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Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz• Bundesliga, Austria

#120.2:2.61-1FT01/11 · Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsburg2.4:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.09PINX4.31PIN21.65PINMargin at best3.5%Books10Markets81Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle5.094.311.653.5%
Dafabet4.804.301.645.1%
BetVictor4.804.201.626.4%
Betano4.554.151.656.7%
1xBet4.504.151.656.9%
Bet3654.754.101.627.2%
Betfair4.604.201.627.3%
Marathonbet4.554.151.637.4%
William Hill4.603.901.629.1%
SBO4.483.921.6010.3%
Best of all books5.094.311.653.5%
Average4.674.141.636.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
Last 10#12Table position#40.55Points per game1.731Form pts · last 550.2Goals for · last 52.42.6Goals against · last 51.48Attack rating9235Defence rating650Form rating10075H2H rating2532Goals model6843Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:10 UTC

Wolfsberger AC

1W 2D 7L · goals 7:21 · per match 0.7 for, 2.1 against

1 NovHSturm Graz1-1D
27 OctAWSPG Wels0-1L
24 OctATSV Hartberg0-1L
18 OctHWSG Wattens0-2L
11 OctASCR Altach0-3L
2 OctHVoitsberg2-1W
20 SepARied1-4L
12 SepHRapid Vienna0-3L
6 SepAParndorf2-2D
1 SepHLask Linz1-3L

Sturm Graz

4W 2D 4L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

5 NovHCelje2-3L
1 NovAWolfsberger AC1-1D
29 OctAAustria Lustenau2-3L
25 OctHRied2-2D
22 OctHMarseille1-0W
18 OctHGrazer AK6-1W
15 OctABournemouth0-3L
10 OctAAustria Vienna2-0W
2 OctHFloridsdorfer AC3-1W
20 SepARed Bull Salzburg0-3L

Head to head

21Wolfsberger AC wins
8draws
21Sturm Graz wins

50 meetings · goals 65:73 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Wolfsberger AC

1 Mar 2026BundesligaBundesligaWolfsberger AC2-2Sturm Graz
26 Oct 2025BundesligaBundesligaSturm Graz1-3Wolfsberger AC
24 May 2025BundesligaBundesligaSturm Graz1-1Wolfsberger AC
30 Mar 2025BundesligaBundesligaWolfsberger AC1-1Sturm Graz
15 Feb 2025BundesligaBundesligaWolfsberger AC3-0Sturm Graz
22 Sep 2024BundesligaBundesligaSturm Graz0-3Wolfsberger AC
3 Mar 2024BundesligaBundesligaSturm Graz4-0Wolfsberger AC
8 Oct 2023BundesligaBundesligaWolfsberger AC1-2Sturm Graz
16 Oct 2022BundesligaBundesligaSturm Graz3-2Wolfsberger AC
23 Jul 2022BundesligaBundesligaWolfsberger AC1-1Sturm Graz

Bundesliga tableBundesligaupdated 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

In the Bundesliga table, Wolfsberger AC sit 12th with 6 points from 11 games, while Sturm Graz are 4th with 19 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Rapid Vienna11100133:9+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg1183029:6+2327
3Lask Linz1171326:13+1322
4Sturm Graz1154219:13+619
5TSV Hartberg1152420:19+117
6Ried1144319:18+116
7WSG Wattens1133514:17-312
8SCR Altach1131711:17-610
9Grazer AK112458:27-1910
10Austria Lustenau1122713:29-168
11Austria Vienna1121810:22-127
12Wolfsberger AC111378:20-126

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.75X23%4.12258%1.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 13:201 4.67X 4.142 1.63
14.24 → 4.67 +10.1%X4.13 → 4.14 +0.2%21.68 → 1.63 -3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.612.413.6%
Betano1.552.406.2%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
Betfair1.502.408.3%
BetVictor1.542.279.0%
1xBet1.482.3310.5%
Marathonbet1.482.3310.5%
Best of all books1.612.413.6%
Average1.532.367.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
1xBet1.542.328.0%
Betano1.572.258.1%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.542.288.8%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.622.324.8%
Average1.572.268.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Wolfsberger AC 10%Draw 45%Sturm Graz 45%

The statistical model rated Wolfsberger AC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sturm Graz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.75 | 4.12 | 1.62, which imply roughly 24.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Bundesliga table: Wolfsberger AC are 12th (6 pts, 8-20 goals), Sturm Graz 4th (19 pts, 19-13).

