.73 +1.9%24.22 → 3.92 -7.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.742.163.8%
Marathonbet1.722.135.1%
Pinnacle1.702.155.3%
Best of all books1.742.163.8%
Average1.722.154.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.622.197.4%
Marathonbet1.622.168.0%
Best of all books1.622.197.4%
Average1.622.177.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Orenburg 45%Draw 45%Rodina Moskva 10%

The statistical model rates FC Orenburg at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rodina Moskva at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 3.73 | 3.92, which imply roughly 53.5% for a FC Orenburg win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, FC Orenburg averaged 2.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; Rodina Moskva averaged 2.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : FC Orenburg or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.873.743.94

Double chance

1XX212
1.271.941.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.17

1st half

1X2
2.412.304.37

2nd half

1X2
2.182.683.92

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7815.036.0
HT X4.905.708.90
HT 225.015.16.55

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6314.32.48

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–11.6
1.51.214.13
2.51.722.15
3.52.731.42
4.54.961.14
5.510.31.01
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.0110.3
11.0210.1
1.251.105.53
1.751.253.62
21.343.11
2.251.512.50
2.751.901.91
32.171.66
3.252.451.52
3.753.181.30
44.161.19
4.254.461.15
4.756.011.08
58.381.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.901.39
-12.571.51
-0.752.121.72
-0.51.881.97
-0.251.622.25
01.402.92
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.261.07
-2.255.941.09
-25.591.11
-1.754.001.21
-1.53.261.31
+0.251.303.31
+0.51.263.87
+0.751.144.74
+11.067.23
+1.251.047.55
+1.51.038.07

Next Cup matches

27 OctFakel – Akhmat
27 OctFC Krasnodar – Dynamo
28 OctFC Rostov – Akron
28 OctSpartak Moscow – Rubin
29 OctKrylia Sovetov – Dinamo Makhachkala
29 OctCSKA Moscow – Lokomotiv

All Cup fixtures and the table

Latest Cup results

15 OctRodina Moskva 2-4 Spartak Moscow
15 OctRubin 1-4 FC Orenburg
14 OctCSKA Moscow 4-0 FC Rostov
14 OctNizhny Novgorod 4-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
14 OctChertanovo Moscow 2-1 Tekstilshchik
14 OctDinamo Makhachkala 1-2 Zenit