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Marquense vs Mixco• Liga Nacional, Guatemala

0.8:0.61-1FT15/10 · Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos1.8:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65B365X3.75BFR25.54PINMargin at best5.3%Books9Markets46Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 00:23 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.623.605.408.0%
Betano1.653.555.008.8%
Pinnacle1.583.615.549.0%
BetVictor1.603.705.009.5%
Betfair1.573.755.0010.4%
1xBet1.583.664.9210.9%
Bet3651.653.504.5011.4%
William Hill1.623.305.0012.0%
Marathonbet1.563.664.8012.3%
Best of all books1.653.755.545.3%
Average1.603.595.0210.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MarquenseMixco
Last 108Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.80.6Goals against · last 51.831Attack rating6975Defence rating2553Form rating4720H2H rating8051Goals model4944Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 00:01 UTC

Marquense

5W 3D 2L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

15 OctHMixco1-1D
11 OctAMunicipal1-1D
3 OctHAntigua GFC2-1W
27 SepHMalacateco1-0W
19 SepAAurora0-1L
13 SepHDeportivo San Pedro0-0D
10 SepAComunicaciones2-0W
6 SepHXelajú0-4L
29 AugAGuastatoya2-1W
24 AugHCobán Imperial2-1W

Mixco

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

15 OctAMarquense1-1D
11 OctASuchitepéquez3-3D
27 SepHAntigua GFC3-1W
21 SepAMalacateco0-1L
13 SepHAurora3-2W
9 SepADeportivo San Pedro0-2L
5 SepHComunicaciones1-1D
31 AugAXelajú1-4L
28 AugHAlianza FC2-0W
23 AugHGuastatoya4-2W

Head to head

5Marquense wins
4draws
6Mixco wins

15 meetings · goals 17:17 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Marquense

8 Aug 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalMixco1-0Marquense
7 Apr 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalMixco2-1Marquense
20 Feb 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalMarquense2-1Mixco
16 Nov 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalMarquense1-2Mixco
12 Sep 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalMixco1-0Marquense
10 Mar 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalMarquense1-1Mixco
22 Jan 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalMixco2-3Marquense
26 Oct 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalMixco0-0Marquense
10 Aug 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalMarquense2-0Mixco
16 May 2022Primera DivisionPrimera DivisionMixco2-2Marquense

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.60X25%3.59218%5.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 01:3015 Oct 01:401 1.60X 3.592 5.02
11.84 → 1.60 -13.0%X3.35 → 3.59 +7.2%23.79 → 5.02 +32.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Pinnacle1.911.885.5%
Betfair1.851.858.1%
Betano1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.831.849.0%
1xBet1.851.829.0%
Marathonbet1.851.829.0%
Best of all books1.911.953.6%
Average1.861.857.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.851.858.1%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
1xBet1.831.849.0%
Betano1.851.829.0%
Marathonbet1.831.819.9%
Best of all books1.851.858.1%
Average1.841.848.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marquense 10%Draw 45%Mixco 45%

The statistical model rated Marquense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mixco at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.59 | 5.02, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Marquense averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Mixco averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mixco.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.603.595.02

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.141.22

Draw no bet

12
1.263.58

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.84

1st half

1X2
2.172.185.19

2nd half

1X2
1.982.494.80

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.5215.144.3
HT X4.395.4010.4
HT 221.516.38.26

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5210.12.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.09
1.51.263.40
2.51.861.85
3.53.181.29
4.56.331.08
5.512.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.80
1.251.154.30
1.751.313.00
21.412.60
2.251.642.10
2.752.091.63
32.521.44
3.252.881.34
3.753.951.17
45.451.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.791.36
-1.252.441.46
-12.101.65
-0.751.781.92
-0.51.672.13
-0.251.392.68
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.55.651.08
-2.254.881.11
-24.801.12
-1.753.341.24
01.203.79
+0.251.164.20
+11.027.90
+1.51.019.45

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.921.81

Next Liga Nacional matches

18 OctMixco – Cobán Imperial
19 OctMunicipal – Guastatoya
19 OctMarquense – Suchitepéquez

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

16 OctSuchitepéquez 1-1 Deportivo San Pedro
15 OctCobán Imperial 2-1 Municipal
15 OctXelajú 2-1 Malacateco
15 OctGuastatoya 1-1 Antigua GFC
14 OctComunicaciones 1-2 Aurora
12 OctAntigua GFC 2-1 Cobán Imperial