Fakel vs Rodina Moskva• Premier League, Russia

#151.0:2.412:0024/10 · Fakel Stadium, Voronezh0.8:2.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.161XBX3.441XB23.821XBMargin at best1.5%Books3Markets43Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 16:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.16	3.44	3.82	1.5%
Marathonbet	2.11	3.35	3.72	4.1%
Dafabet	2.07	3.35	3.70	5.2%
Best of all books	2.16	3.44	3.82	1.5%
Average	2.11	3.38	3.75	3.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FakelRodina Moskva

Last 10#15Table position#160.55Points per game0.559Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 50.82.4Goals against · last 52.056Attack rating4445Defence rating5567Form rating330H2H rating10050Goals model5047Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Fakel

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Krylia Sovetov	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	FC Krasnodar	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Lokomotiv	0-5	L
3 Oct	H	FC Vitebsk	1-0	W
16 Sep	A	Spartak Moscow	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Baltika	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	FC Rostov	1-3	L
1 Sep	H	FC Krasnodar	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Zenit	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	FC Orenburg	0-0	D

Rodina Moskva

1W 2D 7L · goals 12:25 · per match 1.2 for, 2.5 against

19 Oct	H	FC Orenburg	2-2	D
15 Oct	H	Spartak Moscow	2-4	L
11 Oct	A	CSKA Moscow	0-3	L
4 Oct	A	Dynamo	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	FK Partizan	3-2	W
16 Sep	H	Rubin	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Krylia Sovetov	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Dinamo Makhachkala	0-2	L
2 Sep	A	Spartak Moscow	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Baltika	0-3	L

Head to head

0Fakel wins

0draws

2Rodina Moskva wins

2 meetings · goals 1:5 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Fakel

13 Apr 2026First League	First League	Fakel1-3Rodina Moskva
15 Sep 2025First League	First League	Rodina Moskva2-0Fakel

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 21 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Fakel sit 15th with 6 points from 11 games, while Rodina Moskva are 16th with 6 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Dynamo	11	8	1	2	18:9	+9	25
2	Zenit	11	8	0	3	25:13	+12	24
3	Spartak Moscow	11	7	2	2	21:8	+13	23
4	CSKA Moscow	11	6	4	1	19:12	+7	22
5	FC Krasnodar	11	6	4	1	19:13	+6	22
6	FC Orenburg	11	2	7	2	13:12	+1	13
7	Baltika	11	3	4	4	14:12	+2	13
8	Dinamo Makhachkala	11	4	1	6	16:21	-5	13
9	FC Rostov	11	3	3	5	11:17	-6	12
10	Rubin	11	2	6	3	12:16	-4	12
11	Krylia Sovetov	11	2	6	3	15:17	-2	12
12	Lokomotiv	11	2	5	4	16:14	+2	11
13	Akhmat	11	2	5	4	15:16	-1	11
14	Akron	11	1	6	4	12:20	-8	9
15	Fakel	11	1	3	7	8:19	-11	6
16	Rodina Moskva	11	1	3	7	12:27	-15	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%2.11X29%3.38226%3.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.31	1.72	1.4%
Marathonbet	2.23	1.66	5.1%
Best of all books	2.31	1.72	1.4%
Average	2.27	1.69	3.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.93	1.80	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.78	8.0%
Best of all books	1.93	1.80	7.4%
Average	1.93	1.79	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fakel 10%Draw 45%Rodina Moskva 45%

The statistical model rates Fakel at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Rodina Moskva at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 3.38 | 3.75, which imply roughly 29.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Fakel are 15th (6 pts, 8-19 goals), Rodina Moskva 16th (6 pts, 12-27).

Over their last five matches, Fakel averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Rodina Moskva averaged 0.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Rodina Moskva.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.11	3.38	3.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.77	1.36

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.75	2.02	4.40

2nd half

1	X	2
2.44	2.36	3.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.24	15.5	41.0
HT X	4.95	4.60	7.90
HT 2	30.0	15.6	6.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	7.20	2.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	7.20
1.5	1.37	2.77
2.5	2.27	1.69
3.5	3.94	1.20
4.5	7.40	1.03

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.56
1	1.07	6.00
1.25	1.23	3.61
1.75	1.49	2.45
2	1.64	2.13
2.25	1.98	1.86
2.75	2.57	1.46
3	3.22	1.30
3.25	3.59	1.23
3.75	4.89	1.12
4	6.80	1.05
4.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.46	1.25
-1	3.06	1.32
-0.75	2.36	1.53
-0.25	1.80	2.05
0	1.53	2.66
+0.25	1.35	3.02

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2.25	7.70	1.02
-2	7.30	1.03
-1.75	4.96	1.12
-1.5	3.88	1.19
+0.75	1.17	4.48
+1	1.06	7.10
+1.25	1.05	7.48
+1.5	1.03	7.80

Next Premier League matches

23 Oct	Akhmat – FC Orenburg
24 Oct	Akron – Dynamo
24 Oct	Rubin – Krylia Sovetov
24 Oct	FC Krasnodar – Baltika

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

19 Oct	Rodina Moskva 2-2 FC Orenburg
18 Oct	Baltika 0-0 FC Rostov
18 Oct	Spartak Moscow 4-0 Rubin
18 Oct	Dynamo 3-1 CSKA Moscow
18 Oct	Zenit 3-2 Akhmat
17 Oct	Lokomotiv 3-3 FC Krasnodar