Over their last five matches, Wolfsberger AC averaged 0.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Sturm Graz averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Sturm Graz.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Wolfsberger AC

3-4-2-1

Coach: M. Schmid

Goalkeeper

  • 12L. Gliklich

Defence

  • 6R. Behounek
  • 8S. Piesinger
  • 35Matteo Kitz

Midfield

  • 31F. Wohlmuth
  • 30M. Sulzner
  • 36D. Fitz
  • 11A. Schwarz
  • 23P. Verhounig
  • 10D. Avdijaj

Attack

  • 49S. Karamoko
Substitutes (9)
  • 9G. Vrioni
  • 20T. Schriebl
  • 17Marco Schabauer
  • 32M. Pink
  • 19O. Mamageishvili
  • 1L. Gütlbauer
  • 15Cheikh Mamadou Diabaté
  • 34E. Agyemang
  • 70David Đurić

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1

Coach: F. Ingolitsch

Goalkeeper

  • 22A. Helac

Defence

  • 23A. Malic
  • 2J. Quarshie
  • 30P. Koller
  • 28J. Heil

Midfield

  • 39Luca Weinhandl
  • 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
  • 19S. Seidl
  • 43Jacob Peter Hödl
  • 78V. Matoshi

Attack

  • 26B. Beganović
Substitutes (9)
  • 17S. Włodarczyk
  • 5A. Vallci
  • 1Adam Stejskal
  • 21P. Petrović
  • 11A. Kayombo
  • 40J. Halwachs
  • 14O. Diakité
  • 27L. Balbo
  • 25M. Grgic

Match Statistics

Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
1.1Expected Goals1.76
166Passes accurate384
9Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox7
3Blocked Shots3
11Free Kicks14
4Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
4Shots off Goal8
1Offsides1
262Total passes496
11Total Shots14
2Yellow Cards1
3Corner Kicks4
15Fouls11
0Red Cards0
35%Ball Possession65%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.674.141.63

Double chance

1XX212
2.211.181.20

Draw no bet

12
3.551.26

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.26

1st half

1X2
4.622.442.12

2nd half

1X2
4.332.781.95

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.5914.819.1
HT X10.46.764.67
HT 235.914.72.42

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5717.81.51

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.1
1.51.154.90
2.51.532.36
3.52.341.55
4.54.041.20
5.57.381.07
6.514.21.02
7.529.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.0
1.751.144.33
21.183.88
2.251.342.84
2.751.672.12
31.861.88
3.252.081.71
3.752.571.45
43.201.27
4.253.521.23
4.754.711.12
56.401.05
5.256.701.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.651.43
+0.52.261.62
+0.751.981.78
+11.742.06
+1.251.552.33
+1.51.452.63
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.371.04
-18.501.01
-0.755.671.09
-0.54.501.19
-0.254.051.21
03.581.26
+1.751.323.14
+21.204.13
+2.251.164.40
+2.51.144.79
+2.751.086.12
+31.018.70
+3.51.049.37

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.78
7.51.213.80
8.51.412.66
9.51.712.04
10.52.131.65
11.52.811.37
12.53.671.21
13.54.801.12
14.56.601.05
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.114.27
81.243.00
8.251.302.97
8.751.422.52
91.512.39
9.251.582.17
9.751.791.91
101.941.85
10.252.001.69
10.752.271.52
112.401.50
11.252.621.38
123.151.22
134.171.11
145.321.05

Next Bundesliga matches

6 NovRapid Vienna – Wolfsberger AC
7 NovAustria Lustenau – Grazer AK
7 NovRied – Lask Linz
8 NovTSV Hartberg – SCR Altach
8 NovWSG Wattens – Austria Vienna
8 NovSturm Graz – Red Bull Salzburg

All Bundesliga fixtures and the table

Latest Bundesliga results

1 NovAustria Vienna 0-2 Rapid Vienna
1 NovRed Bull Salzburg 5-1 Austria Lustenau
31 OctLask Linz 2-1 WSG Wattens
31 OctSCR Altach 1-1 Ried
30 OctGrazer AK 0-4 TSV Hartberg
25 OctLask Linz 1-3 Red Bull Salzburg