Rodina Moskva vs Spartak Moscow• Cup, Russia

2.3:2.317:4515/10 · Arena Khimki, Khimki3.0:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.311XBX4.81PIN21.491XBMargin at best3.8%Books4Markets57Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L54.4

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	6.31	4.80	1.49	3.8%
Marathonbet	6.25	4.75	1.48	4.6%
Pinnacle	5.85	4.81	1.46	6.4%
Dafabet	5.60	4.40	1.44	10.0%
Best of all books	6.31	4.81	1.49	3.8%
Average	6.00	4.69	1.47	6.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rodina MoskvaSpartak Moscow

Last 104Form pts · last 5102.3Goals for · last 53.02.3Goals against · last 51.344Attack rating5636Defence rating6433Form rating670H2H rating10071Goals model2940Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 18:50 UTC

Rodina Moskva

1W 1D 8L · goals 10:26 · per match 1.0 for, 2.6 against

11 Oct	A	CSKA Moscow	0-3	L
4 Oct	A	Dynamo	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	FK Partizan	3-2	W
16 Sep	H	Rubin	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Krylia Sovetov	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Dinamo Makhachkala	0-2	L
2 Sep	A	Spartak Moscow	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Baltika	0-3	L
23 Aug	A	Dynamo	1-3	L
18 Aug	H	FC Orenburg	1-4	L

Spartak Moscow

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

10 Oct	A	Krylia Sovetov	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Fakel	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	FC Rostov	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Dynamo	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	Rodina Moskva	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	FC Orenburg	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Zenit	2-0	W
19 Aug	A	Rubin	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Baltika	2-1	W
9 Aug	H	FC Krasnodar	1-2	L

Head to head

0Rodina Moskva wins

0draws

3Spartak Moscow wins

3 meetings · goals 2:11 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Rodina Moskva

2 Sep 2026Cup	Cup	Spartak Moscow3-1Rodina Moskva
25 Jul 2026Premier League	Premier League	Spartak Moscow3-0Rodina Moskva
16 Sep 2020Cup	Cup	Rodina Moskva1-5Spartak Moscow

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%6.00X20%4.69264%1.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17.50 → 6.00 -20.0%X5.06 → 4.69 -7.3%21.40 → 1.47 +5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.48	2.59	6.2%
1xBet	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Best of all books	1.48	2.59	6.2%
Average	1.46	2.53	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.61	2.20	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.17	8.2%
Best of all books	1.61	2.20	7.6%
Average	1.61	2.19	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rodina Moskva 10%Draw 45%Spartak Moscow 45%

The statistical model rates Rodina Moskva at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Spartak Moscow at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.00 | 4.69 | 1.47, which imply roughly 21.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Rodina Moskva averaged 2.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; Spartak Moscow averaged 3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Spartak Moscow and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
6.00	4.69	1.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.70	1.13	1.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
5.68	2.61	1.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.10	19.8	1.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.12	5.08
2.5	1.46	2.53
3.5	2.24	1.66
4.5	3.62	1.24
5.5	6.15	1.06

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	14.0
1.75	1.13	4.56
2	1.16	4.15
2.25	1.32	3.01
2.75	1.57	2.29
3	1.74	2.02
3.25	2.00	1.81
3.75	2.52	1.49
4	3.02	1.34
4.25	3.29	1.27
4.75	4.29	1.15
5	5.60	1.08
5.25	5.85	1.07
6	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.72	1.45
+0.75	2.37	1.54
+1	2.08	1.70
+1.25	1.83	1.98
+1.5	1.67	2.24
+1.75	1.49	2.53

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1	12.0	1.01
-0.75	8.10	1.02
-0.25	4.56	1.13
0	4.50	1.14
+0.25	3.27	1.29
+2	1.33	3.14
+2.25	1.27	3.46
+2.5	1.23	3.58
+2.75	1.14	4.44
+3	1.07	5.95
+3.25	1.06	6.25
+3.5	1.05	6.55
+4	1.05	13.5
+4.5	1.04	14.5