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Akhmat vs FC Orenburg• Premier League, Russia

#131.2:1.616:3023/10 · Akhmat-Arena, Grozny1.6:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.051XBX3.691XB23.901XBMargin at best1.5%Books4Markets74Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.053.693.901.5%
Marathonbet2.003.603.804.1%
Dafabet2.073.553.505.0%
Pinnacle1.983.543.795.1%
Best of all books2.073.693.901.1%
Average2.023.593.753.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AkhmatFC Orenburg
Last 10#13Table position#61.00Points per game1.184Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 51.043Attack rating5738Defence rating6245Form rating5550H2H rating5062Goals model3848Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC

Akhmat

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:18 · per match 1.6 for, 1.8 against

18 OctAZenit2-3L
14 OctHDynamo1-2L
11 OctHBaltika0-0D
17 SepAAkron0-2L
13 SepHDinamo Makhachkala3-2W
7 SepARubin1-1D
3 SepADynamo0-3L
29 AugHKrylia Sovetov3-3D
22 AugHFC Rostov4-1W
18 AugHFakel2-1W

FC Orenburg

3W 5D 2L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

19 OctARodina Moskva2-2D
15 OctARubin4-1W
10 OctHDinamo Makhachkala4-0W
3 OctHTekstilshchik3-2W
3 OctALokomotiv0-2L
17 SepHFC Krasnodar0-0D
12 SepADynamo0-1L
6 SepHAkron2-2D
2 SepHRubin1-1D
30 AugASpartak Moscow1-1D

Head to head

9Akhmat wins
4draws
7FC Orenburg wins

20 meetings · goals 31:24 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Akhmat

5 Dec 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAkhmat1-0FC Orenburg
30 Sep 2025CupCupAkhmat0-1FC Orenburg
22 Aug 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Orenburg2-2Akhmat
13 Aug 2025CupCupFC Orenburg2-1Akhmat
8 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAkhmat1-0FC Orenburg
28 Jul 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Orenburg0-0Akhmat
4 Apr 2024CupCupAkhmat0-1FC Orenburg
20 Feb 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsFC Orenburg2-1Akhmat
26 Nov 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueOrenburg1-1Akhmat Grozny
20 Aug 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAkhmat Grozny4-0Orenburg

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 21 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Akhmat sit 13th with 11 points from 11 games, while FC Orenburg are 6th with 13 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Dynamo1181218:9+925
2Zenit1180325:13+1224
3Spartak Moscow1172221:8+1323
4CSKA Moscow1164119:12+722
5FC Krasnodar1164119:13+622
6FC Orenburg1127213:12+113
7Baltika1134414:12+213
8Dinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513
9FC Rostov1133511:17-612
10Rubin1126312:16-412
11Krylia Sovetov1126315:17-212
12Lokomotiv1125416:14+211
13Akhmat1125415:16-111
14Akron1116412:20-89
15Fakel111378:19-116
16Rodina Moskva1113712:27-156

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%2.01X27%3.61226%3.77

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Oct 00:0021 Oct 03:001 2.01X 3.612 3.77
11.83 → 2.01 +9.8%X3.73 → 3.61 -3.2%24.54 → 3.77 -17.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.961.991.3%
Pinnacle1.891.944.5%
Marathonbet1.891.925.0%
Best of all books1.961.991.3%
Average1.911.953.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.712.047.5%
Marathonbet1.712.028.0%
Best of all books1.712.047.5%
Average1.712.037.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Akhmat 35%Draw 35%FC Orenburg 30%

The statistical model rates Akhmat at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and FC Orenburg at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 3.61 | 3.77, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Akhmat win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Akhmat are 13th (11 pts, 15-16 goals), FC Orenburg 6th (13 pts, 13-12).

Over their last five matches, Akhmat averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; FC Orenburg averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Akhmat or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.033.603.75

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.861.32

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.712.03

1st half

1X2
2.552.204.33

2nd half

1X2
2.302.553.84

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9815.038.0
HT X4.955.208.40
HT 227.015.16.30

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6911.82.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0110.2
1.51.263.52
2.51.911.95
3.53.091.32
4.55.811.10
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.88
11.028.30
1.251.134.76
1.751.323.13
21.412.78
2.251.672.24
2.752.091.70
32.481.50
3.252.731.38
3.753.691.21
44.951.11
4.255.301.09
510.51.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.861.43
-0.752.241.62
-0.51.991.87
-0.251.722.16
01.462.75
+0.251.323.13
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.771.01
-2.57.201.04
-2.256.871.06
-26.451.07
-1.754.511.17
-1.53.581.27
-1.253.241.34
+0.51.283.74
+0.751.144.54
+11.046.90
+1.251.037.40
+1.51.027.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.065.66
6.51.233.42
7.51.492.38
8.51.871.83
9.52.411.48
10.53.331.24
11.54.961.09
19 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.075.39
61.085.12
6.251.164.04
6.751.263.23
71.303.04
7.251.402.64
7.751.562.24
81.642.11
8.251.761.95
8.751.991.73
92.151.62
9.252.281.54
9.752.651.39
103.001.30
10.253.161.27
10.753.811.18
114.551.12
11.254.751.10
127.231.01

Next Premier League matches

24 OctAkron – Dynamo
24 OctFakel – Rodina Moskva
24 OctRubin – Krylia Sovetov
24 OctFC Krasnodar – Baltika

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

19 OctRodina Moskva 2-2 FC Orenburg
18 OctBaltika 0-0 FC Rostov
18 OctSpartak Moscow 4-0 Rubin
18 OctDynamo 3-1 CSKA Moscow
18 OctZenit 3-2 Akhmat
17 OctLokomotiv 3-3 FC Krasnodar