Municipal vs Guastatoya• Liga Nacional, Guatemala

1.6:1.200:00Tomorrow · Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City1.4:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.421XBX4.10BVC27.50BVCMargin at best8.1%Books3Markets46Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.42	4.10	7.08	8.9%
BetVictor	1.40	4.10	7.50	9.2%
Bet365	1.40	3.90	6.50	12.5%
Best of all books	1.42	4.10	7.50	8.1%
Average	1.41	4.03	7.03	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MunicipalGuastatoya

Last 106Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.253Attack rating4750Defence rating5038Form rating6371H2H rating2977Goals model2359Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 00:01 UTC

Municipal

4W 5D 1L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

15 Oct	A	Cobán Imperial	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Marquense	1-1	D
9 Oct	A	Antigua GFC	1-1	D
25 Sep	H	Suchitepéquez	3-0	W
14 Sep	H	Malacateco	2-2	D
10 Sep	A	Aurora	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Deportivo San Pedro	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Comunicaciones	1-0	W
26 Aug	H	CD Motagua	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Xelajú	2-0	W

Guastatoya

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

15 Oct	H	Antigua GFC	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Malacateco	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Aurora	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Deportivo San Pedro	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Comunicaciones	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Xelajú	2-1	W
10 Sep	A	Suchitepéquez	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Cobán Imperial	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Marquense	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Mixco	2-4	L

Head to head

25Municipal wins

16draws

16Guastatoya wins

57 meetings · goals 64:51 · last 10: 8W 1D 1L for Municipal

15 Aug 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Guastatoya1-0Municipal
3 May 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal2-0Guastatoya
1 May 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Guastatoya0-1Municipal
22 Mar 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Guastatoya1-1Municipal
31 Jan 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal2-1Guastatoya
27 Nov 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal3-0Guastatoya
14 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Guastatoya0-3Municipal
17 Apr 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Municipal1-0Guastatoya
12 Feb 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Guastatoya0-2Municipal
24 Oct 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Guastatoya1-2Municipal

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.41X23%4.03213%7.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.42 → 1.41 -0.7%X3.95 → 4.03 +2.0%26.80 → 7.03 +3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
1xBet	1.95	1.76	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.93	1.80	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.16	1.63	7.6%
BetVictor	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.63	7.6%
Average	2.16	1.61	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Municipal 45%Draw 45%Guastatoya 10%

The statistical model rates Municipal at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Guastatoya at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 4.03 | 7.03, which imply roughly 70.9% for a Municipal win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Municipal averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Guastatoya averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Municipal or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.41	4.03	7.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.70	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.16	1.62

1st half

1	X	2
1.93	2.25	7.08

2nd half

1	X	2
1.80	2.65	6.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.10	21.5	60.5
HT X	4.10	5.75	14.3
HT 2	22.5	21.5	12.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	9.00	3.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.30
1.5	1.30	3.25
2.5	1.93	1.80
3.5	3.45	1.25
4.5	7.10	1.06
5.5	11.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.60
1.25	1.18	4.04
1.75	1.38	2.78
2	1.49	2.41
2.25	1.71	2.00
2.75	2.17	1.59
3	2.64	1.41
3.25	3.08	1.31
3.75	4.08	1.18
4	5.30	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.62	1.42
-1.5	2.22	1.58
-1.25	1.95	1.78
-1	1.67	2.07
-0.75	1.49	2.41
-0.25	1.26	3.38

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.70	1.02
-2.5	4.30	1.17
-2.25	3.86	1.21
-2	3.40	1.26
0	1.11	5.30
+0.25	1.09	6.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.80	2.00

Next Liga Nacional matches

18 Oct	Aurora – Deportivo San Pedro
18 Oct	Mixco – Cobán Imperial
19 Oct	Marquense – Suchitepéquez

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

16 Oct	Suchitepéquez 1-1 Deportivo San Pedro
15 Oct	Cobán Imperial 2-1 Municipal
15 Oct	Xelajú 2-1 Malacateco
15 Oct	Marquense 1-1 Mixco
15 Oct	Guastatoya 1-1 Antigua GFC
14 Oct	Comunicaciones 1-2 Aurora