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CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva• Premier League, Russia

#42.2:1.43-0FT11/10 · VEB Arena, Moscow0.6:2.2#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.441XBX5.51PIN27.481XBMargin at best1.0%Books5Markets90Rating78 · 22Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 05:43 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.445.277.481.8%
Pinnacle1.395.517.223.9%
Marathonbet1.415.157.304.0%
Dafabet1.405.207.004.9%
SBO1.364.436.2812.0%
Best of all books1.445.517.481.0%
Average1.405.117.065.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
Last 10#4Table position#162.00Points per game0.5512Form pts · last 542.2Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 52.279Attack rating2161Defence rating3992Form rating8100H2H rating081Goals model1978Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

CSKA Moscow

6W 2D 2L · goals 22:13 · per match 2.2 for, 1.3 against

14 OctHFC Rostov4-0W
11 OctHRodina Moskva3-0W
4 OctHArsenal Tula3-1W
27 SepHNizhny Novgorod1-3L
17 SepADinamo Makhachkala3-1W
12 SepHRubin1-1D
5 SepAZenit2-1W
1 SepAFC Rostov0-2L
28 AugAAkron2-2D
22 AugHLokomotiv3-2W

Rodina Moskva

1W 1D 8L · goals 11:26 · per match 1.1 for, 2.6 against

15 OctHSpartak Moscow2-4L
11 OctACSKA Moscow0-3L
4 OctADynamo2-3L
27 SepAFK Partizan3-2W
16 SepHRubin1-1D
11 SepAKrylia Sovetov1-2L
6 SepADinamo Makhachkala0-2L
2 SepASpartak Moscow1-3L
30 AugHBaltika0-3L
23 AugADynamo1-3L

Head to head

1CSKA Moscow wins
0draws
0Rodina Moskva wins

1 meeting · goals 4:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for CSKA Moscow

16 Feb 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsCSKA Moscow4-0Rodina Moskva

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 20 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Premier League table, CSKA Moscow sit 4th with 22 points from 11 games, while Rodina Moskva are 16th with 6 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Dynamo1181218:9+925
2Zenit1180325:13+1224
3Spartak Moscow1172221:8+1323
4CSKA Moscow1164119:12+722
5FC Krasnodar1164119:13+622
6FC Orenburg1127213:12+113
7Baltika1134414:12+213
8Dinamo Makhachkala1141616:21-513
9FC Rostov1133511:17-612
10Rubin1126312:16-412
11Krylia Sovetov1126315:17-212
12Lokomotiv1125416:14+211
13Akhmat1125415:16-111
14Akron1116412:20-89
15Fakel111378:19-116
16Rodina Moskva1113712:27-156

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.40X19%5.10214%7.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 06:101 1.40X 5.112 7.06
11.40 → 1.40 0.0%X4.97 → 5.11 +2.8%26.79 → 7.06 +4.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.532.584.1%
1xBet1.482.419.1%
Marathonbet1.482.419.1%
Best of all books1.532.584.1%
Average1.502.477.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.712.047.5%
Marathonbet1.712.028.0%
Best of all books1.712.047.5%
Average1.712.037.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CSKA Moscow 50%Draw 50%Rodina Moskva 0%

The statistical model rated CSKA Moscow at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Rodina Moskva at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 5.10 | 7.03, which imply roughly 71.4% for a CSKA Moscow win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: CSKA Moscow are 4th (22 pts, 19-12 goals), Rodina Moskva 16th (6 pts, 12-27).

Over their last five matches, CSKA Moscow averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Rodina Moskva averaged 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : CSKA Moscow.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

CSKA Moscow

4-1-4-1

Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov

Goalkeeper

  • 49V. Torop

Defence

  • 23Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
  • 4João Victor
  • 90M. Lukin
  • 3D. Krugovoy

Midfield

  • 31M. Kislyak
  • 21M. Azzi
  • 10I. Oblyakov
  • 7Matheus Alves
  • 19I. Oleynikov

Attack

  • 32L. Gondou
Substitutes (12)
  • 99Nikolay Barovskiy
  • 39M. Borisko
  • 79M. Zea
  • 61P. Filyushin
  • 62I. Firov
  • 17K. Glebov
  • 37Henrique
  • 18D. Kozlov
  • 11T. Musaev
  • 20Matija Popovic
  • 84A. Vakulich
  • 97Maksim Voronov

Rodina Moskva

3-4-3

Coach: Jonatan Alba

Goalkeeper

  • 13S. Volkov

Defence

  • 26A. Meshchaninov
  • 6R. Fishchenko
  • 75M. Nadé

Midfield

  • 2Igor Silva
  • 99I. Timoshenko
  • 20D. Machado
  • 9A. Maksimenko

Attack

  • 11B. Mansilla
  • 17S. Bakaev
  • 10Y. Reyna
Substitutes (12)
  • 1S. Aydarov
  • 23K. Ushatov
  • 80S. Bessmertny
  • 95K. Cissoko
  • 3L. Goglichidze
  • 55M. Križan
  • 38L. Musaev
  • 7G. Onugkha
  • 50Rodrigo Becão
  • 88A. Sokol
  • 19D. Tananeev
  • 18M. Abdusalamov

Match Statistics

CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
507Passes accurate283
18Shots insidebox7
10Shots outsidebox4
3Blocked Shots1
10Free Kicks11
11Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves8
14Shots off Goal7
4Offsides1
588Total passes364
28Total Shots11
1Yellow Cards2
7Corner Kicks4
11Fouls10
0Red Cards0
61%Ball Possession39%
2.26Expected Goals0.93

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.405.117.06

Double chance

1XX212
1.092.941.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.712.03

1st half

1X2
1.822.636.25

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3521.03.35

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0119.0
1.51.135.05
2.51.502.47
3.52.391.63
4.54.091.20
5.57.501.03
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.5
1.251.105.53
1.751.134.51
21.174.05
2.251.342.91
2.751.642.21
31.841.94
3.252.121.75
3.752.671.42
43.321.28
4.253.591.23
4.754.941.12
56.751.05
5.257.101.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.961.38
-1.752.441.59
-1.52.121.78
-1.251.851.96
-11.602.31
-0.751.452.66
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.512.01.01
-412.01.01
-3.758.651.01
-3.56.951.04
-3.256.561.05
-36.151.06
-2.754.461.15
-2.53.541.24
-2.253.321.31
-0.51.383.18
-0.251.243.75
01.115.20
+0.751.018.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.5–9.20
6.51.056.10
7.51.183.85
8.51.382.68
9.51.702.05
10.52.121.64
11.52.731.36
12.53.791.18
13.55.481.08
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.13
71.055.86
7.251.114.62
7.751.193.70
81.223.50
8.251.303.00
8.751.432.54
91.502.42
9.251.592.19
9.751.771.93
101.901.84
10.251.991.73
10.752.251.56
112.481.47
11.252.591.41
11.753.021.30
123.441.23
12.253.601.20
12.754.321.13
135.161.08
13.255.361.07

Next Premier League matches

23 OctAkhmat – FC Orenburg

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

19 OctRodina Moskva 2-2 FC Orenburg
18 OctBaltika 0-0 FC Rostov
18 OctSpartak Moscow 4-0 Rubin
18 OctDynamo 3-1 CSKA Moscow
18 OctZenit 3-2 Akhmat
17 OctLokomotiv 3-3 FC Krasnodar