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Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg• Bundesliga, Austria

#42.2:1.416:0008/11 · Merkur-Arena, Graz2.8:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.05BTNX4.09PIN22.14DAFMargin at best4.0%Books10Markets73Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.014.092.124.8%
Dafabet3.004.002.145.1%
1xBet2.963.922.106.9%
Betano3.053.852.077.1%
Betfair2.904.002.107.1%
Marathonbet2.953.922.087.5%
BetVictor2.904.002.058.3%
William Hill2.883.752.109.0%
Bet3652.903.802.059.6%
SBO2.703.542.0913.1%
Best of all books3.054.092.144.0%
Average2.923.892.097.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sturm GrazRed Bull Salzburg
Last 10#4Table position#21.73Points per game2.458Form pts · last 5132.2Goals for · last 52.81.4Goals against · last 50.444Attack rating5622Defence rating7838Form rating6250H2H rating5039Goals model6140Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:03 UTC

Sturm Graz

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

1 NovAWolfsberger AC1-1D
29 OctAAustria Lustenau2-3L
25 OctHRied2-2D
22 OctHMarseille1-0W
18 OctHGrazer AK6-1W
15 OctABournemouth0-3L
10 OctAAustria Vienna2-0W
2 OctHFloridsdorfer AC3-1W
20 SepARed Bull Salzburg0-3L
16 SepHRennes0-0D

Red Bull Salzburg

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:12 · per match 2.1 for, 1.2 against

1 NovHAustria Lustenau5-1W
28 OctASchwarz-Weiß Bregenz3-2W
25 OctALask Linz3-1W
22 OctACelje2-2D
18 OctHSCR Altach3-0W
15 OctHAC Milan0-4L
10 OctAGrazer AK0-0D
2 OctHFC BW Linz1-2L
20 SepHSturm Graz3-0W
17 SepALevski Sofia1-0W

Head to head

16Sturm Graz wins
18draws
32Red Bull Salzburg wins

66 meetings · goals 78:118 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Sturm Graz

20 Sep 2026BundesligaBundesligaRed Bull Salzburg3-0Sturm Graz
3 May 2026BundesligaBundesligaRed Bull Salzburg1-1Sturm Graz
20 Mar 2026BundesligaBundesligaSturm Graz1-1Red Bull Salzburg
9 Nov 2025BundesligaBundesligaSturm Graz1-1Red Bull Salzburg
20 Sep 2025BundesligaBundesligaRed Bull Salzburg0-2Sturm Graz
9 May 2025BundesligaBundesligaSturm Graz4-2Red Bull Salzburg
13 Apr 2025BundesligaBundesligaRed Bull Salzburg1-2Sturm Graz
2 Mar 2025BundesligaBundesligaRed Bull Salzburg3-1Sturm Graz
6 Oct 2024BundesligaBundesligaSturm Graz5-0Red Bull Salzburg
28 Apr 2024BundesligaBundesligaRed Bull Salzburg2-2Sturm Graz

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, Sturm Graz sit 4th with 19 points from 11 games, while Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd with 27 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rapid Vienna11100133:9+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg1183029:6+2327
3Lask Linz1171326:13+1322
4Sturm Graz1154219:13+619
5TSV Hartberg1152420:19+117
6Ried1144319:18+116
7WSG Wattens1133514:17-312
8SCR Altach1131711:17-610
9Grazer AK112458:27-1910
10Austria Lustenau1122713:29-168
11Austria Vienna1121810:22-127
12Wolfsberger AC111378:20-126

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.93X24%3.89244%2.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.383.025.6%
Bet3651.363.105.8%
Betano1.392.876.8%
BetVictor1.333.107.4%
1xBet1.332.8310.5%
Marathonbet1.332.8310.5%
Best of all books1.393.104.2%
Average1.352.967.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.363.006.9%
William Hill1.362.908.0%
1xBet1.342.998.1%
Betano1.352.928.3%
Marathonbet1.342.938.8%
BetVictor1.303.138.9%
Best of all books1.363.135.5%
Average1.342.988.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sturm Graz 10%Draw 45%Red Bull Salzburg 45%

The statistical model rates Sturm Graz at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Red Bull Salzburg at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.93 | 3.89 | 2.09, which imply roughly 25.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: Sturm Graz are 4th (19 pts, 19-13 goals), Red Bull Salzburg 2nd (27 pts, 29-6).

Over their last five matches, Sturm Graz averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Red Bull Salzburg averaged 2.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Red Bull Salzburg.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.933.892.09

Double chance

1XX212
1.701.371.22

Draw no bet

12
2.231.60

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.342.98

1st half

1X2
3.232.542.51

2nd half

1X2
3.062.882.33

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.6513.319.2
HT X7.747.205.84
HT 223.413.13.20

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.0325.01.73

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0123.0
1.51.096.35
2.51.352.96
3.51.911.84
4.53.051.34
5.55.271.13
6.59.931.05
7.517.71.01
8.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0215.5
1.751.085.50
21.105.10
2.251.233.51
2.751.412.58
31.532.35
3.251.702.06
3.752.111.65
42.461.49
4.252.681.38
4.753.431.23
54.401.14
5.254.701.12
68.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.252.551.46
02.271.60
+0.251.931.83
+0.51.732.08
+0.751.542.33
+11.382.82
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.751.02
-1.756.551.05
-1.55.351.12
-1.254.991.13
-14.551.15
-0.753.421.27
-0.52.911.40
+1.251.313.18
+1.51.253.43
+1.751.174.23
+21.095.78
+2.251.116.60
+2.51.076.30
+31.0612.0
+3.51.0312.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.045.59
6.51.124.12
7.51.273.22
8.51.502.38
9.51.861.86
10.52.371.51
11.53.081.29
12.53.721.15
13.54.801.08
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.42
71.143.87
81.322.83
91.622.10
102.081.63
112.721.34
123.521.17
134.621.09

Next Bundesliga matches

6 NovRapid Vienna – Wolfsberger AC
7 NovAustria Lustenau – Grazer AK
7 NovRied – Lask Linz
8 NovTSV Hartberg – SCR Altach
8 NovWSG Wattens – Austria Vienna

All Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest Bundesliga results

1 NovAustria Vienna 0-2 Rapid Vienna
1 NovWolfsberger AC 1-1 Sturm Graz
1 NovRed Bull Salzburg 5-1 Austria Lustenau
31 OctLask Linz 2-1 WSG Wattens
31 OctSCR Altach 1-1 Ried
30 OctGrazer AK 0-4 TSV Hartberg