Fakel vs 
Akhmat• Cup, Russia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:28 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.27 | 3.27 | 2.35 | 3.7% |
| Pinnacle | 3.14 | 3.26 | 2.42 | 3.8% |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 3.24 | 2.33 | 4.6% |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.20 | 2.34 | 7.9% |
| SBO | 2.61 | 2.95 | 2.23 | 17.1% |
| Best of all books | 3.27 | 3.27 | 2.42 | 2.5% |
| Average | 3.04 | 3.18 | 2.33 | 7.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 15:21 UTC
Fakel
3W 2D 5L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against
| 24 Oct | H | Rodina Moskva | 0-1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Krylia Sovetov | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | FC Krasnodar | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Lokomotiv | 0-5 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | FC Vitebsk | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Spartak Moscow | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Baltika | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | FC Rostov | 1-3 | L |
| 1 Sep | H | FC Krasnodar | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Zenit | 0-1 | L |
Akhmat
2W 3D 5L · goals 14:18 · per match 1.4 for, 1.8 against
| 23 Oct | H | FC Orenburg | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Zenit | 2-3 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Dynamo | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Baltika | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Sep | A | Akron | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Dinamo Makhachkala | 3-2 | W |
| 7 Sep | A | Rubin | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Sep | A | Dynamo | 0-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Krylia Sovetov | 3-3 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | FC Rostov | 4-1 | W |
Head to head
8 meetings · goals 10:8 · last 8: 3W 3D 2L for Fakel
| 18 Aug 2026Cup | Cup | Akhmat2-1Fakel |
| 10 Aug 2026Premier League | Premier League | Fakel0-0Akhmat |
| 5 Apr 2025Premier League | Premier League | Fakel0-0Akhmat |
| 18 Oct 2024Premier League | Premier League | Akhmat2-3Fakel |
| 25 May 2024Premier League | Premier League | Fakel Voronezh2-0Akhmat Grozny |
| 4 Nov 2023Premier League | Premier League | Akhmat Grozny1-2Fakel Voronezh |
| 16 Apr 2023Premier League | Premier League | Fakel Voronezh1-1Akhmat Grozny |
| 24 Jul 2022Premier League | Premier League | Akhmat Grozny2-1Fakel Voronezh |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 1.75 | 3.7% |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 1.77 | 4.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 1.73 | 5.0% |
| SBO | 2.00 | 1.76 | 6.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 1.77 | 3.0% |
| Average | 2.09 | 1.75 | 4.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 1.91 | 7.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 1.89 | 8.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.81 | 1.91 | 7.6% |
| Average | 1.81 | 1.90 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Fakel at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Akhmat at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.04 | 3.18 | 2.33, which imply roughly 32.9% for a Fakel win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Fakel averaged 1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Akhmat averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Fakel or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.04 | 3.18 | 2.33 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | 1.35 | 1.32 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.05 | 1.73 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.81 | 1.90 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.71 | 2.05 | 2.98 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 2.38 | 2.62 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 5.09 | 14.7 | 30.0 |
| HT X | 6.79 | 4.64 | 5.43 |
| HT 2 | 36.6 | 14.4 | 3.69 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 8.30 | 1.89 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 8.38 |
| 1.5 | 1.34 | 3.13 |
| 2.5 | 2.09 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 3.66 | 1.26 |
| 4.5 | 7.45 | 1.04 |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.04 | 7.65 |
| 1 | 1.06 | 6.98 |
| 1.25 | 1.19 | 4.09 |
| 1.75 | 1.42 | 2.77 |
| 2 | 1.56 | 2.39 |
| 2.25 | 1.82 | 1.98 |
| 2.75 | 2.43 | 1.57 |
| 3 | 2.94 | 1.38 |
| 3.25 | 3.34 | 1.30 |
| 3.75 | 4.65 | 1.15 |
| 4 | 6.62 | 1.07 |
| 4.25 | 7.02 | 1.05 |
| 4.75 | 8.18 | 1.03 |
| 5 | 11.6 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 3.11 | 1.39 |
| -0.25 | 2.68 | 1.46 |
| 0 | 2.26 | 1.67 |
| +0.25 | 1.82 | 2.00 |
| +0.5 | 1.61 | 2.41 |
| +0.75 | 1.44 | 2.76 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7.24 | 1.05 |
| -1.25 | 6.69 | 1.07 |
| -1 | 6.21 | 1.09 |
| -0.75 | 3.97 | 1.23 |
| +1 | 1.26 | 3.74 |
| +1.25 | 1.20 | 4.24 |
| +1.5 | 1.15 | 4.61 |
| +1.75 | 1.08 | 6.00 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 9.75 |
| +2.25 | 1.01 | 10.3 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.07 | 5.88 |
| 7.5 | 1.19 | 3.88 |
| 8.5 | 1.38 | 2.70 |
| 9.5 | 1.67 | 2.04 |
| 10.5 | 2.09 | 1.65 |
| 11.5 | 2.68 | 1.40 |
| 12.5 | 3.60 | 1.21 |
| 13.5 | 5.03 | 1.11 |
| 14.5 | 7.00 | 1.04 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.75 | 1.39 | 2.59 |
| 9.25 | 1.54 | 2.22 |
| 9.75 | 1.73 | 1.94 |
| 10.25 | 1.97 | 1.73 |
| 10.75 | 2.22 | 1.55 |
| 11.25 | 2.58 | 1.40 |
| 11.75 | 2.96 | 1.31 |
| 12.25 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
Next Cup matches
| 27 Oct | FC Krasnodar – Dynamo |
| 28 Oct | FC Orenburg – Rodina Moskva |
| 28 Oct | FC Rostov – Akron |
| 28 Oct | Spartak Moscow – Rubin |
| 29 Oct | Krylia Sovetov – Dinamo Makhachkala |
| 29 Oct | CSKA Moscow – Lokomotiv |