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Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar• Premier League, Russia

#121.6:0.83-3FTToday · RZD Arena, Moscow1.2:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.611XBX3.591XB22.171XBMargin at best1.6%Books3Markets77Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 14:05 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.613.592.171.6%
Pinnacle3.573.412.173.4%
Marathonbet3.523.502.124.2%
Best of all books3.613.592.171.6%
Average3.573.502.153.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LokomotivFC Krasnodar
Last 10#12Table position#31.00Points per game2.008Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.257Attack rating4360Defence rating4054Form rating4650H2H rating5025Goals model7548Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Lokomotiv

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

13 OctHAkron1-1D
10 OctAFakel5-0W
3 OctHFC Orenburg2-0W
26 SepHArsenal Tula0-2L
16 SepHKrylia Sovetov1-1D
12 SepAZenit1-2L
6 SepABaltika1-0W
1 SepAAkron0-0D
29 AugHDynamo0-1L
22 AugACSKA Moscow2-3L

FC Krasnodar

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

13 OctHFakel0-2L
10 OctHZenit2-3L
3 OctAFC Rostov3-0W
17 SepAFC Orenburg0-0D
13 SepHAkron1-1D
5 SepAKrylia Sovetov2-2D
1 SepAFakel1-1D
29 AugHFC Rostov1-0W
23 AugADinamo Makhachkala1-0W
19 AugADynamo1-0W

Head to head

7Lokomotiv wins
7draws
8FC Krasnodar wins

22 meetings · goals 22:31 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Lokomotiv

23 Nov 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLokomotiv1-1FC Krasnodar
26 Jul 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Krasnodar1-2Lokomotiv
8 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Krasnodar0-0Lokomotiv
1 Sep 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLokomotiv0-3FC Krasnodar
31 Mar 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLokomotiv Moscow1-1Krasnodar
19 Aug 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKrasnodar1-1Lokomotiv Moscow
18 Mar 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLokomotiv Moscow3-2Krasnodar
23 Nov 2022CupCupKrasnodar1-0Lokomotiv Moscow
14 Sep 2022CupCupLokomotiv Moscow2-2Krasnodar
6 Aug 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueKrasnodar3-0Lokomotiv Moscow

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Premier League table, Lokomotiv sit 12th with 11 points from 11 games, while FC Krasnodar are 3rd with 22 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Dynamo1071215:8+722
2CSKA Moscow1064018:9+922
3FC Krasnodar1164119:13+622
4Zenit1070322:11+1121
5Spartak Moscow1062217:8+920
6Dinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513
7Baltika1033414:12+212
8Rubin1026212:12012
9FC Orenburg1026211:10+112
10Krylia Sovetov1126315:17-212
11Akhmat1025313:13011
12Lokomotiv1125416:14+211
13FC Rostov1032511:17-611
14Akron1116412:20-89
15Fakel111378:19-116
16Rodina Moskva1012710:25-155

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.57X28%3.50245%2.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 15:101 3.55X 3.512 2.13
13.79 → 3.55 -6.3%X3.67 → 3.51 -4.4%22.04 → 2.13 +4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.922.031.3%
Pinnacle1.901.992.9%
Marathonbet1.851.965.1%
Best of all books1.922.031.3%
Average1.891.993.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.662.127.4%
Marathonbet1.662.098.1%
Best of all books1.662.127.4%
Average1.662.107.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lokomotiv 10%Draw 45%FC Krasnodar 45%

The statistical model rated Lokomotiv at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Krasnodar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.57 | 3.50 | 2.15, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Lokomotiv are 12th (11 pts, 16-14 goals), FC Krasnodar 3rd (22 pts, 19-13).

Over their last five matches, Lokomotiv averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; FC Krasnodar averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FC Krasnodar and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Lokomotiv

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Galaktionov

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Mitryushkin

Defence

  • 45A. Siljanov
  • 5G. Nyamsi
  • 23C. Montes
  • 24M. Nenakhov

Midfield

  • 18N. Titkov
  • 6S. Babkin
  • 7Z. Bakaev
  • 9S. Pinyaev
  • 77A. Mostovoy

Attack

  • 27N. Komlichenko
Substitutes (12)
  • 19A. Rudenko
  • 88M. Shchetinin
  • 11V. Rakov
  • 14G. Dzhikiya
  • 75I. Eremeev
  • 47D. Godyaev
  • 8A. Kovalenko
  • 22I. Lantratov
  • 3Lucas Fasson
  • 85E. Morozov
  • 99R. Myalkovskiy
  • 59E. Pogostnov

FC Krasnodar

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Musaev

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Agkatsev

Defence

  • 2M. Rodríguez
  • 40I. Vakhania
  • 5Jubal
  • 15L. Olaza

Midfield

  • 6Kevin Pina
  • 53A. Chernikov
  • 18Christian
  • 47D. Utkin
  • 11Batxi

Attack

  • 9J. Córdoba
Substitutes (7)
  • 98S. Petrov
  • 17V. Paltsev
  • 21M. Ozdoev
  • 16A. Koryakin
  • 27E. Burkin
  • 23J. Boselli
  • 10D. Vorobjev

Match Statistics

LokomotivFC Krasnodar
2.1Expected Goals1.36
194Passes accurate341
8Shots insidebox12
4Shots outsidebox6
1Blocked Shots4
8Free Kicks19
7Shots on Goal9
7Goalkeeper Saves4
4Shots off Goal5
279Total passes421
12Total Shots18
3Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks4
19Fouls8
0Red Cards0
39%Ball Possession61%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.573.502.15

Double chance

1XX212
1.771.341.34

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.11

1st half

1X2
4.092.182.72

2nd half

1X2
3.602.552.40

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.8015.028.0
HT X7.805.005.10
HT 238.015.03.20

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3412.01.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0111.8
1.51.243.74
2.51.891.99
3.53.011.35
4.55.731.10
5.512.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.90
1.251.125.01
1.751.293.27
21.392.88
2.251.652.30
2.752.051.74
32.431.53
3.252.661.40
3.753.591.21
44.851.12
4.255.251.09
4.758.281.04
510.01.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.253.041.40
02.571.55
+0.251.991.81
+0.51.752.16
+0.751.542.42
+11.343.10
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.601.04
-1.257.221.06
-16.651.07
-0.754.411.19
-0.53.531.32
+1.251.273.48
+1.51.213.72
+1.751.124.84
+21.037.20
+2.251.037.68
+2.51.028.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.046.78
6.51.164.09
7.51.372.77
8.51.682.08
9.52.121.65
10.52.821.34
11.53.981.17
12.55.901.06
13.58.551.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.036.66
61.036.36
6.251.104.86
6.751.183.82
71.203.60
7.251.293.05
7.751.432.55
81.482.46
8.251.602.18
8.751.801.91
91.901.86
9.252.031.70
9.752.321.52
102.491.47
10.252.701.38
10.753.191.26
113.701.19
11.253.881.17
11.754.721.10
125.771.05
12.255.991.05