Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg• Premier League, Russia

#160.4:2.216:3019/10 · Arena Khimki, Khimki1.4:0.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.05PINX3.421XB22.641XBMargin3.5%Books3Markets77Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 17:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.90	3.42	2.64	1.6%
Marathonbet	2.83	3.34	2.57	4.2%
Pinnacle	3.05	3.35	2.36	5.0%
Best of all books	3.05	3.42	2.64	-0.1%
Average	2.93	3.37	2.52	3.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg

Last 10#16Table position#90.50Points per game1.204Form pts · last 5100.4Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 50.822Attack rating7827Defence rating7314Form rating8620H2H rating8045Goals model5525Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Rodina Moskva

1W 1D 8L · goals 11:26 · per match 1.1 for, 2.6 against

15 Oct	H	Spartak Moscow	2-4	L
11 Oct	A	CSKA Moscow	0-3	L
4 Oct	A	Dynamo	2-3	L
27 Sep	A	FK Partizan	3-2	W
16 Sep	H	Rubin	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Krylia Sovetov	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Dinamo Makhachkala	0-2	L
2 Sep	A	Spartak Moscow	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Baltika	0-3	L
23 Aug	A	Dynamo	1-3	L

FC Orenburg

3W 5D 2L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

15 Oct	A	Rubin	4-1	W
10 Oct	H	Dinamo Makhachkala	4-0	W
3 Oct	H	Tekstilshchik	3-2	W
3 Oct	A	Lokomotiv	0-2	L
17 Sep	H	FC Krasnodar	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Dynamo	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Akron	2-2	D
2 Sep	H	Rubin	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Spartak Moscow	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Fakel	0-0	D

Head to head

0Rodina Moskva wins

0draws

1FC Orenburg wins

1 meeting · goals 1:4 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Rodina Moskva

18 Aug 2026Cup

Cup

Rodina Moskva1-4FC Orenburg

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Premier League table, Rodina Moskva sit 16th with 5 points from 10 games, while FC Orenburg are 9th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Dynamo	10	7	1	2	15:8	+7	22
2	CSKA Moscow	10	6	4	0	18:9	+9	22
3	FC Krasnodar	11	6	4	1	19:13	+6	22
4	Zenit	10	7	0	3	22:11	+11	21
5	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	17:8	+9	20
6	Dinamo Makhachkala	11	4	1	6	16:21	-5	13
7	Baltika	10	3	3	4	14:12	+2	12
8	Rubin	10	2	6	2	12:12	0	12
9	FC Orenburg	10	2	6	2	11:10	+1	12
10	Krylia Sovetov	11	2	6	3	15:17	-2	12
11	Akhmat	10	2	5	3	13:13	0	11
12	Lokomotiv	11	2	5	4	16:14	+2	11
13	FC Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11
14	Akron	11	1	6	4	12:20	-8	9
15	Fakel	11	1	3	7	8:19	-11	6
16	Rodina Moskva	10	1	2	7	10:25	-15	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.93X29%3.37238%2.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.71 → 2.93 +8.1%X3.34 → 3.37 +0.9%22.72 → 2.52 -7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.09	1.86	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.98	4.6%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.80	5.1%
Best of all books	2.09	1.98	-1.6%
Average	1.99	1.88	3.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.76	1.97	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.95	8.1%
Best of all books	1.76	1.97	7.6%
Average	1.76	1.96	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rodina Moskva 10%Draw 45%FC Orenburg 45%

The statistical model rates Rodina Moskva at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Orenburg at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.93 | 3.37 | 2.52, which imply roughly 29.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Rodina Moskva are 16th (5 pts, 10-25 goals), FC Orenburg 9th (12 pts, 11-10).

Over their last five matches, Rodina Moskva averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; FC Orenburg averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FC Orenburg.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.93	3.37	2.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.47	1.36

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.96

1st half

1	X	2
3.52	2.13	3.11

2nd half

1	X	2
3.12	2.43	2.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.55	14.5	30.0
HT X	6.40	4.80	5.90
HT 2	32.0	14.5	4.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.15	8.00	2.02

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.00
1.5	1.29	3.28
2.5	1.99	1.88
3.5	3.27	1.29
4.5	6.13	1.08
5.5	8.60	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.41
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.17	4.17
1.75	1.38	2.78
2	1.48	2.56
2.25	1.74	2.12
2.75	2.25	1.67
3	2.65	1.45
3.25	3.04	1.32
3.75	4.14	1.17
4	5.60	1.08
4.25	5.90	1.07
5	11.5	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.02	1.39
-0.25	2.46	1.57
0	2.09	1.80
+0.25	1.72	2.09
+0.5	1.61	2.35
+0.75	1.38	2.90

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	11.5	1.01
-1.75	7.17	1.04
-1.5	5.50	1.10
-1.25	5.12	1.13
-1	4.70	1.15
-0.75	3.46	1.28
+1	1.21	4.02
+1.25	1.17	4.48
+1.5	1.12	4.85
+1.75	1.06	6.24
+2.25	1.01	8.60
+2.5	1.01	11.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	8.40
6.5	1.08	5.32
7.5	1.23	3.40
8.5	1.47	2.45
9.5	1.83	1.90
10.5	2.30	1.54
11.5	3.08	1.28
12.5	4.38	1.14
13.5	6.48	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.08	5.11
7	1.10	4.86
7.25	1.17	3.94
7.75	1.26	3.20
8	1.30	3.02
8.25	1.39	2.65
8.75	1.55	2.27
9	1.62	2.18
9.25	1.73	1.99
9.75	1.94	1.77
10	2.07	1.69
10.25	2.20	1.59
10.75	2.52	1.44
11	2.81	1.35
11.25	2.96	1.31
11.75	3.50	1.22
12	4.08	1.15
12.25	4.26	1.14
12.75	5.20	1.08
13	6.38	1.03
13.25	6.59	1.03